Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Des Moines, IA

888 
WWUS53 KDMX 030941
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
441 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

IAC049-031000-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0030.000000T0000Z-200603T1000Z/
Dallas IA-
441 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN DALLAS COUNTY...

At 441 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dallas Center,
or near Adel, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
West Des Moines, Urbandale, Clive, Waukee, Grimes, Adel, Dallas
Center, Granger and Minburn.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 119 and 120.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4158 9409 4175 9408 4180 9381 4156 9381
TIME...MOT...LOC 0941Z 270DEG 25KT 4168 9394 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Podrazik

401 
WWUS53 KDMX 030955
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
455 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

IAC049-031005-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0030.000000T0000Z-200603T1000Z/
Dallas IA-
455 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN DALLAS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 500 AM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 4158 9409 4175 9408 4180 9381 4156 9381
TIME...MOT...LOC 0955Z 270DEG 25KT 4168 9382 

$$

Podrazik

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
350 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

.DISCUSSION.../Today through Tuesday/
Issued at 350 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

Weak surface boundary is slowly settling south through Iowa early
this morning and is currently near a Waterloo to Ames to Omaha line
while an outflow boundary has progressed a bit farther south towards
the Des Moines metro before washing out. There remains convective
instability in the vicinity of the boundary with MLCAPE values near
1500 J/kg and MUCAPEs near 2000 J/kg. That said, dry air in the is
more pronounced in the 850-700 mb range, therefore, current storms
that have been develop in vicinity of the boundary are likely
elevated above this layer and not realizing all of the available
instability. Still have had a few stronger updrafts in the
Grundy/Black Hawk county area and another in Dallas and Polk. These
stronger updrafts are expected to move east of the area soon.
Redevelopment of storms is possible over the far south yet this
morning but the activity will move south into Missouri as the
boundary passes through before stalling. The remainder of the day
will be dry with temperatures not quite as warm as Tuesday with
highs in the mid to upper 80s. Storms will develop across Nebraska
this evening and may reach western Iowa overnight. Greater chances
are any MCS will move south along the instability gradient and into
Missouri.

Height rises will begin Thursday as the western ridge begins to
surge back north and will bring theta-e advection back into the
state late in the day and overnight. While the boundary layer will
become unstable Thursday afternoon with little convective
inhibition, the lack of a forcing mechanism will limit thunderstorms
development until the evening as the low level jet becomes
established. A few storms may be severe over western Iowa with large
hail and damaging winds. Some uncertainty on Friday regarding
strength of the elevated mixed layer (EML) and subsequent capping
but overall, much of the area will remained capped after any remnant
morning convection.

The upper ridge will become fully established on Saturday with a few
thunderstorms again Friday night as the warm/theta-e advection lifts
though. While temperatures won't change much with highs in the upper
80s to low 90s, higher dewpoints in the mid 60s to near 70 will
result in more humidity. Early next week the ridge passing east with
the remnants of tropical storm Cristobal lifting north on the
backside of the ridge and ahead of a long wave trough. While some
long range guidance has the remnants of Cristobal reaching Iowa,
climatology would suggest the chance of this occurring to be low and
the long wave trough will push it southeast of the state.
Regardless, thunderstorm chances will return as the trough arrives
around Tuesday/Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night/
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2020

Sct SHRA/TSRA will sink south through the TAF sites overnight but
VFR conditions are forecast to prevail.  Front stalls near southern
Iowa Wednesday but latest models have precip all south of the state
thorugh the fcst pd.  VFR with light and variable wind on
Wednesday/Wednesday evening.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Donavon
AVIATION...FAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
419 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-040930-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
419 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

A few scattered thunderstorms are possible early this morning over
central and southern Iowa. However, no severe weather is
anticipated at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong to severe storms are possible across western half of Iowa
Thursday evening into the overnight hours to Friday morning. The
main threats will be hail and damaging winds. Additional
thunderstorm chances are forecast by early next week. However, it
is too early to determine severity at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters might be needed Thursday night.

KLP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
349 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

IAZ059>061-030915-
Jasper IA-Polk IA-Dallas IA-
349 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...Strong Storm in Northern Polk County...

At 348 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Grimes, moving east at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston, Clive, Altoona, Waukee,
Pleasant Hill, Grimes, Bondurant, Polk City, Saylorville,
Mitchellville, Granger, Prairie Meadows, Saylorville Lake,
Adventureland Amusement Park, Merle Hay Mall, Elkhart and Valeria.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 9387 4175 9388 4185 9330 4158 9327
TIME...MOT...LOC 0848Z 265DEG 33KT 4169 9379

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