Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Des Moines, IA

July 11, 20204 counties in Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2020, 6:03 PM CDT for 4 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 27 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 11, 2020, 6:03 PM CDT (23:03 UTC)
Expired: Jul 11, 2020, 6:30 PM CDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Jasper County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Story County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 11, 6:04 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	3 Ese Collins, IA	REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jul 11, 6:11 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Baxter, IA	FIRE DEPT. REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN BAXTER, IA.
Jul 11, 6:30 PM CDT	HAIL 1	1 Nnw Kellogg, IA	TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL 4 MILES EAST OF NEWTON.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 8 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 11, 1:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 183 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -228 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1573 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

079 
WUUS53 KDMX 112303
SVRDMX
IAC099-127-157-169-112330-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0119.200711T2303Z-200711T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
603 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Des Moines  has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  West central Poweshiek County in central Iowa...
  Southeastern Story County in central Iowa...
  Southwestern Marshall County in central Iowa...
  Central Jasper County in central Iowa...

* Until 630 PM CDT.

* At 603 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Baxter, or 15
  miles southeast of Nevada, moving southeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Trained weather spotters have reported up to inch and a 
           half hail with the storm so far.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Newton, Grinnell, Baxter, Rock Creek Lake, Iowa Speedway,
  Melbourne, Sully, Kellogg, Collins, Rhodes, Lambs Grove, Oakland
  Acres, Grinnell Regional Airport, Rock Creek State Park and Newton
  Municipal Airport.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 164 and 181.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4188 9332 4200 9325 4175 9268 4152 9289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 309DEG 49KT 4190 9321 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Curtis

1 follow-up statement

617 
WWUS53 KDMX 112317
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
617 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

IAC127-169-112327-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-200711T2330Z/
Story IA-Marshall IA-
617 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN STORY AND
SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
central Iowa.

LAT...LON 4156 9285 4177 9315 4186 9309 4186 9295
      4175 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 309DEG 49KT 4178 9301 

$$

IAC099-157-112330-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-200711T2330Z/
Poweshiek IA-Jasper IA-
617 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL POWESHIEK AND NORTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES...

At 617 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Newton, moving
southeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Newton, Grinnell, Rock Creek Lake, Iowa Speedway, Sully, Kellogg,
Oakland Acres, Grinnell Regional Airport and Rock Creek State Park.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 167 and 181.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4156 9285 4177 9315 4186 9309 4186 9295
      4175 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 309DEG 49KT 4178 9301 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Curtis

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 2:28 PM CDT, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 2:28 PM CDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
228 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Tonight/
Issued at 227 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

A potent shortwave trough located in the SD/ND/MN tri-state area has
already initiated strong and severe storms early this afternoon,
including ping pong ball hail and 70 mph winds. That activity will
continue to slide SE through the afternoon and evening hours, likely
affecting large portions of Iowa north and east of a roughly Spencer-
Fort Dodge-Ames-Ottumwa line.

The environment ahead of current activity in MN will continue to
destabilize and yield additional support for organization and the
potential for large hail and damaging winds, including a corridor of
MLCAPE values around 2500-3000 J/kg and effective bulk shear around
40 kts. Additionally, lingering outflow boundaries from morning may
provide opportunity for at least some isolated convection ahead of
the parent activity in MN as well as a non-zero tornado threat. The
primary outflow boundary from this morning can still be picked out
on visible imagery, especially if looped, across Tama County and
towards the northwest and southeast respectively.

Given what has transpired already today, existing environment, and
persistent CAM depictions, anticipate ongoing convection in MN to
grow upscale to some degree, yielding a growing wind threat with the
potential for 70+ mph winds, along with continued severe hail.
Combined, wind driven hail will be of concern, yielding concern for
anyone outside as well as structures. Isolated storms ahead of the
main complex are likely to have the greatest potential for the
largest hail, ping pong balls or larger. The isolated tornado threat
will also be greatest ahead of the primary complex and in the
vicinity of the lingering outflow from this morning.

Activity will ramp up through the mid and late afternoon, before
exiting the CWA around/shortly after 00z.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday night through Saturday/
Issued at 227 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

Key Points:

 1.) Temperatures... Near to above normal temperatures generally
continue, with a signal for increased heat towards the end of next
week.

 2.) Precipitation... A few chances for storms this week, especially
Tuesday.

-------------------------------------------------------------------

1.) Temperatures:
General persistent pattern continues... with Iowa's weather
impacts generally driven by position of huge 500mb anticyclonic
high. This high has slowly drifted SW nearer to the Guadalupe
Mountains of Mexico, which has helped to bring a northwesterly
component to Iowa and migrate the associated thermal ridge
westward towards the South Dakota and Nebraska. Subsequently,
temperatures have cooled a few degrees over the past few days.

Throughout this week, the high may gradually drift
east/northeastward towards the OK panhandle. By the end of next
week, it should be near Tulsa... which is a location that generally
hints at hot temperatures in Iowa via the placement of the thermal
ridge. By the end of the week, 850mb temperatures may be near the
+22C to +25C range, which would suggest highs well into the 90s.
There is obviously a fair amount of time between now and the end of
next week, so will not lock into the forecast too much at this
point. During the beginning to middle of the week 850mb temps look
to fluctuate around the +16C to +21C range... initially suggesting
temperatures in the 80s to low 90s without cloud cover... with the
clouds, especially on Tuesday, highs should be tempered to the 80s.

2.) Precipitation:
The best chance for precipitation this week should be on Tuesday.
A boundary oriented NE-SW tied into an upper low in Canada will
serve as a focusing mechanism for precipitation during the day
Tuesday. 950mb frontogenetical forcing looks very impressive as
this boundary should be draped across Iowa during peak heating. A
decent enough moisture surge is expected with this system to help
juice the atmosphere. At this time, severe weather cannot be ruled
out... but heavy rainfall producers over a fairly short period of
time certainly seems plausible.

Another shot for precip may be in the Thursday/Friday timeframe as a
somewhat similar, almost "copycat" system looks to propagate across
Iowa. At this time, dynamical support seems to not be as strong with
this event, as the Tuesday event.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon/
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

Thunderstorm activity later this afternoon and evening most likely
to affect KFOD/KMCW, with lesser chances to affect KFOD/KDSM/KOTM.
As such, have entered periods of prevailing TSRA at KMCW/KALO
with MVFR reductions this evening, and limited to VCTS or no
mentions at KFOD/KDSM/KOTM and prevailing VFR. Otherwise,
prevailing WNW/NW winds potentially gusting to around 25kts as
deep mixing is achieved.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Curtis
LONG TERM...Kotenberg
AVIATION...Curtis

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 5:33 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
533 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

IAZ007-017-026>028-035>039-047>050-061-062-075-122245-
Worth-Cerro Gordo-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-
Grundy-Black Hawk-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Jasper-Poweshiek-
Mahaska-
533 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for the area. Please
refer to the National Weather Service website at
weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday and again Thursday and Friday
over most of the area. The severe weather potential for next week
will be determined in the coming days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this evening.

IAZ004>006-015-016-023>025-033-034-044>046-057>060-070>074-
081>086-092>097-122245-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Palo Alto-Hancock-Pocahontas-Humboldt-
Wright-Sac-Calhoun-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-
Polk-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-
Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
533 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday and again Thursday and Friday
over most of the area. The severe weather potential for next week
will be determined in the coming days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 11, 4:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
441 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     HAIL             4 SSW PARKERSBURG       42.52N 92.81W
07/11/2020  M1.00 INCH       GRUNDY             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HAHN

Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:24 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
524 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             ROLAND                  42.17N 93.50W
07/11/2020  M1.00 INCH       STORY              IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0518 PM     HAIL             1 N ROLAND              42.19N 93.50W
07/11/2020  M1.75 INCH       STORY              IA   PUBLIC

            REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:40 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
540 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     HAIL             1 NNE COLO              42.03N 93.31W
07/11/2020  E1.00 INCH       STORY              IA   PUBLIC

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON
            US 65 HALF WAY BETWEEN COLO AND ZEARING.

&&

KCM

Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:46 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
546 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     HAIL             1 SW MCCALLSBURG        42.16N 93.40W
07/11/2020  E1.25 INCH       STORY              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 1.25 INCH HAIL 1
            MILE SW OF MCCALLSBURG.

&&

KCM

Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:52 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
552 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             ROLAND                  42.17N 93.50W
07/11/2020  E2.50 INCH       STORY              IA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            COURTESY OF KCCI. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

KLP

Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:56 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
556 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     HAIL             1 SE NEVADA             42.01N 93.44W
07/11/2020  E1.00 INCH       STORY              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS 1 INCH HAIL IN
            NEVADA, IA.

&&

KCM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 11, 1:32 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DMX	Crawford	43 min
Jul 11, 2:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DMX	Audubon	47 min
Jul 11, 8:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Bremer	21 min
Jul 11, 9:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Bremer	14 min
Jul 11, 2:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hamilton, Webster	43 min
Jul 11, 2:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hancock, Kossuth, Winnebago	46 min
Jul 11, 2:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Palo Alto	42 min
Jul 11, 2:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Boone, Hamilton, Story, Webster	49 min
Jul 11, 3:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Butler, Cerro Gordo, Franklin	42 min
Jul 11, 3:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Humboldt, Palo Alto, Pocahontas	40 min
Jul 11, 3:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Cerro Gordo, Winnebago, Worth	39 min
Jul 11, 3:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler	52 min
Jul 11, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hancock, Kossuth, Wright	51 min
Jul 11, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Cerro Gordo	37 min
Jul 11, 3:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DMX	Grundy	48 min
Jul 11, 4:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Butler, Grundy	39 min
Jul 11, 4:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk	40 min
Jul 11, 4:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Tama	35 min
Jul 11, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Black Hawk, Butler, Grundy	24 min
Jul 11, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hamilton, Hardin, Marshall, Story	29 min
Jul 11, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Jasper, Marshall, Story	46 min
Jul 11, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Marshall, Story	35 min
Jul 11, 6:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Jasper, Mahaska, Poweshiek	17 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2020 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.