Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2020

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

August 14, 2020Stanton County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Aug 14, 2020, 4:59 PM CDT for Stanton County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2020, 4:59 PM CDT (21:59 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2020, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Dodge City, KS

County Stanton County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2020-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1224 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2020-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1224 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-447 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1761 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 14, 3:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 3:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
325 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

A few storms are expected to form along a dryline across far
western Kansas and a frontal boundary currently sliding into
northwest Kansas this evening. The strongest storms will be
capable of producing hail up to golf balls and winds around 60
mph. The storms across far western Kansas are expected to
dissipate after sunset with a few storms along the frontal
boundary hanging around as the night progresses. Otherwise expect
an increase in cloudiness with southeast winds ahead of the front.
This frontal boundary will then slide south cross the CWA by
tomorrow morning shifting winds to the east to northeast. Another
weak disturbance will move around the northern periphery of the
upper level high tomorrow allowing for showers and thunderstorms
to develop once again. However, it doesn't appear the storms will
be severe given the position of the surface front farther south
into the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. As for temperatures, lows
tonight are progged to dip into the 60s with highs tomorrow only
reaching into the 80s tomorrow afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

The upper level ridge will continue to strengthen over the western
United States during the long term with northwest flow over the
Central High Plains. This pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than normal with opportunities for showers and
thunderstorms through the early part of next week. Western Kansas
then looks to dry out as we head into the middle part of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

Cloudiness will decrease this afternoon with VFR conditions. A few
storms may form across far western and west central Kansas late
this afternoon and affect the terminals in the evening. However
confidence is low so have only placed VCTS at this time. Winds
will generally be from the southeast this afternoon curling to
more of an easterly direction tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  86  63  85 /  20  20  40  30
GCK  64  85  62  86 /  30  30  40  20
EHA  66  90  64  91 /  30  30  30  30
LBL  66  90  64  89 /  30  20  30  20
HYS  64  84  61  84 /  30  20  30  20
P28  70  88  64  84 /  10  20  40  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 4:52 AM CDT, 12 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
452 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-151000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
452 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020 /352 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2020/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A cold front will move into central and southwest Kansas late this
afternoon with scattered thunderstorms possible along the front.
The chances for storms may be across central Kansas from Wakeeney
and Hays through Larned, and in far southwest Kansas from Syracuse
through Elkhart and Hugoton. A few of the storms could become
severe with quarter to golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms developing on
Saturday into Saturday evening. These storms are not expected to
be severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  No hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later this afternoon and evening
for hail and/or high wind reports.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 14, 4:18 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
418 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

KSZ061-062-074-075-142200-
Stanton KS-Kearny KS-Hamilton KS-Grant KS-
418 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...
SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY...NORTHWESTERN GRANT AND NORTHEASTERN STANTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT/400 PM MDT/...

At 418 PM CDT/318 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Kendall, moving southeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kendall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 10176 3798 10157 3778 10133 3763 10164
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 327DEG 15KT 3787 10162

TURNER
Special weather statement, Aug 14, 4:59 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
459 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

KSZ061-062-074-075-142245-
Stanton KS-Kearny KS-Hamilton KS-Grant KS-
459 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

...Brief Landspout Tornado Sighted...

At 457 PM CDT/357 PM MDT/, the public reported a landspout tornado
near Kendall. Conditions continue to favor the potential for
landspouts as storms develop. Any landspouts which develop are
expected to pose a limited threat.

Wind gusts to 50 mph, blowing dust, and frequent lightning are
expected.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses, Johnson City and Big Bow.

Landspout tornadoes can form with a developing thunderstorm before
rain, hail, and even thunder is observed. Landspout tornadoes are not
usually associated with a wall cloud and are often difficult to
detect with weather radar.

&&

LAT...LON 3784 10177 3790 10148 3756 10135 3753 10181

TURNER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 4:15 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryDDCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant and 13 more6 hr
Aug 14, 4:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCKearny42 min
Aug 14, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton40 min
Aug 14, 5:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCGrant, Stanton47 min
Aug 14, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton31 min
Aug 14, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGrant, Hamilton, Stanton48 min
Aug 14, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stanton52 min
Aug 14, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stanton51 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2020Every special weather statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.