Severe Thunderstorm Warning 187, NWS Dodge City, KS

593 
WWUS53 KDDC 300600
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
100 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

KSC055-083-101-135-145-165-300630-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0187.000000T0000Z-200730T0630Z/
Finney KS-Ness KS-Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Lane KS-Rush KS-
100 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...NESS...HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...
SOUTHEASTERN LANE AND SOUTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTIES...

At 100 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Ness City to 14 miles south of Beeler, moving
southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Ness City, Jetmore, Bazine, Hanston, Rush Center, Alexander and
Nekoma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 9924 3791 9994 3791 10011 3829 10036
      3865 9988
TIME...MOT...LOC 0600Z 328DEG 35KT 3853 9986 3824 10011 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RUSSELL

366 
WWUS53 KDDC 300627
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
127 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

KSC055-083-101-135-145-165-300635-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0187.000000T0000Z-200730T0630Z/
Finney KS-Ness KS-Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Lane KS-Rush KS-
127 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...NESS...
HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...SOUTHEASTERN LANE AND SOUTHWESTERN
RUSH COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3848 9924 3791 9994 3791 10011 3829 10036
      3865 9988
TIME...MOT...LOC 0625Z 320DEG 39KT 3833 9964 3804 9989 

$$

RUSSELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1227 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2020

The leading edge of a robust upper level disturbance by mid
summer standards was approaching the high plains this afternoon,
along with an associated cold front. Convection was already
developing across eastern Colorado by mid afternoon. Given the
abundant moisture and increasing bulk shear, we expect discrete
t-storms to develop just west of our area and then move into
western Kansas. Large hail can be expected with these storms. A
little later in the evening, the storms will evolve into a line
with damaging winds, heavy rains and small hail. There is some
uncertainty in how far southwest the organized storm line will
build and the best chance for a quick half inch or more of rain
is from Dodge City north to Dighton and eastward to Larned and
Hays. By late evening, the storm cluster will likely progress into
south central Kansas including Pratt, Stafford and Medicine
Lodge. The main shortwave trough axis will pass across western
Kansas Thursday night. Ahead of this, additional clusters of
showers and thunderstorms are expected. The lower levels will
likely not be nearly as unstable by this time so that the chance
for severe storms is low. Highs Thursday will be held down into
the upper 70s in central Kansas, with warmer mid 80s along the
Oklahoma state line.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2020

Every time this summer that the models have been advertising an
extended period of dry and hot weather out in the day 7 to 10
period it hasn't panned out. The upper level ridge is staying
south or west of our area and it looks like this will be the case
out through the first week of August. The ECMWF, which has been
far too dry this summer, is showing multiple opportunities for
shower and t-storm activity from Sunday through Thursday although
it still doesn't look like an overly wet pattern. The mid to high
level flow will start out north-northwesterly Sunday, with weak
embedded disturbances in the flow and sufficient moisture for
precipitation along a mid level baroclinic zone. Given all the
rain we have had in July (over 7" and counting in Dodge City) and
much of our area having 150 to 300% of normal rainfall,
evapotranspiration processes will work to enhance the low level
moisture. Temperatures will struggle to get very hot during this
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible overnight, especially in
the Garden City, Dodge City and Hays areas through 11z Thursday.
Based on BUFR soundings and observations upstream cloud cover
with these storms will range from 3500 to 6000ft AGL. Outside
these storms ceilings will improve to greater than 12000ft AGL.
The exception will be in the Hays area where an area of stratus in
the 1500 to 2500ft AGL level can be expected early Thursday
morning. Easterly winds at 10knots or less will shift to the
northwest as these thunderstorms pass but then the winds will
gradually shift back to the east northeast. Thunderstorms
overnight will be capable of producing isolated wind gusts of
40knots or greater.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  80  63  80 /  50  50  50  10
GCK  63  79  62  79 /  40  40  50  10
EHA  64  84  62  83 /  20  20  40  10
LBL  64  84  62  83 /  20  20  50  10
HYS  65  77  62  79 /  60  70  50  10
P28  68  83  66  81 /  40  50  40  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
312 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2020

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-300815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
312 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2020 /212 AM MDT Wed Jul 29 2020/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible late
this afternoon through this evening. The strongest storms will be
capable of producing up to quarter size hail and gusty winds up to
60 mph. Isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Heavy rainfall
will also be possible with the strongest storms, increasing the
potential for localized flooding.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible early
Thursday morning with gusty winds up to 60 mph the main hazard.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Thursday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Significant risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  No hazards.

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed generally after 4 PM CDT.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1157 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S COOLIDGE            38.03N 102.01W
07/29/2020  M54 MPH          HAMILTON           KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION K5COO COOLIDGE.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1206 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N SYRACUSE            38.00N 101.75W
07/29/2020  M62 MPH          HAMILTON           KS   AWOS

            AWOS STATION K3K3 SYRACUSE.

&&

RB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1216 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

KSZ030-031-043>045-063-300600-
Finney KS-Trego KS-Lane KS-Ellis KS-Scott KS-Ness KS-
1216 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...
NORTHWESTERN NESS...EAST CENTRAL SCOTT...TREGO...LANE AND
NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

At 1215 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles northeast of Voda to near Healy.
Movement was southeast at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Ellis, Wakeeney, Dighton, Ransom, Ogallah, Utica, Collyer, Alamota,
Trego Center, Yocemento, Cedar Bluff, Manning, Beeler, Pendennis,
Amy, Arnold, Healy, Riga, Shields and Voda.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Dodge City.

&&

LAT...LON 3813 10042 3861 10077 3870 10064 3870 10016
      3905 10015 3913 10003 3913 9911
TIME...MOT...LOC 0515Z 304DEG 39KT 3915 9995 3861 10067

LOWE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1225 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S COOLIDGE            38.03N 102.01W
07/29/2020  M58 MPH          HAMILTON           KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION K5COO COOLIDGE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1228 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 S COOLIDGE            38.03N 102.01W
07/30/2020  M63 MPH          HAMILTON           KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION K5COO COOLIDGE.

&&

RB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1241 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

KSZ062-063-075>077-300630-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Kearny KS-Grant KS-Haskell KS-
1241 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN KEARNY...FINNEY...
NORTHERN GRANT...NORTHWESTERN GRAY AND WESTERN HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL
130 AM CDT...

At 1239 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Lakin, moving southeast at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City, Ulysses, Lakin, Holcomb, Satanta, Deerfield,
Pierceville, Ryus, Hickok, Plymell and Friend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Dodge City.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 10152 3826 10116 3826 10025 3739 10098
      3754 10135
TIME...MOT...LOC 0539Z 298DEG 28KT 3783 10124

LOWE