Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Cleveland, OH

269 
WWUS51 KCLE 102203
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
603 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

OHC123-143-147-102230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200610T2230Z/
Ottawa OH-Seneca OH-Sandusky OH-
603 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR OTTAWA...SENECA AND SANDUSKY COUNTIES...

At 603 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles south of Gibsonburg to near Green Springs to
near Bloomville, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Sandusky, Tiffin, Fremont, Fostoria, Port Clinton, Bellevue, Clyde,
Oak Harbor, Gibsonburg, Elmore, Green Springs, Bloomville, New
Riegel, Ballville, Catawba Island, Marblehead, Bettsville, Bay View,
Risingsun and Republic.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 8318 4162 8302 4156 8293 4156 8291
      4161 8290 4158 8269 4146 8271 4144 8276
      4147 8281 4144 8285 4127 8285 4099 8297
      4099 8331 4117 8342 4127 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 220DEG 57KT 4129 8329 4118 8306 4101 8298 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Clark

557 
WWUS51 KCLE 102231
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
631 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

OHC123-143-147-102240-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200610T2230Z/
Ottawa OH-Seneca OH-Sandusky OH-
631 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OTTAWA...SENECA AND SANDUSKY
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe 
limits, and are exiting the warned area. Therefore, the warning has 
been allowed to expire.  However gusty winds and heavy rain are 
still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
north central and northwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 4163 8318 4162 8302 4156 8293 4156 8291
      4161 8290 4158 8269 4146 8271 4144 8276
      4147 8281 4144 8285 4127 8285 4099 8297
      4099 8331 4117 8342 4127 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 206DEG 38KT 4154 8313 4143 8290 4126 8282 

$$

Clark

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
301 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
As Cristobal's remnant low tracks northeastward to near James
Bay, the trailing cold front will sweep east through our area
this evening through early Thursday morning. High pressure
builds from the southwest and west later on Thursday. Another
cold front sweeps southeast through our region on Friday and
will be followed by a high pressure ridge building from the
north and west by this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A shortwave trough over the Mid and Upper MS Valley this
afternoon should move northeast to ON province and the eastern
Great Lakes region by daybreak Thursday. Simultaneously,
Cristobal's remnant low is pulling away from Lake Superior and
should move northeast to near James Bay. This will cause the
trailing surface cold front to sweep east across our CWA this
evening through the first couple hours of Thursday morning. A
squall line of multicells and perhaps a few supercells along or
just ahead of this front is expected to move eastward across our
region between about 4 PM this evening and midnight EDT
tonight. Many of these storms will likely be severe. Damaging to
destructive wind gusts will be the main threat as the storms
encounter moderate to strong instability, effective bulk shear,
and DCAPE within a very humid warm sector. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms may develop ahead of the squall line as a
progressively southwesterly 850 mb jet streak undergoes
isentropic lift. Some of these isolated thunderstorms may
become supercells. Damaging hail the size of quarters to perhaps
ping pong balls and a tornado or two cannot be ruled-out with
any isolated supercells since surface-based ESRH and mixed-
layer LCL heights may support mesocyclonic tornadogenesis. Fair
weather will return region-wide by daybreak Thursday as a
surface high pressure ridge builds slowly from the west and
southwest. Lows tonight should reach the low to mid 60's as
humidity levels drop behind the cold front.

A longwave trough persists over our area on Thursday as the
aforementioned shortwave trough exits the eastern Great Lakes to
the northeast and another shortwave disturbance approaches from
Lake Superior and vicinity. Fair weather persists as surface
high pressure continues building from the Great Plains and Lower
OH Valley. Late afternoon highs should reach the 70's.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
The short term begins Friday with mostly quiet weather expected
Friday morning. By Friday afternoon, a weak upper trough will
move southeast across the Great Lakes, forcing a cold front
through the area by Friday evening. This will introduce the
chance for some light shower activity, though moisture
throughout the column looks to be limited. Another trough will
swing south across the Great Lakes Saturday night into Sunday as
it begins to become closed off from the main flow.

Friday appears to be a beautiful day with lower humidity and highs
in the mid to upper 70s. Some increasing cloud cover will be
possible with the approaching trough late Friday afternoon and
Friday evening. Much cooler and below average temperatures are
expected on Saturday with highs mainly ranging in the low to mid
60s, though accompanied by mostly sunny skies.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Model guidance differs on location of the closed low, with some
solutions pushing the low quickly east, reaching the Mid-Atlantic
coast by Monday afternoon. Other guidance has the closed low slowly
meandering southward across the Ohio Valley through much of the long
term period (Sunday through Wednesday). A closed low solution would
offer multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, as well as
cooler and cloudier weather, through mid-week. A quicker exit
towards the Mid-Atlantic would allow weak ridging and high pressure
to build across the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys and thus warmer, but
drier weather. Still fairly low confidence, so have opted to retain
slight chance PoPs from previous forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/...
As surface high pressure exits to the east, a cold front should
sweep east through our region between roughly 22Z/Wed and
04Z/Thurs. A line of showers and thunderstorms is expected along
or just ahead of this front, while additional isolated showers
and storms may occur ahead of the line. Severe thunderstorms are
expected and damaging wind gusts of 50 to 65 knots will likely
be the main threat. Brief MVFR ceilings and visibility may
accompany any shower or storm. Southerly to south-southwesterly
surface winds of about 15 to 20 knots, gusting up to 30 knots,
will occur ahead of the cold front. Behind the front, any
lingering rain showers and MVFR ceilings should end within an
hour or two of frontal passage. West-southwesterly to westerly
and breezy surface winds follow the cold front as another
surface high builds slowly from the southwest and west.

Outlook...Occasional non-VFR possible with scattered showers
and perhaps thunderstorms Friday through Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the western four zones of
Lake Erie through noon Thursday. A second Small Craft Advisory area
is also in effect from Cleveland towards Erie, starting at 4 AM
Thursday through 6 PM Thursday. This is in response to a cold front
which will track east across the lake tonight with southerly winds
becoming more southwest, then westerly by Thursday. Some storms
along or just ahead of the front later this afternoon and evening
could bring brief wind gusts up to 50 knots as well as hail up to
one inch in size.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 6 PM EDT Thursday for
     LEZ146>149.
     Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Thursday for LEZ142>145.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Jaszka
NEAR TERM...Jaszka
SHORT TERM...Kahn
LONG TERM...Kahn
AVIATION...Jaszka
MARINE...Kahn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
405 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

OHZ003-006>011-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-112015-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-
Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-
Knox-
405 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 277 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following
all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

OHZ012>014-021>023-032-033-089-112015-
Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-
405 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A line of severe thunderstorms will likely move through this evening
and produce frequent lightning, downpours, and damaging wind gusts.
Damaging hail and a brief tornado are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following
all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

PAZ001>003-112015-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
405 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A line of severe thunderstorms will likely move through late this
evening and produce frequent lightning, downpours, and damaging wind
gusts. Damaging hail is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142>146-162>166-112015-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
405 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 277 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Lake Erie and western
Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-147>149-167>169-112015-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
405 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Lake Erie and eastern
Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A line of thunderstorms will likely move through this evening into
early Thursday morning and produce frequent lightning and brief
downpours. Damaging wind gusts and damaging hail are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
504 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

OHZ007-008-018-102145-
Seneca-Ottawa-Sandusky-
504 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT OTTAWA...NORTH CENTRAL SENECA
AND CENTRAL SANDUSKY COUNTIES...

At 504 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Green Springs, or 8 miles southwest of Fremont, moving north at 50
mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fremont, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Green Springs, Ballville,
Bettsville, Lindsey, Rocky Ridge, Burgoon, Kansas and Stony Prairie.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4162 8319 4161 8309 4152 8298 4151 8299
      4151 8292 4146 8298 4147 8303 4145 8304
      4145 8300 4143 8301 4145 8297 4142 8295
      4117 8311 4122 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 198DEG 41KT 4125 8319

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
518 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

OHZ003-006-102145-
Wood-Lucas-
518 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL WOOD AND
NORTHWESTERN LUCAS COUNTIES...

At 518 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Perrysburg, or
near Toledo, moving north at 55 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Toledo, Perrysburg, Oregon, Sylvania, Rossford, Northwood, Holland,
Maumee, Ottawa Hills, Walbridge and Harbor View.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4172 8374 4173 8372 4173 8345 4171 8347
      4170 8343 4148 8357 4154 8379
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 198DEG 49KT 4159 8365

Kahn