Wind Advisory 11, NWS Buffalo, NY

983 
WWUS71 KBUF 011539
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1039 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

NYZ019-012345-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
1039 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph this
  afternoon shifting to northwest tonight. Strongest winds along 
  the Lake Erie shoreline.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001-010-085-012345-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.201101T1800Z-201102T1200Z/
Niagara-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
1039 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph this
  afternoon shifting to northwest tonight.

* WHERE...Niagara, Northern Erie and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TMA

152 
WWUS71 KBUF 012352
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
652 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

NYZ019-020800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
652 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts of up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few isolated power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001-010-085-020800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Niagara-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
652 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Niagara, Northern Erie and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few isolated power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

230 
WWUS71 KBUF 020233
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
933 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

NYZ001-010-020345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Niagara-Northern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo
933 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind gusts are expected to generally remain between 30 to 40 mph
overnight.

$$

NYZ019-021045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
933 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua county. Strongest winds near Lake Erie.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few isolated power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ085-021045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
933 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Southern Erie county. Strongest winds near Lake Erie.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few isolated power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

611 
WWUS71 KBUF 020742
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
242 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2020

NYZ019-085-020845-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
242 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves will subside this morning but will ramp back up
late this afternoon and evening. 

$$
Reynolds

908 
WWUS71 KBUF 020745 CCA
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
245 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2020

NYZ019-085-020845-
/O.COR.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-201102T1200Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
245 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds will subside this morning but will ramp back up late this 
afternoon and evening. 

$$
Reynolds

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
134 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will bring dry weather early this morning. A strong
cold front will cross the region this afternoon with rain changing
to snow late over high terrain of western New York. Cold and windy
wintry weather is expected tonight through Monday night with
accumulating lake effect snow along with some blowing snow. This
early taste of winter will not last though, with a significant warm
up likely mid to late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Skies will remain clear early this morning while a cold frontal
system approaches. Winds will be out of the south ahead of the front
with some increasing winds especially along the Lake Erie shoreline,
although sheltered areas will likely remain fairly light.

Rain ahead of the cold front reaches western New York this morning
and central New York around midday. Once the cold front moves
through, rapid cooling of the column by late in the day will change
the precipitation quickly to snow showers in all areas except near
the lakeshores where a rain-snow mix may persist. A slushy coating
of snow is expected over highest elevations of western Southern Tier
to the hills of Southern Erie and Wyoming counties by this evening.
The other aspect of this system will be strong and gusty winds.
South to southwest winds ahead of the cold front will be strong, but
mixing of the winds will be restricted by a saturated profile with
the widespread rain. Still, we could could easily see 25-35 mph
winds even during the rain. Behind the front, along a PV intrusion,
expect gusts late Sunday afternoon to reach over 40 mph, especially
close to Lake Erie.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
...Accumulating lake effect snow likely during this period...

An anomalous 500mb trough will sharpen as it tracks from the Eastern
Great Lakes Sunday night to northern New England Monday night.
Cold air advection behind a departing cold front will result in
850mb temperatures of -6 C to -8 C. The combination of large
scale ascent, upstream moisture from the passing trough, lake
induced instability, and cold surface temperatures will provide
support for lake effect snow which will be accumulating at
times through Monday night east of both lakes.

Sunday evening...a westerly flow will position lake effect
bands east of both Lakes Sunday evening with surface
temperatures falling into the 20s. Initially, moderate snow
showers will be occuring east of Lake Erie with the best
concentration across Chautauqua, Cattaraugus and Southern Erie
counties as a secondary cold front approaches from the west.
Forecast soundings show saturation to the equilibrium level of
15k feet and unidirectional westerly flow east of Lake Erie.
Snow showers will taper off further inland as well as over the
the Niagara Frontier.

Lake effect snow showers east of Lake Ontario will be confined
to the Tug Hill region Sunday evening before intensifying as the
secondary cold front approaches this area into Monday morning.

Monday...the cold front will move through the entire region
Monday morning and northwest flow will shift lake snows south
and across a majority of the region. There will likely be a
upstream connection to Lake Huron and Georgian Bay reaching
parts of the Niagara Frontier and southeast Chautauqua County.
At this time, surface temperatures will climb into the upper 30s
to low 40s, making it more difficult to accumulate, especially
across the lake plains, but snow showers will be the most
likely p-type through Monday afternoon. Strong winds will also
move into the region resulting in areas of blowing snow.

Accumulations of 2-4 inches are possible across the higher
terrain east of Lake Erie and on the Tug Hill plateau through
Monday afternoon. Elsewhere, a dusting to 2 inches are possible
with the higher amounts across the higher terrain.

The trough moves east Monday night into Tuesday. Dry air and
subsidence will move into western NY and snow showers will become
less intense however linger during this time. Accumulations will be
lower with an additional 1-3 inches east of Lake Erie. However,
the opposite can be said about east of Lake Ontario, where
upper level vorticity advection and a surface low move toward
the North Country Monday night. This will reinvigorate lake
effect snow showers east of Lake Ontario with upstream moisture
and lift increasing while surface temperatures fall below
freezing. Additional accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with locally
higher amounts on the Tug Hill are possible into Tuesday
morning. Windy conditions expected Monday night with near 30-40
mph close to the Lakes.

Snow showers will taper off Tuesday with most of them confined to
the southern shore of Lake Ontario as high pressure moves into
the region. Temperatures will rise into the low to mid 40s and
upper 30s across the higher terrain.

Accumulating snow Sunday night through Monday night may require
Winter Weather Headlines for areas east of Lake Erie and east of
Lake Ontario. Accumulating snow may impact the Monday morning
commute across the region.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Quiet and mild weather is expected this period as zonal flow
aloft slowly amplifies into a ridge as a deep upper level
trough digs into the western United States. At the surface, high
pressure will linger across the Great Lakes and Northeast. With
a pressure gradient increasing some between the surface high and storms
tracking across south central Canada, there will be a gentle
daytime breeze.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected across Western NY early this morning
with just thin high clouds spilling in ahead of system that arrives
today. A southerly breeze will begin to increase with gusts over 20
knots toward daybreak.

Conditions will become quite windy today with gusts over 35 knots
together with deteriorating conditions overall. A passing cold front
will bring a band of widespread rain from west to east, with rain
changing to snow quickly over higher terrain behind the front during
the mid to late afternoon along with blowing snow where it starts to
accumulate.

Outlook...

Tonight through Tuesday...MVFR/IFR possible in lake effect snow
showers southeast of the lakes.
Wednesday and Thursday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A cold front approaches the region later this morning with
strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of it as is already occurring
on Lake Erie. Winds further strengthen and turn west then northwest
behind the cold frontal passage late Sunday through at least Monday
night. Small Craft Advisories will transition to Gale Warnings later
today. The strongest winds should be Monday night over Lake Ontario
with possible gusts over 45 knots.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for LEZ040-
         041.
         Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EST Monday
         for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Tuesday for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM
         EST Monday for LOZ030.
         Gale Warning from 2 AM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday for
         LOZ043>045-063>065.
         Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 2 AM EST Tuesday for
         LOZ042-062.
         Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 2 AM EST
         Monday for LOZ043-044.
         Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to midnight
         EST tonight for LOZ042.
         Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Monday for LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JLA/TMA
NEAR TERM...JLA/TMA/Zaff
SHORT TERM...HSK
LONG TERM...Thomas
AVIATION...JLA/TMA/Zaff
MARINE...JLA/TMA/Zaff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-020000-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Lake effect snow showers may lead to minor accumulations Sunday
night into Monday and could impact the Monday morning commute. Wind
chill readings will be as low as the teens on Monday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-020000-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ043>045-063>065-020000-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042-062-020000-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-019-020-085-020000-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Moderate lake effect snow will begin Sunday night and continue into
Monday. Snowfall accumulations are possible with the best chance
across the higher terrain. Windy conditions will also produce areas
of blowing snow. Wind chill readings will be as low as the teens on
Monday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-020000-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There will be a few periods of lake effect snow showers Sunday night
through Monday night. Moderate snowfall will lead to accumulations
 with the best chance on the higher terrain including the Tug Hill
Plateau. Windy conditions will also produce areas of blowing snow.
Wind chill readings will be as low as the teens on Monday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-020000-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
749 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf