Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2020

Small Craft Advisory 38, NWS Buffalo, NY

March 28, 2020

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Mar 28, 2020, 5:09 PM EDT. It took effect at Mar 29, 2020, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2020, 5:09 PM EDT (21:09 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2020, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 30, 2020, 10:36 PM EDT
In force
41 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

672 
WHUS71 KBUF 282109
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
509 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

LOZ043-290515-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
509 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-290515-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200330T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
509 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-290515-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
509 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 11 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-290515-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1800Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
509 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-290515-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
509 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
11 follow-up statements
515 
WHUS71 KBUF 290223
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1023 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

LOZ042-291030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1023 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-291030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1023 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO
2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-291030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200330T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1023 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 11 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-291030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1023 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO
11 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 11 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-291030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1800Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1023 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO
11 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
949 
WHUS71 KBUF 290828
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
428 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

LOZ042-291630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
428 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-291630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
428 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-291630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200330T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
428 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-291630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
428 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-291630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1800Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
428 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
094 
WHUS71 KBUF 291315
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

LOZ042-292115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and waves 3
  to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-292115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and 
  waves 3 to 6 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-292115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and 
  waves 3 to 5 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-292115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.200329T1800Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-292115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
632 
WHUS71 KBUF 292054
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

LOZ042-300500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-300500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-300300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 10 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-300500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-300500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
437 
WHUS71 KBUF 300239
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1039 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

LOZ044-045-300600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1039 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1039 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-300600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1039 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1039 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1039 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
864 
WHUS71 KBUF 300550
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
150 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

LOZ043-300900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
150 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet. 

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-300900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
150 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet. 

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-301400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
150 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet. 

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-301400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
150 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-301400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
150 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
155 
WHUS71 KBUF 300840
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
440 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

LOZ042-300945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
440 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LOZ043-300945-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
440 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

$$

LOZ044-045-300945-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
440 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-301500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
440 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-301645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
440 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
758 
WHUS71 KBUF 301334
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
934 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

LEZ020-LOZ030-301445-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200330T1500Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
934 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds will continue to slowly diminish today.

$$

LEZ040-041-302145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
934 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
687 
WHUS71 KBUF 301830
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
230 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

LEZ020-310000-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0000Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
230 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-310230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
230 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
345 
WHUS71 KBUF 310000
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
800 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

LEZ020-310100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0000Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
800 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

$$

LEZ040-041-310300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
800 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
323 
WHUS71 KBUF 310236
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1036 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

LEZ040-041-310345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-200331T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1036 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves will continue to remain a bit elevated but have
fallen below Small Craft Advisory levels. 

$$

Reynolds

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 28, 2:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 2:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
250 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front will slowly cross the region tonight, followed by low
pressure moving from the central Great Lakes to just north of Lake
Ontario Sunday through Monday. This will produce periods of rain
across the region through the rest of the weekend, with a few
showers lingering Monday and Tuesday as the system moves very slowly
off the New England coast. A few wet snowflakes may mix in Monday
night and Tuesday morning as colder air moves into the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Radar imagery showing steady rain drifting slowly northeast across
the area, with most of the rain now focusing from the Niagara
Frontier eastward across the Genesee Valley to points southeast of
Lake Ontario. This area of rain will continue to drift ENE and
weaken through the rest of the afternoon as the initial wave of warm
advection and DPVA weakens as it moves into dry air and subsidence.
The steady rain will taper off to scattered light showers, and may
end altogether by late afternoon across Western NY.

Following the break in organized rain this evening, warm advection
and moisture transport will increase ahead of a warm front moving
into the eastern Great Lakes. Isentropic upglide and moisture
transport will be enhanced on the nose of a 40-50 knot low level
jet, with some added support from a mid level vorticity maxima. This
will bring another period of fairly widespread rain to the region
later tonight through Sunday morning. Elevated instability will
gradually increase from southwest to northeast, and this will
support a chance of a few embedded thunderstorms as well. Convection
will be rooted well off the surface above a low level stable layer,
which will likely keep any convective wind risk minimal.

The steady, warm advection driven rain will end from southwest to
northeast on Sunday as the warm front moves across the eastern Great
Lakes. There will likely still be a few showers around for the rest
of the day, supported by increasing large scale ascent ahead of the
mid level trough and the approach of the surface cold front late in
the day. Weak instability will also continue through Sunday,
supporting a chance of a few more scattered thunderstorms with the
warm front in the morning, and then again late in the day along or
just ahead of the cold front. If there are enough breaks in the rain
and dense overcast, the instability may become more surface based
later in the afternoon across Western NY, which would support a low
chance of a few stronger storms.

It will become quite windy Sunday, from a few different mechanisms.
First, a strong 50-60 knot southerly low level jet will cross the
eastern Lake Ontario region during the morning and midday hours.
This will produce a brief period of enhanced downslope winds along
the northward facing slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau, with gusts of
40-45 mph possible. Second, southwest winds will become gusty across
Western NY during the afternoon as lapse rates steepen with the
approach of the surface cold front. This may also produce gusts of
40-45 mph. Both of these setups look marginal for wind advisory wind
gusts for any length of time, but we will continue to monitor model
trends.

Temperatures will begin to rise through the 50s later tonight across
Western NY, and rise through the 40s east of Lake Ontario as warm
advection and southerly downslope winds increase. Temperatures will
then soar on Sunday after the steady rain ends. Expect highs well
into the 60s in most areas, with low 70s a possibility across
Western NY away from the cooling influences of the lakes. The
eastern Lake Ontario region will see highs in the 50s.

The cold front will sweep east across the area during the first half
of Sunday night. Showers and isolated thunderstorms along the cold
front will end from west to east. Deeper wrap around moisture and
forcing from the approaching mid level cutoff low will then bring an
increasing chance of showers again late Sunday night, first across
Western NY and then spreading east across the rest of the area
during the pre-dawn hours of Monday. It will remain quite windy
Sunday night, with gusts of 30-40 mph common across the region as
colder air pours back into the eastern Great Lakes.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Parent low pressure in southeastern Ontario will be weakening while
transferring its energy to a secondary surface low off the New
England coast for start of the work week. Though weakening, the low
to our north will provide a combination of cyclonic flow and ample
wrap around moisture as well as the passage of a mid level trough
and convergence at the low levels to the east of the lakes will keep
the potential for rain showers across much of the region Monday and
Monday night. More abundant showers will occur in the areas east of
Lake Ontario due to some additional support from upsloping. Some of
the rain showers will have the potential to switch over to some wet
snow Monday night for the areas across the Southern Tier along the
Chautauqua Ridge and east of Lake Ontario.

Showers will begin to taper off in the western counties Tuesday
morning as dry air begins filter in from the Canadian surface high
well to the north of the Hudson Bay. While the western half of the
region will have a brief interlude of dry weather on Tuesday,
showers will linger to the areas east of Lake Ontario due to the
proximity of the remnants of cyclonic flow from the coastal low.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The next system looks to make its easterly track to our south on
Wednesday, kept chances for precipitation along the NY and PA border
as model guidances are not aligning in the exact placement of the
passing low pressure system. For the remainder of the period the
overall weather pattern appears to remain active as the region will
remain under a blocked pattern. A large upper level trough will set
up over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region which will allow for
a few disturbances to rotate through causing periods of rain showers
and clouds. Temperatures throughout this period will remain slightly
below normal for daytime highs whereas overnight lows appear to
remain around normal.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The first batch of rain will continue to move east across the area
and weaken this afternoon, with most locations then seeing a break
in steady rain from late afternoon into this evening. The next round
of rain will then cross the region from southwest to northeast later
tonight through Sunday morning, with a chance of a few weak,
embedded thunderstorms during this time as well.

VSBY will drop to MVFR and brief IFR at times in the steadier and
heavier rainfall this afternoon through Sunday morning. MVFR CIGS
will become more widespread at lower elevations from southwest to
northeast this afternoon through this evening, with IFR for higher
terrain. Overnight IFR will become more widespread across the lower
elevations of Western NY, including KBUF and KIAG. Widespread IFR
CIGS will continue Sunday morning across Western NY, with MVFR east
of Lake Ontario.

The steady rain will taper off from west to east Sunday afternoon,
to be replaced by a few more showers and isolated thunderstorms as a
cold front crosses the region. CIGS will improve to mainly VFR at
lower elevations from west to east, with some MVFR lingering across
higher terrain and in any showers that develop.

Finally, low level wind shear will develop Sunday as a strong 50+
knot low level jet crosses the region.

Outlook...

Sunday night and Monday...MVFR/IFR with showers likely.
Tuesday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.
Wednesday and Thursday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Moderate ENE winds will continue to produce Small Craft Advisory
conditions through tonight on the western portion of Lake Ontario.
Winds will become southeast by Sunday morning and increase along the
Lake Erie shore and also the eastern portions of Lake Ontario, which
may require additional Small Craft Advisories. Winds will then
become southwest later Sunday afternoon through Monday, producing
more Small Craft Advisory conditions on Lake Erie. Winds will be
somewhat lighter on Lake Ontario through this period, but still
strong enough to produce choppy wave action.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Several rounds of rainfall will cross the eastern Great Lakes
this weekend, with the heaviest and most widespread rain late
tonight through Sunday morning as a warm front crosses the
region. Total rainfall amounts through the weekend will reach
1.25-1.75 inches across the western Southern Tier, and 0.75-1.25
inches across the rest of the region. Locally higher amounts are
possible in thunderstorms.

These rainfall amounts will result in rises on area creeks and
rivers, but latest RFC forecasts suggest all the larger rivers
will remain within their banks. The Allegheny River and upper
Genesee Rivers will see the greatest rises and will need to be
monitored closely. Both of these rivers have headwaters in
northern PA, which may see higher rainfall amounts.

Beyond the rivers, the rain will result in minor ponding of
water in low lying and poor drainage areas this weekend.

Will maintain a mention in the HWO to highlight the small chance
for flooding with this system.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock
SHORT TERM...EAJ
LONG TERM...EAJ
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 6:18 AM EDT, 10 hours 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
618 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

NYZ001>003-010-011-019-085-291030-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
618 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Rain could be heavy at times, especially tonight with ponding of
water possible in low lying areas and rises on local rivers,
streams, and creeks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms Sunday. The main
threat is damaging winds. Strong southwest winds could gust to 50 mph
Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-013-020-021-291030-
Wyoming-Livingston-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
618 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Rain could be heavy at times, especially tonight with ponding of
water possible in low lying areas and rises on local rivers,
streams, and creeks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms Sunday. The main
threat is damaging winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004>006-014-291030-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
618 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Rain could be heavy at times, especially late tonight with ponding
of water possible in low lying areas and rises on local rivers,
streams, and creeks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Rain could be heavy at times Sunday morning with ponding of water
possible in low lying areas and rises on local rivers, streams, and
creeks.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-008-291030-
Jefferson-Lewis-
618 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Rain could be heavy at times Sunday morning with ponding of water
possible in low lying areas and rises on local rivers, streams, and
creeks. Strong southeast winds could gust to 50 mph Sunday,
especially down the Black River Valley.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-291030-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
618 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2020Every small craft advisory in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.