Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2020

Small Craft Advisory 121, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 11, 2020

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Dec 11, 2020, 3:32 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 12, 2020, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 46 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 11, 2020, 3:32 PM EST (20:32 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 12, 2020, 3:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 14, 2020, 12:53 AM EST
In force
46 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

928 
WHUS71 KBUF 112032
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
332 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

LOZ042-043-120445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201212T0800Z-201213T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
332 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
14 follow-up statements
038 
WHUS71 KBUF 120227
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
927 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

LOZ042-043-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201212T0800Z-201213T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
927 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
732 
WHUS71 KBUF 120649
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
149 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

LOZ042-043-121500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201212T0800Z-201213T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
149 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
373 
WHUS71 KBUF 120837
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
337 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

LEZ020-121700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.201213T0300Z-201213T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-121700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201212T2300Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-121700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet today
  then southwest winds to 30 knots late tonight and Sunday with
  waves building to 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
484 
WHUS71 KBUF 121138
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
638 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

LOZ042-043-122000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
638 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet today 
  then southwest winds to 30 knots late tonight and Sunday with 
  waves building to 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-122000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201212T2300Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
638 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-122000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.201213T0300Z-201213T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
638 AM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
244 
WHUS71 KBUF 121956
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

LOZ044-045-130400-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201213T0900Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-130400-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201213T1100Z-201213T2100Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 4 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-130400-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.201213T0300Z-201213T1800Z/
Lower Niagara River-
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-130400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 6 feet through
  late this afternoon. Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to
  9 feet late tonight and Sunday.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201212T2300Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-130400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.201213T0300Z-201213T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
256 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
865 
WHUS71 KBUF 130215
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
915 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

LOZ042-043-131015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
915 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
915 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.201213T0300Z-201213T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
915 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-131015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201213T0900Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
915 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO
4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-131015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201213T1100Z-201213T2100Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
915 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 4 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
733 
WHUS71 KBUF 130854
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
354 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LOZ042-043-131700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
354 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
354 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-201213T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
354 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-131700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201213T0900Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
354 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-131700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.201213T1100Z-201213T2100Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
354 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 4 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
437 
WHUS71 KBUF 131157
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
657 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LOZ042-043-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
657 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
657 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-201213T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
657 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
657 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201213T2100Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
657 AM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
286 
WHUS71 KBUF 131721
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1221 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LEZ020-LOZ030-132100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-201213T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1221 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-140130-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1221 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-140000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1221 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-140130-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1221 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-132100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201213T2100Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
1221 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
312 
WHUS71 KBUF 132028
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
328 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LEZ020-LOZ030-132130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-201213T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
328 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have diminished.

$$

SLZ022-024-140000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
328 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-140400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
328 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-140000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
328 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-140430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
328 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
434 
WHUS71 KBUF 132320
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
620 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LEZ040-041-SLZ022-024-140030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
620 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have diminished.

$$

LOZ042-043-140400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
620 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-140730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
620 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
468 
WHUS71 KBUF 140114
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
814 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LOZ042-043-140215-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0400Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
814 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished.

$$

LOZ044-045-140600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
814 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
419 
WHUS71 KBUF 140222
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
922 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

LEZ040-041-141030-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0123.201214T1500Z-201215T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
922 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Monday to 4 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-140600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
922 PM EST Sun Dec 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
748 
WHUS71 KBUF 140553
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1253 AM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

LOZ044-045-140700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-201214T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1253 AM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have subsided below criteria.

$$

LEZ040-041-141400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0123.201214T1500Z-201215T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1253 AM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 11, 3:27 PM EST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 11, 3:27 PM EST, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
327 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will move through the central Great Lakes Saturday,
with a trailing cold front crossing our region late Saturday night.
This system will bring a few rain showers to our region.
Unseasonable warmth will continue through Saturday before colder air
moves back into the eastern Great Lakes Sunday through much of next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Satellite imagery showing that the cirrus level clouds have thinned
temporarily, allowing for a good deal of sunshine early this
afternoon. The next batch of thicker mid/high clouds will arrive by
this evening. Highs will reach the low to mid 50s in most areas, and
mid to upper 40s for the North Country. These values are about 15
degrees above average for mid December.

Tonight a frontal zone over southern Ontario will move a little
farther south across Lake Ontario to near the NY Thruway. This will
continue to support an increase in cloud cover, but any
precipitation associated with this frontal zone will be on the cold
side of the boundary and across southern Ontario through daybreak
Saturday. It will be a mild night by mid December standards, with
lows in the mid to upper 30s in most locations.

Saturday a sharp mid level trough and associated surface low will
move from the mid Mississippi Valley in the morning to lower
Michigan by late afternoon. Warm advection and isentropic upglide
will increase across the SW to NE oriented frontal zone ahead of the
system, but the majority of the precipitation for most of the day
will focus from Lake Ontario northward into southern Ontario on the
cold side of the boundary. Meanwhile, most of our area will stay dry
with just a few spotty showers possible through mid afternoon,
especially in areas near the Canadian border. A better chance of
more widespread showers will arrive in Western NY by late afternoon
as a period of strong DPVA arrives just ahead of the trough axis and
moisture transport increases near the nose of a 45 knot low level
jet. Highs will reach the 50s again for most of the area, with mid
to upper 40s for the North Country.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
A slowly filling surface low will track north of Lake Ontario
Saturday night and early Sunday. Rain will be most concentrated near
this surface low, and again later Saturday night as a cold front
advances eastward across our region. Precipitation along the front
will be greatest near the Lakes where added lake moisture will
result in enhanced radar returns.

It will also become windy along and behind the cold front. The
models continue to advertise a 50 to 60 knot LLJ around 2-3K feet
AGL, with this jet mixing down winds to at least 45 mph east and
northeast of Lake Erie, and 35 to 40 mph northeast of Lake Ontario
where the LLJ will be slightly weaker. Timing of the core of the jet
is a bit earlier, with strongest gusts across WNY Saturday night and
into early Sunday...and late Saturday night and through midday
Sunday east of Lake Ontario. Will continue to highlight these
stronger winds in the HWO product Saturday night and into Sunday.

Behind this front a much cooler airmass will settle across the
Eastern Great Lakes through the remainder of the period. This colder
airmass will aid in the generation of weak lake effect snow,
primarily east and southeast of the Lakes Sunday night through
Monday night. Moisture over the Lakes will be limited as deeper
synoptic moisture remains near a passing shortwave traveling across
the Southeastern States. A weak trough approaching the region late
Monday and Monday evening may enhance this lake snow a bit east of
Lake Ontario, before northwest winds shift the diminishing lake
snows southeast of Lake Ontario.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A cold, dry airmass will be in place through a majority of the
Long Term period. Temperatures will be below normal with highs
in the 20s and lows in the single digits to teens from Tuesday
to Friday. Unfortunately for snow lovers, the best chance for
accumulating snow will be closer to Interstate-95 from the Mid-
Atlantic region to southern New England as a coastal low
develops off the coast. There could still be a widespread
snowfall as far north as Western and North Central NY but with
the current consensus track amounts would be light.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR will prevail through the rest of the afternoon with increasing
VFR mid/high clouds. A frontal zone will sag southward into the area
this evening, stalling near the NY Thruway. Some lower clouds may
develop along and north of this frontal zone with lower end VFR to
MVFR CIGS along and north of the boundary later tonight through
Saturday morning, including most of the TAF sites excluding
KJHW.

The frontal zone will move back north of the area Saturday morning,
with VFR prevailing most of the day and nothing more than a few
scattered light showers. More widespread showers will develop by
late afternoon across Western NY, along with associated MVFR VSBY
and CIGS.

Outlook...

Saturday night...Areas of MVFR with showers. Becoming windy.
Sunday...VFR/MVFR. Scattered rain and snow showers east of Lakes
Erie and Ontario.
Monday...Mainly VFR but MVFR/local IFR in lake snow showers east
of Lakes Erie and Ontario.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
Wednesday...A chance of snow and associated IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A weak frontal zone will sag south across Lake Ontario this evening,
with ENE winds increasing on Lake Ontario late tonight and Saturday
as high pressure builds east across Ontario and Quebec. This will
bring Small Craft Advisory conditions to the west half of Lake
Ontario late tonight through Saturday.

The frontal zone will move back north across Lake Ontario late
Saturday afternoon, ending the period of stronger ENE winds. Low
pressure will then move from lower Michigan late Saturday afternoon
to southern Quebec by Sunday morning. This will bring a period of
strong southwest winds to Lakes Erie and Ontario, with sustained
winds peaking around 30 knots on both lakes late Saturday night and
Sunday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday for LOZ042-
         043.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock
SHORT TERM...Thomas
LONG TERM...HSK
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 11, 1:51 PM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
151 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-121900-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
151 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A storm system passing by to our northwest will produce strong winds
Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Wind gusts over 45 mph
will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004>006-008-013-014-020-021-121900-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-
151 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-121900-
Jefferson-
151 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A storm system passing by to our northwest will produce strong winds
Sunday morning. Wind gusts over 45 mph will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-121900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
151 PM EST Fri Dec 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2020Every small craft advisory in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.