Severe Thunderstorm Warning 44, NWS Birmingham, AL

640 
WWUS54 KBMX 041148
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
548 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

ALC085-101-041230-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-200304T1230Z/
Lowndes AL-Montgomery AL-
548 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LOWNDES AND SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

At 548 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Davenport, or 7
miles southeast of Hayneville, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Deposit, Hayneville, Meadville, Pine Level, Lowndes County
Airport, Strata, Dublin, Naftel, Logan, Sprague, Grady, Sellers,
Davenport, Ramer, Lapine, Pintlala, Calhoun, Carters Hill,
Letohatchee and Currys.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 8664 3220 8662 3221 8600 3197 8600
      3196 8630 3205 8631 3205 8641 3204 8640
      3196 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1148Z 270DEG 44KT 3209 8651 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

87/GRANTHAM

062 
WWUS54 KBMX 041214
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
614 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

ALC085-041223-
/O.CAN.KBMX.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-200304T1230Z/
Lowndes AL-
614 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LOWNDES COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CST for
south central and southeastern Alabama.

LAT...LON 3205 8630 3205 8641 3213 8641 3221 8630
      3221 8600 3197 8600 3196 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 1213Z 270DEG 44KT 3209 8614 

$$

ALC101-041230-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-200304T1230Z/
Montgomery AL-
614 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CST
FOR SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

At 613 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Meadville,
moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Meadville, Pine Level, Strata, Dublin, Naftel, Sprague, Grady,
Sellers, Davenport, Ramer, Lapine, Carters Hill and Currys.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Birmingham.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 8630 3205 8641 3213 8641 3221 8630
      3221 8600 3197 8600 3196 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 1213Z 270DEG 44KT 3209 8614 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

56

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
416 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

.UPDATE...
For 12Z Aviation and removal of the Dense Fog Advisory.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0300 AM CST Wed Mar 04 2020/

Through Thursday.

The main word with this period will be wet. Currently a frontal
boundary is draped across the southern sections of Alabama and will
begin to lift this morning, only to sag southward again this
afternoon. At the same time a surface low is going to meander along
the coast through the day as it slides east. A trough extends north
of the low and will help pump moisture into the region through the
day and into the evening. As the system gets closer there is enough
lift in airmass to get some elevated thunderstorms generated. These
storms will have the possibility of strong winds and potentially
large hail. We are going to go with a slight risk of severe storms
through 10 am this morning. There still could be a few strong storms
after that but really feel as though the severe threat will have
moved east of the area.

As the severe threat ends the flooding threat increases from south
to north. With abundant moisture PWATS are around 1.50 to 2 inches
so rainfall will be abundant with the stronger storms and any
potential training across the area. Biggest concern still remains
the southern half of the area and will continue with the flash flood
watch as is. Rainfall totals in the south will be between 2 and 4
inches with locally higher totals, especially along and south of the
US 80/I-85 corridor. Rainfall will finally begin to slack off
Thursday morning as the main low pressure system slides to our east.

16

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0300 AM CST Wed Mar 04 2020/

Thursday night through Tuesday.

Dry weather will finally return Thursday night as the current storm
system moves east of the Carolinas. Temperatures on Friday will be
mild, but a deep trough over the eastern CONUS will produce breezy
conditions as high pressure moves in from the northwest. Cold
advection will arrive Friday evening, and widespread lower to mid
30s are expected for Saturday morning as northerly winds become
lighter. Dry conditions, with cool nights and mild afternoons, will
continue for the weekend as high pressures slowly shifts eastward
toward the Carolinas.

On Monday, a shortwave moving toward the Mississippi Valley will
induce southerly low-level flow and also provide adequate lift for
showers during the afternoon and into the overnight. Thought the
shortwave will move east of the area on Tuesday, some showers could
linger as southerly flow continues ahead of a decaying cold front.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

Widespread rains and scattered thunderstorms possible over the
next 24 hours. Ceilings will be variable through the period, but a
whole expect them to be between MVFR and VFR with visibilities
between 5 and 6 miles as a whole and down to IFR within the
heavier rains and storms. Winds will be strong with the storms in
the south, but generally around 10 kts or less through the period.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A wet pattern will continue through Thursday morning with
widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches. Drier and cooler
conditions return for Friday through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     58  47  56  39  58 /  80 100 100   0   0
Anniston    59  48  57  39  59 /  90 100 100   0   0
Birmingham  59  49  59  41  60 /  90 100  90   0   0
Tuscaloosa  60  50  62  42  62 / 100 100  90   0   0
Calera      59  48  58  41  61 / 100 100  90   0   0
Auburn      60  50  56  42  61 / 100 100 100  10   0
Montgomery  63  53  61  44  64 / 100 100  90   0   0
Troy        66  53  62  44  64 / 100 100  90   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for the following
counties: Autauga...Barbour...Bibb...Bullock...Calhoun...
Chambers...Chilton...Clay...Cleburne...Coosa...Dallas...Elmore...
Greene...Hale...Jefferson...Lee...Lowndes...Macon...Marengo...
Montgomery...Perry...Pickens...Pike...Randolph...Russell...
Shelby...St. Clair...Sumter...Talladega...Tallapoosa...
Tuscaloosa.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
519 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

ALZ011>015-017>050-051430-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
519 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Severe storms are possible through 10 AM today along and south U.S.
Highway 80. These storms could produce damaging winds up to 60 mph
and quarter size hail.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are likely this morningthrough
Thursday morning. This could cause flash flooding or areal flooding
for areas generally along and south of Interstate 20.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Due to recent and expected rainfall, rises are expected along area
rivers. A portion of the Black Warrior river basin is forecast to go
into minor flood Wednesday, and a portion of the Tallapoosa River is
forecast to rise above flood stage on Thursday. River flooding may
continue into early next week. Please refer to the latest river
statements for details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
this morning through Thursday morning.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
349 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

ALZ032-033-041030-
Hale AL-Perry AL-
349 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PERRY AND SOUTHEASTERN
HALE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CST...

At 349 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Newbern, or near Greensboro, moving east at 55 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Marion, Greensboro, Newbern, Greensboro Municipal Airport, Vaiden,
Suttle, Judson College, Radford, Sprott, Cedarville, Laneville and
Folsom.

LAT...LON 3277 8702 3273 8702 3269 8703 3266 8703
      3264 8705 3260 8704 3257 8708 3254 8708
      3251 8710 3251 8767 3269 8769
TIME...MOT...LOC 0949Z 265DEG 47KT 3261 8759

87/GRANTHAM