Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Birmingham, AL

February 11, 2020Dallas County, Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 11, 2020, 3:03 AM CST for Dallas County, Alabama. It took effect at Feb 12, 2020, 7:48 PM CST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2020, 3:03 AM CST (09:03 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2020, 7:48 PM CST
Expired
Feb 17, 2020, 9:22 AM CST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Dallas County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Alabama River at Selma (SELA1). The gauge peaked at 47.55 ft at Feb 14, 2020, 8:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate3035404502/1102/1202/1302/1402/1502/1602/1702/18
Action stage
30 ft
Minor stage
45 ft
Moderate stage
48 ft
Major stage
52 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02423000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

126 
WGUS44 KBMX 110903
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL 
303 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama... 

  Alabama River At Selma Affecting Dallas County.

.Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours has led to rises along the 
Alabama River. A flood warning is now in effect for the Alabama
River at Selma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-112101-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0041.200213T2230Z-200216T1330Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200213T2230Z.200215T0000Z.200216T0130Z.NO/
303 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Alabama River At Selma.
* from Thursday afternoon to Sunday morning...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Tuesday The stage Was 42.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Thursday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 45.9 feet by Friday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
14 follow-up statements
916 
WGUS84 KBMX 111422
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
822 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery
and At Selma...

.Water levels continue to rise along the Alabama River at Montgomery
and At Selma following the recent rainfall. Minor flooding is forecast
to continue along the river for the next few days. However...levels
are expected to remain below moderate flood stage at these locations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-120222-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200216T0600Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200213T0600Z.200215T1800Z.NO/
822 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Saturday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 36.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.5 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. At 26 feet...Some flooding of low lying areas and 
  secondary roads begins in the Montgomery area. Flooding of the golf
  course at Maxwell Air Force Base and portions of River Road occurs 
  at stages around 30 feet and higher. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC047-120222-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.200213T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200213T1200Z.200215T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* from Thursday morning until further notice...or until the Warning 
  is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 42.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 47 feet by early Saturday afternoon. At 48 feet...
  Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson Street and Old Montgomery 
  Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park and the Selma Country Club 
  begin to flood. At 45 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands 
  in the area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. At 
  30 feet...Pasture lands below Selma become flooded. 


&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
998 
WGUS84 KBMX 120210
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
810 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020


...The flood warnings continue for the Alabama River At 
Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

.Heavy rainfall over the past 2 days continues to produce rises along
the Alabama River. Minor flooding is forecast to continue along the 
river for the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-121409-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200216T0600Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200213T0000Z.200215T1800Z.NO/
810 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Saturday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Tuesday the stage was 38.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.9 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26 feet...Some flooding of low lying areas and 
  secondary roads begins in the Montgomery area. Flooding of the golf
  course at Maxwell Air Force Base and portions of River Road occurs 
  at stages around 30 feet and higher.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-121409-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0042.200213T1000Z-200217T0626Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T1000Z.200214T1800Z.200216T1826Z.NO/
810 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* from late Wednesday night to late Sunday night...or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Tuesday the stage was 117.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 125.8 feet by early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 122 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands begins.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-121409-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.200213T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200213T1330Z.200215T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
810 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* from Thursday morning until further notice...or until the Warning 
  is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Tuesday the stage was 43.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 46.9 feet by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands 
  in the area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. At 
  30 feet...Pasture lands below Selma become flooded.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
673 
WGUS84 KBMX 121510
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
910 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River following the recent heavy 
rainfall...and a flood warning remains in effect along the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Thursday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-130309-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200217T0051Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200213T1800Z.200216T1251Z.NO/
910 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Sunday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 40.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.5 feet by 
  Thursday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-130309-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0042.200213T0508Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T0508Z.200215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* from this evening until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 119.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 126.7 feet by Friday evening. The river should then begin
  to fall by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. At 122 feet...Flooding 
  of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-130309-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.200213T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200213T0300Z.200215T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* from this evening until further notice...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 44.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 47.6 feet by Saturday morning. The river should then begin
  to fall by Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. At 45 feet...Extensive
  overflow of low lying lands in the area begins. Some low roads in
  the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
528 
WGUS84 KBMX 130152
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
752 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020


...The flood warnings continue for the Alabama River at 
Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River following the recent heavy
rainfall...and flood warnings remain in effect along the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Thursday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-131351-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200217T1648Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200213T0600Z.200217T0448Z.NO/
752 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Monday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 40.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.6 feet by 
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday night.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-131351-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0042.200213T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T0600Z.200215T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* from late tonight until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 121 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 125.8 feet by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-131351-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.200213T0148Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 6 PM Wednesday the stage was 45.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 47.6 feet by 
  Saturday morning then begin a slow fall.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
454 
WGUS84 KBMX 131554
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
954 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At R.F. Henry 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River...and flood warnings remain 
in effect along the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-140353-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200217T1900Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200212T2200Z.200217T0700Z.NO/
954 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Monday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 39.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.2 feet by 
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. At 26 feet...Some flooding of low lying areas and 
  secondary roads begins in the Montgomery area. Flooding of the golf
  course at Maxwell Air Force Base and portions of River Road occurs 
  at stages around 30 feet and higher. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-140353-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T1544Z.200216T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 121.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 125.5 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. Flooding of low-lying 
  areas along the river will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-140353-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200216T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 46.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 47.8 feet by 
  Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. Widespread flooding of 
  lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
769 
WGUS84 KBMX 131952
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
152 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At R.F. Henry 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River...and a flood warning remains
in effect at Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-140751-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200219T0200Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200215T0600Z.200218T1400Z.NO/
152 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Tuesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 39.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.7 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-140751-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T1637Z.200217T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
152 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 122.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 127.5 feet by 
  early Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-140751-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200212T2045Z.200217T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
152 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 46.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.1 feet by 
  Sunday evening and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. Widespread flooding of 
  farm and pasturelands in the area will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
466 
WGUS84 KBMX 140118
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
718 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At R.F. Henry 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River...and a flood warning remains
in effect at Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-141317-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200219T0200Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200215T0600Z.200218T1400Z.NO/
718 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Tuesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Thursday the stage was 39.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.7 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-141317-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T1637Z.200217T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
718 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 122.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 128.0 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 127.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-141317-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200212T2045Z.200217T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
718 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Thursday the stage was 46.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.8 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. Widespread flooding of 
  farm and pasturelands in the area will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
178 
WGUS84 KBMX 141445
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
845 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At 
Montgomery...R.f. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River...and flood warnings 
remain in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-150245-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200219T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200215T0000Z.200218T1200Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Tuesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 39.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.3 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. At 26 feet...Some flooding of low lying areas and 
  secondary roads begins in the Montgomery area. Flooding of the golf
  course at Maxwell Air Force Base and portions of River Road occurs 
  at stages around 30 feet and higher. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-150245-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-200219T0600Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T1637Z.200216T0600Z.200218T1800Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 122.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 124.6 feet by 
  early Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 1270 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. At 122 feet...Flooding
  of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-150245-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200219T1930Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200212T2045Z.200216T0600Z.200219T0730Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 47.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.7 feet by 
  early Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. At 30
  feet...Pasture lands below Selma become flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
646 
WGUS84 KBMX 150129
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
728 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At 
Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

.Elevated water levels continue along the Alabama River...and flood 
warnings remain in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-151328-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200217T2100Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200214T0800Z.200217T0900Z.NO/
728 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Monday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Friday the stage was 39.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river was near crest...and is expected to 
  slowly fall over the next several days...falling below flood stage 
  by early Monday morning.
* Impact... At 26 feet...Some flooding of low lying areas and 
  secondary roads begins in the Montgomery area. Flooding of the golf
  course at Maxwell Air Force Base and portions of River Road occurs 
  at stages around 30 feet and higher. At 35 feet...extensive 
  flooding of low lands in the area occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-151328-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-200218T1800Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200213T1637Z.200215T1200Z.200218T0600Z.NO/
728 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 122.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 122.8 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 122.0 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-151328-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200220T0300Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T1800Z.200219T1500Z.NO/
728 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Friday the stage was 47.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.1 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. At 48.0 
  feet...flooding occurs inland to between Johnson Street and Old 
  Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park and the Selma 
  Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
098 
WGUS84 KBMX 151536
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
936 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2020

...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma...

.Heavy rainfall earlier this week is resulting in high water levels 
along the Alabama River at Selma and a flood warning remains in 
effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-160336-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200219T2200Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T0200Z.200219T1000Z.NO/
936 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 47.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 47.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
935 
WGUS84 KBMX 160108
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
708 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...

.Heavy rainfall earlier this week is resulting in high water levels 
along the Alabama River at Montgomery and Selma and a flood warning 
remains in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-161307-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200219T0600Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200214T0800Z.200218T1800Z.NO/
708 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 38.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC047-161307-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200219T0600Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T0200Z.200218T1800Z.NO/
708 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 46.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
975 
WGUS84 KBMX 161511
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
911 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2020

...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma...

.Heavy rainfall last week is resulting in high water levels along 
the Alabama River at Selma and a flood warning remains in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-170310-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200218T1330Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T0200Z.200218T0130Z.NO/
911 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 46.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 46.2 feet by this
  afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
129 
WGUS84 KBMX 170103
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
703 PM CST Sun Feb 16 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...

.Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in high water levels along the
Alabama River at Montgomery and Selma and a flood warning remains in 
effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-171301-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200219T0900Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200214T0800Z.200218T2100Z.NO/
703 PM CST Sun Feb 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Sunday the stage was 37.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC047-171301-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200217T1800Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T0200Z.200217T0600Z.NO/
703 PM CST Sun Feb 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Monday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Sunday the stage was 45.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning. 
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
845 
WGUS84 KBMX 171522
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
922 AM CST Mon Feb 17 2020


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Alabama River At Selma...

.River levels have now dropped below flood stage at Selma, and the 
Flood Warning has been cancelled.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

This will be the final statement for this flood event.

&&

ALC047-171552-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200217T1800Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200212T2045Z.200215T0200Z.200217T0806Z.NO/
922 AM CST Mon Feb 17 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* AT  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 44.4 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at 2:06 AM Monday.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 42.8 feet by tomorrow
  morning .

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 11, 2:29 AM CST, 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 2:29 AM CST, 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
229 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0224 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020/

Through Wednesday.

The northern push of the warm front has really advanced northward
and is now near the I-22/I-20 corridors this morning. The warm front
stretches to a low pressure system in northern Mississippi near
Tupelo. From here a cold front stretches south and west to Jackson
and then then Shreveport. Widespread rain and occasional lightning
is possible until the cold front clears.

There is a potential for the cold front to be south of the I-20
corridor by midday and then the southeast by 6 pm. There is a small
chance at seeing some strong storms in the south and east during the
afternoon as temperatures warm up into the mid to upper 70s. Yes
there is some instability, but with lapse rates of 5.2 to 5.3 and
winds out of the sw, parallel to the front, severe storms will be
hard to come by through the afternoon. Perhaps a strong wind gust is
possible at times. With that said  The cold front never really exits
the region and will stall briefly Tuesday night before lifting as a
warm front Wednesday morning. Best chances after today will be in
the north and west.

As for the flooding potential, we will continue with the Flash Flood
watch through 6 pm as really any heavy rains over the already
saturated ground and backlogged streams/rivers could result in flash
flooding. At this time the only warnings we have are areal and river
flood warnings, but will still monitor the heavier bands through the
night. There is still a potential for another 1 to 1.5 inches of
rain as the front moves northward, however, rain rates will not be
as high as the morning and afternoon, so the rain will fall over a
longer period.

16

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0224 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020/

Wednesday through Thursday Morning.

The potential for severe weather Wednesday night into Thursday
morning continues. A surface low develops in Eastern TX and lifts
through the ArkLaTex Wednesday morning. This will lift the warm
front north of our area with mid 60s dewpoints spreading across the
area. The cold front is expected to cross the Mississippi River
during the afternoon/early evening hours, then push across MS
Wednesday evening/night. At this point, there could be some
scattered showers develop in the warm sector across Central AL, but
for the most part, we should remain mostly rain-free through the day
on Wednesday. Winds gradually increase in response to the tightening
pressure gradient as the surface low lifts to our northwest. We
could see some modest destabilization just along and ahead of the
frontal boundary itself as it moves through late Wednesday night
through the overnight hours; however, there's increasing confidence
that instability really won't be that high across Central AL. Mid-
level lapse rates remain low, as the past several guidance runs have
indicated, which overall produces a skinny cape profile. The system
continues to show very high shear given the track of the low itself.
I think there could be the potential for some strong to severe
storms in roughly the northwestern two-thirds of Central AL with the
main threat being damaging winds. A brief tornado cannot be ruled
out, but surface winds are veered to the southwest and the shear
vectors generally support a unidirectional hodograph, which will
limit the overall tornado threat. As the front pushes southeastward,
the surface low lifts well to the northeast (into Western PA), which
limits forcing and veers the surface winds even more. This should
support the downward trend in the strength of the QLCS as it reaches
our southeastern areas. The Euro continues to throw some uncertainty
in, as it has been consistent with slightly more instability that
persists through most of the night, even across our southeast.
However, it's currently the outlier in guidance, so I'm going to
start weighing the forecast more towards the higher resolution
models. Overall, the biggest changes to the severe weather forecast
are increasing confidence in the marginal to slight risk across the
area and a shift for the potential for damaging winds being the main
threat. It's also important to mention that flash flood guidance is
likely to remain low for much of the area, so any additional
rainfall with the storms along the frontal boundary could lead to
localized flooding. The system should be progressive enough to limit
the widespread flash flood threat, but we can't rule out the
possibility that a few stronger storms producing rain rates the
exceed the flash flood guidance.

The front moves south and east of our area Thursday morning, ending
any significant rain chances for Central AL.

25/Owen

Thursday night through Friday.

After frontal passage occurs across Central Alabama and much of the
Deep South by Thursday evening, a temporary period of dry weather
will accompany noticeably cooler temperatures as a stable continental
airmass takes over. A stout 1038-1040 mb high pressure is progged to
build across the Ohio Valley, thus northerly flow will keep our area
amidst cooler air. Lows in the 20s/30s are possible Thu and Fri
nights. This could lead to a few slick spots by Friday morning in
sheltered locations across the north if any residual water is on
roadways. Otherwise, lack of precip will keep most areas dry, with
temperatures rebounding into the 40s/50s by Friday afternoon.

Saturday through Monday.

By the weekend the synoptic pattern will be in transition as broad
split flow aloft also features a low-amplitude ridge developing
across the Gulf, with mostly zonal flow across the eastern CONUS by
Sunday. Sfc to 850 mb flow trajectories around the low-level ridge
to our south may foster a few isentropic rain showers Saturday
night/Sunday morning, though kept PoPs fairly conservative and below
'likely' until higher confidence is achieved. Through time the zonal
configuration is expected to amplify as a trough moves across the
Rockies and into the Plains. Warm, moist advection and ridging is
forecast across the Southeast in response, with surface cyclogenesis
expected across the Central Plains Monday morning. This sfc low
should subsequently eject northeastward into the Upper Midwest by
Monday night. With the return to southwesterly flow aloft and an
axis of confluent 850 mb flow to our northwest Mon/Tue near a
surface front, rain chances remain fairly elevated through the end
of the long-term forecast period. When timing of these features
become a little more consistent, will adjust/increase PoPs
accordingly.

40/Sizemore

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Discussion.

MVFR to IFR ceilings right now across the north and east as low
level moisture is in place as the warm front lifts northward. MGM
and TOI are south of the front and have dropped fairly low as the
rain has ended. The window for rain-free conditions will be large
for MGM and TOI, so we may see some brief VFR conditions here
this afternoon. The window is small for the northern sites as the
warm front lifts north and the cold front slides in. Stay with
MVFR skies at best here, but an hour or so of VFR can not be ruled
out before the front works through. Once the front slides through
between 00z north and 3z south rain chances will be limited to
the northwest.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Periods of rain will continue through most of today. The overall
wet pattern will continue through at least Thursday morning before
a cold front moves out. Drier weather returns for a short break
for Thursday night into Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     65  49  71  51  59 /  90  60  50 100  40
Anniston    68  52  73  53  62 / 100  60  50 100  50
Birmingham  64  52  74  53  59 /  90  60  50 100  40
Tuscaloosa  67  52  75  51  59 /  90  50  60 100  40
Calera      69  53  74  53  59 / 100  60  50 100  40
Auburn      73  57  74  58  66 /  80  60  30  80  80
Montgomery  76  59  79  57  67 /  70  60  40 100  80
Troy        77  61  78  59  68 /  60  60  30  80  80

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for the following
counties: Bibb...Blount...Calhoun...Cherokee...Clay...Cleburne...
Etowah...Fayette...Greene...Hale...Jefferson...Lamar...Marion...
Pickens...Randolph...Shelby...St. Clair...Sumter...Talladega...
Tuscaloosa...Walker...Winston.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 3:00 AM CST, 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
300 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

ALZ011>015-017>050-121200-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
300 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Periods of heavy rainfall are expected through tonight. Recent
rainfall has produced saturated soil conditions, and any additional
rainfall could produce flash flooding issues.

Many area rivers are in or expected to rise above flood stage.
Please see the latest river statements for specific details on the
rises and expected crest values.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a potential for severe storms Wednesday night into early
Thursday morning. Damaging winds and a couple of tornadoes appear
possible.

Periods of heavy rainfall are expected Wednesday night through
Thursday. Recent heavy rainfall has produced saturated soil
conditions, and any additional rainfall could produce flash flooding
issues.

Many rivers will continue to rise over the next few days. Many have
reached flood stage or will reach flood stage. Please see the latest
river statements for specific details on the rises and expected
crest values.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be
necessary Wednesday night.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 10, 9:29 PM CST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
929 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW HAVANA            32.92N 87.64W
02/10/2020                   HALE               AL   PUBLIC

            ONE LANE ON HWY 69 IMPASSABLE DUE TO WATER
            FROM NEARBY CREEK EXCEEDING BANKFULL.

&&

14
Local storm report, Feb 10, 10:47 PM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1047 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E COKER               33.24N 87.66W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            NEW ORLEANS DRIVE REPORTED TO BE WASHED OUT.
            PHOTO PROVIDED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSW HULL              33.04N 87.59W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            WATER NEARING A HOME ON HWY 69 DUE TO CREEK
            EXCEEDING BANKFULL.

0315 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW CAMP HORNE B.S.A.  33.20N 87.41W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            KEENES MILL ROAD IMPASSABLE DUE TO WATER
            COVERING BRIDGE.

0245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE DUNCANVILLE        33.09N 87.45W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            WATER COVERING SLAYTON RD DUE TO WATER OVER
            THE BRIDGE AT BUNCH CREEK.

0230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW LAKE VIEW         33.30N 87.15W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            PLEASANT GROVE RD, IN THE LAKEVIEW
            COMMUNITY, IS IMPASSABLE.

0155 PM     FLOOD            2 ENE COTTONDALE        33.19N 87.43W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            FLOODING IN THE CANYON LAKES AREA DUE TO
            WATERWAYS OUT OF THEIR BANKS. REPORTED VIA
            SOCIAL MEDIA.

0115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW COTTONDALE        33.18N 87.48W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            ROADS FLOODED IN THE WOODLAND HILLS
            SUBDIVISION. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0101 PM     FLOOD            TUSCALOOSA              33.20N 87.57W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            AREAS OF STREET FLOODING ACROSS THE CITY OF
            TUSCALOOSA, PRIMARILY IN TYPICAL FLOOD SPOTS
            AT THIS TIME.

1250 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N COKER               33.27N 87.68W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            UPPER COLUMBUS RD EXPERIENCING WASH OUTS DUE
            TO FLOOD WATERS.

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE DUNCANVILLE       33.05N 87.45W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SOUTH SANDY RD DEEMED IMPASSABLE AT BIG
            SANDY CREEK.

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW HULL               33.03N 87.61W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PORTIONS OF WHITFIELD RD AND SIMPSON SWAMP
            RD DEEMED IMPASSABLE.

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FOSTERS BOAT LANDING    33.12N 87.67W
02/10/2020                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FOSTERS LANDING LANE AND FOSTERS LOOP RD
            DEEMED IMPASSABLE.

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 W GAINESVILLE         32.81N 88.23W
02/10/2020                   SUMTER             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 116 WEST OF THE TOWN
            OF GAINESVILLE.

0550 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MONTEVALLO              33.10N 86.86W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WATER IS ACROSS PARK DR IN FRONT OF ORR
            PARK, AND OVER HWY 119 NEAR AMERICAN
            VILLAGE.

0445 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ALABASTER VETERANS PARK 33.19N 86.82W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   PUBLIC

            FLOODING OCCURRING THROUGH OUT VETERANS
            PARK.

0355 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIANA              33.18N 86.61W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            PORTION OF DEPOT ST IS IMPASSIBLE.

0327 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N MAYLENE             33.21N 86.86W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            PORTIONS OF HWY 17 BECAME IMPASSABLE AS
            EARLY AS 327PM, INCLUDING AT BIG OAK DRIVE
            AND NEAR THE MAYLENE POST OFFICE. BY 550PM,
            HWY 17 AT FOX VALLEY FARMS RD WAS ALSO
            IMPASSABLE.

0247 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WNW SAGINAW           33.22N 86.80W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OLD HWY 31 UNDER THE I-65 OVERPASS DEEMED
            IMPASSABLE.

0240 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSE MEADOWBROOK       33.39N 86.69W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   PUBLIC

            HWY 119 AT THE ENTRANCE TO BROKEN BOW
            SUBDIVISION DEEMED IMPASSABLE.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      OAK MOUNTAIN AMPHITHEAT 33.33N 86.79W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF AMPHITHEATER RD.

0120 PM     FLASH FLOOD      INDIAN SPRINGS VILLAGE  33.35N 86.75W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 119 DEEMED IMPASSABLE NEAR THE INDIAN
            SPRINGS TOWN HALL.

0120 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW OAK MOUNTAIN AMPHI 33.34N 86.79W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WINSLETT RD DEEMED IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOOD
            WATERS.

0120 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W OAK MOUNTAIN AMPHIT 33.33N 86.79W
02/10/2020                   SHELBY             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ENTRANCE TO GREEN PARK SOUTH DEEMED
            IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

0609 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WNW BESSEMER          33.41N 86.98W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LONG 14TH ST AND 21ST AVE IMPASSABLE.
            PICTURE PROVIDED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NW BESSEMER           33.41N 86.98W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            EVACUATING OF RESIDENTS IN HOMES ALONG
            VALLEY CREEK.

0327 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE MCADORY           33.34N 87.00W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CITY OFFICIALS REPORTED MCCALLA RD IS
            IMPASSABLE BETWEEN 4TH AVE AND EASTERN
            VALLEY RD. ALSO, PORTIONS OF THE MEADOW LAKE
            SUBDIVISION OFF OF EASTERN VALLEY RD ARE
            FLOODED.

0220 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SE VESTAVIA HILLS     33.41N 86.77W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            ROCKY RIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL PARKING LOT
            PARTIALLY UNDERWATER. WATER STILL RISING.
            REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0125 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE DOLOMITE          33.46N 86.95W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ALLISON-BONNETT MEMORIAL DR DEEMED
            IMPASSABLE AT RUTLEDGE DR.

0125 PM     FLOOD            2 NNW LAKE PURDY COMMUN 33.45N 86.69W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            PORTIONS OF SICARD HALLOW RD FLOODED DUE TO
            LITTLE CAHABA RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS.

0115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW UAB CAMPUS        33.50N 86.82W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            PEOPLE BEING RESCUED FROM STALLED CARS IN
            FLOOD WATERS AT THE INTERSECTION OF 8TH ST
            AND UNIVERSITY. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

1250 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE HOOVER            33.41N 86.80W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            US HWY 31 DEEMED IMPASSABLE IN BOTH
            DIRECTIONS AT MONTREAT DR DUE TO FLOOD
            WATERS.

1250 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW HUEYTOWN           33.43N 87.03W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            15TH ST DEEMED IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING
            BETWEEN VIRGINIA RD AND VIRGINIA DR.

1248 PM     FLASH FLOOD      VESTAVIA HILLS          33.43N 86.79W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            FLOOD WATER ACROSS ROADWAYS AND NEAR
            BUSINESSES.

1246 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOOVER                  33.40N 86.81W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            FLOOD WATER ACROSS HIGHWAY 31.

1236 PM     FLOOD            1 NE UAB CAMPUS         33.51N 86.79W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            STREET FLOODING IN PROGRESS IN THE AREA.

1210 PM     FLOOD            1 N BJCC                33.54N 86.81W
02/10/2020                   JEFFERSON          AL   PUBLIC

            MINOR ROADWAY AND LOW-LYING FLOODING IN
            PROGRESS.

0443 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW HAVANA            32.92N 87.64W
02/10/2020                   HALE               AL   PUBLIC

            ONE LANE ON HWY 69 IMPASSABLE DUE TO WATER
            FROM NEARBY CREEK EXCEEDING BANKFULL.

0320 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E MOUNDVILLE          33.00N 87.58W
02/10/2020                   HALE               AL   PUBLIC

            WATER EXCEEDS BANKFULL AND IS FLOWING ACROSS
            MINK SLIDE RD. VIDEO VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0523 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NNE SAND ROCK         34.29N 85.73W
02/10/2020                   CHEROKEE           AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PORTIONS OF CR 109 REPORTED TO BE WASHING
            AWAY, AND WATER COVERING PORTIONS OF CR 53.

0400 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW OXFORD LAKE       33.61N 85.83W
02/10/2020                   CALHOUN            AL   PUBLIC

            PORTIONS OF RECREATION DR FLOODED IN OXFORD.

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE WEST END-COBB TOWN 33.66N 85.86W
02/10/2020                   CALHOUN            AL   NEWSPAPER

            SEVERAL ROADWAYS IN WESTERN AND NORTHERN
            PARTS OF ANNISTON ARE FLOODED, INCLUDING
            BLACK STREET, GURNEE AVE, DUNCAN AVE, AND
            WEST 15TH ST.

0218 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E NECTAR              33.97N 86.61W
02/10/2020                   BLOUNT             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PHILLIPS RD AT DRY CREEK BRIDGE DEEMED
            IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

&&
Local storm report, Feb 10, 11:28 PM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1128 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S CHULA VISTA         33.54N 86.38W
02/10/2020                   ST. CLAIR          AL   PUBLIC

            COOK SPRINGS CUTOFF ROAD CLOSED NEAR BRIDGE
            DUE TO WATER OVER ROAD.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 10, 6:13 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXBibb, Greene, Jefferson, Pickens, Shelby, Sumter and 1 more6 hr
Feb 10, 8:25 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXCalhoun, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa, Randolph, St. Clair and 1 more6 hr
Feb 10, 8:29 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXBibb, Chilton, Hale, Perry6 hr
Feb 10, 11:13 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXFayette, Lamar, Marion, Walker, Winston6 hr
Feb 11, 12:03 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXBlount, Cherokee, Etowah6 hr
Feb 11, 12:19 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXBibb, Greene, Jefferson, Pickens, Shelby, Sumter and 1 more6 hr
Feb 11, 12:26 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXFayette, Lamar, Marion, Walker, Winston6 hr
Feb 11, 2:38 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXCalhoun, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa, Randolph and 2 more4 hr
Feb 11, 6:13 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXTuscaloosa3 hr
Feb 11, 7:37 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXBibb, Shelby, Talladega3 hr
Feb 11, 8:35 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXAutauga, Dallas, Lowndes4 days
Feb 11, 1:58 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXElmore47 min
Feb 11, 2:39 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXChambers, Elmore, Macon, Randolph, Tallapoosa29 hr
Feb 11, 2:46 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXLee44 min
Feb 11, 3:43 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchBMXBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 19 more38 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.