Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2020

Gale Warning 31, NWS Gaylord, MI

October 23, 2020

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this gale warning at Oct 23, 2020, 3:22 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 23, 2020, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 23, 2020, 3:22 AM EDT (07:22 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 23, 2020, 2:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 23, 2020, 9:42 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted.

425 
WHUS73 KAPX 230722
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
322 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-231530-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0105.201023T1800Z-201024T0300Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
322 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 4 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...In Lake Michigan, Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of 
  Mackinac Bridge. In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 
  nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to 
  False Detour Channel and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. In Lake 
  Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing 
  Bay.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-231530-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.201023T1800Z-201024T0300Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
322 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 8 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. 

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ347-348-231530-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.201023T2200Z-201024T0300Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
322 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI 
  including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon 
  Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From 6 PM to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
212 
WHUS73 KAPX 231458
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1058 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-240300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0031.201023T1800Z-201024T0300Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
1058 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 8 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ347-348-240300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0031.201023T2200Z-201024T0300Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
1058 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI 
  including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon 
  Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From 6 PM to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-240300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0105.201023T1800Z-201024T0300Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1058 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 4 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...In Lake Michigan, Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of 
  Mackinac Bridge. In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 
  nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to 
  False Detour Channel and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. In Lake 
  Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing 
  Bay.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
460 
WHUS73 KAPX 231952
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
352 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-240300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
352 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 8 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ347-348-240300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0031.201023T2200Z-201024T0300Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
352 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI 
  including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon 
  Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From 6 PM to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-240300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
352 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 4 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...In Lake Michigan, Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of 
  Mackinac Bridge. In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 
  nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to 
  False Detour Channel and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. In Lake 
  Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing 
  Bay.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
889 
WHUS73 KAPX 240142
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
942 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-240900-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-201024T0900Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
942 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 9 
  feet.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. 

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ347-348-240900-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-201024T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-201024T0900Z/
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
942 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 6 
  feet.

* WHERE...5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI 
  including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon 
  Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-240900-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-201024T0900Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
942 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 4 
  feet.

* WHERE...In Lake Michigan, Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of 
  Mackinac Bridge. In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 
  nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, Sturgeon Pt 
  to Alabaster MI and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. In Lake 
  Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing 
  Bay.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 23, 2:54 AM EDT, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 23, 2:54 AM EDT, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
254 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 251 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Impactful weather: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with
continued moderate to heavy rainfall today. Severe storms not
expected. Strong cold advection leading to scattered rain and snow
showers tonight. Little to no accumulations in NNW/NW flow regimes.
Quite gusty today into this evening with lakeshore flood advisories
to be needed.

Pattern synopsis and forecast:

Upper troughing was the lee of the Rockies and Central and Northern
Plains early this morning, with an associated area of low pressure
lifting up into nrn Michigan attm. Strong theta-e convergence via a
50-55kt LLJ, coupled with DPVA and impressive upper divergence
overhead in right entrance region of a 140+kt jet, was resulting in
continued moderate to heavy rainfall along and north of a low level
convergence axis across NW and far nrn lower Michigan, as well as
far SE sections of Chip and Mack counties of eastern upper. The more
intense rainfall was associated with an analyzed area of 850-700mb
frontogenesis in this region. An areal flood watch has already been
issued (and may need to be expanded), as well as an areal flood
warning within the watch for much of this area, where rainfall
totals thus far have been 2-4 inches. There have been reports of
water flowing over some roads, and many areas of ponding of water in
low lying areas. Further upstream, across MT into the Dakotas, high
pressure was becoming the dominant feature, with cold advection
occurring all across the Plains and Upper Midwest.

The heaviest rainfall, tight thermal gradient/FGEN region may pivot
more NW into this morning, as a shortwave carves further into the
upper troughing, amplifying the overall upper air pattern. The
shortwave however, will eventually lift NE through the western and
nrn Great Lakes through the day, shoving the FGEN eastward with time,
making the heavier rainfall more transient with time. The same
eastward progression goes for the impressive aforementioned forcing
components at play. All this said, periods of heavier showers and
some additional thunderstorm activity will bring an additional 1-3
inches of rain for much of nrn Michigan through today. This is the
reasoning behind keeping the areal flood watch and warning through
5 pm today.

The low pressure will depart east by early afternoon, with the
associated strong cold front allowing colder temperatures to move
into the region through the day and evening. Low level temperatures
become cold enough for the development of scattered lake effect rain
showers, which will see snow mix in through tonight, or totally
changeover to snow in many interior locales. Lake effect parameters
are not very impressive however. Inversion heights only get up to
4500-5500 feet this evening (while many areas of mostly rain at this
point). Inversion heights fall through the overnight hours. Maybe a
few tenths of wet snow can accumulate in grassy areas tonight.

Finally, behind the cold front, the pressure gradient tightens up
decently again. A sharp wind shift to out of the NW is expected,
with afternoon gusts reaching 25-35 mph. The high water levels and
moderately high waves may lead to minor lakeshore flooding for
coastal areas of primarily NW lower Michigan.

Highs today will range from the low to mid 40s in eastern upper, to
as warm as the lower half of the 60s across the far SE CWA near
Saginaw Bay. Lows tonight will fall into the middle 20s to lower
30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Saturday through Sunday)
Issued at 251 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

High impact weather potential: Minimal.

Pattern synopsis and forecast:

Behind the departing storm system, 850 mb temperatures of -4 to -7C
producing delta t/s of 16 to 20C will be plenty enough to develop
lake effect rain/snow through the rest of the forecast period for
portions of eastern upper and northwest lower Michigan with
northwesterly to north-northwesterly winds through Saturday morning.
Any showers during the day Saturday will only produce about 0.05" of
QPF. Shouldn't see any lake effect Sunday as high pressure builds in
from the northern Great Plains and 925 mb winds become light and
variable with a more anticyclonic flow...probably won't see any
precip during the day Sunday, but with the cold 850 mb temps and
another approaching storm system, mostly cloudy skies will for sure
remain throughout Sunday. A developing low pressure system on the
lee side of the Rockies will begin it's approach to the Great Lakes
region with the low forecast at this time to pass through the thumb
area of lower Michigan. This track would have the associated
occluded front and warm front impacting the forecast area during
the afternoon hours Sunday with some light to moderate rain showers
and some areas (mostly eastern upper and the higher terrain of
northern lower) mixing with snow or completely changing over to snow.

Winds will be light and variable over much of the forecast
period...with the exception of the Grand Traverse Bay region
Saturday afternoon...where winds could be a bit stronger, out of the
northwest with some gusts of 15-20 mph possible. Winds continue to
be light Sunday, but begin to come from the southeast as the
aforementioned storm system approaches the forecast area.

Saturday and Sunday's high temperatures will be in the upper 30s to
mid 40s...while the low Saturday night drops down into the mid to
upper 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Thursday)
Issued at 251 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

High impact weather potential: Some snow possible Sunday night
through Tuesday, mainly during the overnight hours...no major
accumulations expected.

As the next storm system continues it's approach towards the Great
Lakes region...rain and snow will continue through Monday as this
system progresses towards the northeast into Ontario. The weather
pattern remains progressive with only quick breaks here in there
between shortwaves pinwheeling through the broad longwave trough, or
other storm systems. Daytime highs will remain below normal with
highs only reaching into the upper 30s to mid 40s throughout the
long term period. Nighttime lows will be mainly in the 20s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

A tight pressure gradient with LLWS will briefly loosen up as low
pressure crosses nrn Michigan through Friday morning. Wind
directions will be highly variable as this low crosses the region.
The pressure gradient tightens back up through Friday behind this
low pressure and it's associated strong cold front, and winds will
shift sharply out of the NW and become quite gusty. The cold
advection will bring some scattered lighter lake effect rain showers
this evening, which will gradually mix with, or changeover to snow
through tonight and Saturday. Higher pressure moves in late Friday
night into Saturday, which will allow winds to subside.

CIGS will largely be LIFR through most of Friday, in continued
moderate to heavy rainfall that will gradually shift over into NE
lower/APN, before strong cold advection brings improving CIGS to MVFR
Friday evening, and high end MVFR/low end VFR late Friday night.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 251 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

A tight pressure gradient will briefly loosen up as low pressure
crosses nrn Michigan through this morning. Wind directions will be
highly variable as this low crosses the region. The pressure
gradient tightens back up through today behind this low pressure and
it's associated strong cold front, and winds will shift sharply out
of the NW. Advisory and gale force winds are anticipated through
this evening, along with rough waters, until the gradient relaxes
late tonight through Saturday with the approach of higher pressure.
The quieter conditions are expected to continue into next work week.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...FLOOD WATCH through this afternoon for MIZ016>018-020>022-025-
     026-031-098-099.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT
     this evening for MIZ016-018-020-025-031-099.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this
     evening for LHZ345-346-349.
     GALE WARNING from 6 PM to 11 PM EDT this evening for LHZ347-348.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this
     evening for LMZ341.
     GALE WARNING from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening
     for LMZ323-342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this
     evening for LSZ322.
     GALE WARNING from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening
     for LSZ321.
&&

NEAR TERM...SMD
SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...SMD
MARINE...SMD
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 22, 4:03 PM EDT, 11 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
403 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-231200-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
403 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms across much of northern
Michigan tonight. Severe storms are not expected.

Locally heavy rain is possible into the overnight, especially
across far northwest lower Michigan into eastern upper Michigan.
While significant flooding is not expected, some ponding on roads
and in poor drainage areas is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A few rumbles of thunder are possible through early Friday
afternoon, mainly in northeast lower Michigan.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-231200-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
403 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms tonight for most nearshore
waters of northern Michigan. Severe storms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A few lingering thunderstorms are possible through early Friday
afternoon, especially across northern Lake Huron.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 22, 11:12 PM EDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1112 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1101 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE TRAVERSE CITY      44.73N 85.57W
10/22/2020  M1.99 INCH       GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   ASOS

            12 HOUR TOTAL. ASOS STATION KTVC TRAVERSE
            CITY - CHERRY CAPITAL AIRPORT.

&&
Local storm report, Oct 22, 11:13 PM EDT, 4 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1113 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MANCELONA               44.90N 85.07W
10/22/2020  M1.30 INCH       ANTRIM             MI   MESONET

            12 HOUR TOTAL. MESONET STATION DW3512 FRANK
            FROM MANCELONA.

&&
Local storm report, Oct 22, 11:14 PM EDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1114 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S SAULT STE. MARIE    46.47N 84.37W
10/22/2020  M1.03 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   AWOS

            12 HOUR TOTAL. AWOS STATION KANJ SAULT STE
            MARIE - MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

&&
Local storm report, Oct 23, 12:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1237 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1231 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE TRAVERSE CITY      44.73N 85.57W
10/23/2020  M2.46 INCH       GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KTVC TRAVERSE CITY - CHERRY
            CAPITAL AIRPORT. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY
            RAIN EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1226 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSE GAYLORD           44.99N 84.66W
10/23/2020  M2.38 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW3024 CASTLEWOOD DR;
            GAYLORD. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN
            EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1229 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MANCELONA               44.90N 85.07W
10/23/2020  M2.24 INCH       ANTRIM             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW3512 FRANK FROM MANCELONA.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

1226 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW GAYLORD           45.02N 84.68W
10/23/2020  M1.96 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KGLR GAYLORD - OTSEGO COUNTY
            AIRPORT. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN
            EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1208 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S EMPIRE              44.76N 86.06W
10/23/2020  M1.93 INCH       BENZIE             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION SBDM4 BEAR. THE DURATION OF
            THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1229 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROGERS CITY             45.42N 83.81W
10/23/2020  M1.52 INCH       PRESQUE ISLE       MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CW4114 ROGERS CITY. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

1227 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ENE TROUT LAKE        46.19N 84.98W
10/23/2020  M1.43 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION TRLM4 TROUT LAKE. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

1208 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E CLEAR LAKE STATE PA 45.15N 84.19W
10/23/2020  M1.38 INCH       MONTMORENCY        MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION ATAM4 ATLANTA. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1204 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW RACO              46.36N 84.80W
10/23/2020  M1.33 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION RACM4 4 W RACO. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1155 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S SAULT STE. MARIE    46.47N 84.37W
10/22/2020  M1.17 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KANJ SAULT STE MARIE -
            MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY
            RAIN EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.

1225 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW INDIAN RIVER      45.41N 84.67W
10/23/2020  M1.11 INCH       CHEBOYGAN          MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 6081D 2 W INDIAN RIVER. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

1216 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SUTTONS BAY             44.98N 85.65W
10/23/2020  M1.09 INCH       LEELANAU           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION FW1418 SUTTONS BAY. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

1112 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S INDIAN RIVER        45.38N 84.63W
10/22/2020  M1.06 INCH       CHEBOYGAN          MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION INDM4 INDIAN RIVER. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

1215 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N CLARION             45.30N 84.90W
10/23/2020  M1.00 INCH       EMMET              MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION EW3521 HARBOR SPRINGS. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 12
            HOURS.

&&
Local storm report, Oct 23, 12:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1241 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     FLOOD            TRAVERSE CITY           44.76N 85.60W
10/23/2020                   GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOGANS LANDING FLOODING, 11TH AND DIVISION
            ST. FLOODING, AND WEST FRONT ST AND MADISON
            HAS 5-6 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING ACROSS THE
            STREET. A LOCAL SCHOOL HAS A SEWER BACKING
            UP.

&&
Local storm report, Oct 23, 3:20 AM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
320 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2020

...24 HOUR PRECIPITATION REPORTS WILL INCREASE BY 8AM EDT WITH
ONGOING RAIN CONTINUING...

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSE GAYLORD           44.99N 84.66W
10/23/2020  M4.04 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW3024 CASTLEWOOD DR;
            GAYLORD. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN
            EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0253 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW GAYLORD           45.02N 84.68W
10/23/2020  M3.87 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KGLR GAYLORD - OTSEGO COUNTY
            AIRPORT. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN
            EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0253 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE TRAVERSE CITY      44.73N 85.57W
10/23/2020  M3.64 INCH       GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KTVC TRAVERSE CITY - CHERRY
            CAPITAL AIRPORT. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY
            RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0310 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MANCELONA               44.90N 85.07W
10/23/2020  M3.18 INCH       ANTRIM             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW3512 FRANK FROM MANCELONA.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0208 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S EMPIRE              44.76N 86.06W
10/23/2020  M2.92 INCH       BENZIE             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION SBDM4 BEAR. THE DURATION OF
            THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0208 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E CLEAR LAKE STATE PA 45.15N 84.19W
10/23/2020  M2.66 INCH       MONTMORENCY        MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION ATAM4 ATLANTA. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0308 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW WATERS             44.91N 84.72W
10/23/2020  M2.61 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW5664 GAYLORDNWS; GAYLORD.
            THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0306 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROGERS CITY             45.42N 83.81W
10/23/2020  M2.49 INCH       PRESQUE ISLE       MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CW4114 ROGERS CITY. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW WATERS             44.91N 84.72W
10/23/2020  M2.20 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION GLRM4 1.3 NW WATERS. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0212 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S INDIAN RIVER        45.38N 84.63W
10/23/2020  M1.77 INCH       CHEBOYGAN          MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION INDM4 INDIAN RIVER. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0305 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW INDIAN RIVER      45.41N 84.67W
10/23/2020  M1.70 INCH       CHEBOYGAN          MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 6081D 2 W INDIAN RIVER. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0227 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ENE TROUT LAKE        46.19N 84.98W
10/23/2020  M1.66 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION TRLM4 TROUT LAKE. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0301 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ENE BRUTUS            45.51N 84.70W
10/23/2020  M1.64 INCH       CHEBOYGAN          MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION FW6029 BRUTUS. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0304 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW RACO              46.36N 84.80W
10/23/2020  M1.59 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION RACM4 4 W RACO. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0302 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SUTTONS BAY             44.98N 85.65W
10/23/2020  M1.50 INCH       LEELANAU           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION FW1418 SUTTONS BAY. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0301 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N CLARION             45.30N 84.90W
10/23/2020  M1.50 INCH       EMMET              MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION EW3521 HARBOR SPRINGS. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0255 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S SAULT STE. MARIE    46.47N 84.37W
10/23/2020  M1.47 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KANJ SAULT STE MARIE -
            MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY
            RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0305 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW EAST JORDAN       45.19N 85.15W
10/23/2020  M1.46 INCH       CHARLEVOIX         MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CW2615 EAST JORDAN. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0301 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S PLEASANT VIEW       45.48N 84.93W
10/23/2020  M1.46 INCH       EMMET              MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW7032 NEW HAVEN. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0254 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW PELLSTON          45.57N 84.80W
10/23/2020  M1.45 INCH       EMMET              MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KPLN PELLSTON - RGNL AIRPORT OF
            EMMET COUNTY. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN
            EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0307 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE KINROSS           46.25N 84.47W
10/23/2020  M1.42 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KCIU KINROSS - CHIPPEWA COUNTY
            INTERNATIONAL ARPT. THE DURATION OF THE
            HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0307 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE PETOSKEY          45.36N 84.95W
10/23/2020  M1.27 INCH       EMMET              MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION AS614 PETOSKEY. THE DURATION
            OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

0309 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WSW IRONTON           45.26N 85.22W
10/23/2020  M1.26 INCH       CHARLEVOIX         MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW7501 CHARLEVOIX. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0255 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S MACKINAC ISLAND     45.85N 84.63W
10/23/2020  M1.17 INCH       LHZ345             MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KMCD MACKINAC ISLAND. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0255 AM     HEAVY RAIN       17 ESE GOETZVILLE       46.00N 83.75W
10/23/2020  M1.05 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KDRM DRUMMOND ISLAND. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

0300 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW MANISTEE          44.23N 86.34W
10/23/2020  M1.04 INCH       MANISTEE           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW9113 MANISTEE. THE
            DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24
            HOURS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 22, 10:37 PM EDTFlood WatchAPXAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Emmet, Grand Traverse and 4 more16 hr
Oct 22, 11:35 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningAPXAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet and 7 more15 hr
Oct 23, 3:22 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX25 hr
Oct 23, 3:27 AM EDTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryAPXBenzie, Charlevoix, Emmet, Leelanau, Manistee, Presque Isle20 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2020Every gale warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.