Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2020
Wind Advisory 10, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at May 9, 2020, 3:48 AM EDT for 11 counties in New York; Berkshire County, Massachusetts; Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at May 9, 2020, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 9, 2020, 3:48 AM EDT (07:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 9, 2020, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 9, 2020, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 5 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 17 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1486 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 74 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 408 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
118 WWUS71 KALY 090748 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 348 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 CTZ013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-091600- /O.NEW.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0010.200509T1500Z-200510T0000Z/ Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia- Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, and Hudson 348 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM SUNDAY... * WHAT... For the Wind Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. For the Freeze Warning, sub- freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected. * WHERE...Greater Capital District and southern Litchfield County. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM this evening. For the Freeze Warning, from midnight tonight to 8 AM Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ NYZ041-043-064-065-083-084-091600- /O.NEW.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 348 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected. * WHERE...Much of the Upper Hudson Valley and mid Hudson Valley. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-091600- /O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0010.200509T1500Z-200510T0000Z/ Northern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire- Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Schoharie- Western Schenectady-Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster- Including the cities of Torrington, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, and Sundown 348 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Mohawk Valley Helderbergs, eastern Catskills, northern and central Taconics, Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 8 PM this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
3 follow-up statements
852 WWUS71 KALY 091502 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 1102 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 CTZ013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-092315- /O.CON.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200510T0000Z/ Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia- Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, and Hudson 1102 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT... For the Wind Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. For the Freeze Warning, sub- freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected. * WHERE...Greater Capital District and southern Litchfield County. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, through 8 PM this evening. For the Freeze Warning, from midnight tonight to 8 AM Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ NYZ041-043-064-065-083-084-092315- /O.CON.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 1102 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected. * WHERE...Much of the Upper Hudson Valley and mid Hudson Valley. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-092315- /O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200510T0000Z/ Northern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire- Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Schoharie- Western Schenectady-Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster- Including the cities of Torrington, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, and Sundown 1102 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Mohawk Valley Helderbergs, eastern Catskills, northern and central Taconics, Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...Through 8 PM this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
228 WWUS71 KALY 091920 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 320 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 CTZ013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-100900- /O.CON.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200510T0000Z/ Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia- Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, and Hudson 320 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT... For the Wind Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. For the Freeze Warning, sub- freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected. * WHERE...Greater Capital District and southern Litchfield County. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, through 8 PM this evening. For the Freeze Warning, from midnight tonight to 8 AM Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ NYZ041-043-064-065-083-084-100900- /O.CON.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 320 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected. * WHERE...Much of the Upper Hudson Valley and mid Hudson Valley. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-100000- /O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200510T0000Z/ Northern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire- Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Schoharie- Western Schenectady-Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster- Including the cities of Torrington, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, and Sundown 320 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Mohawk Valley Helderbergs, eastern Catskills, northern and central Taconics, Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...Through 8 PM this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
540 WWUS71 KALY 092334 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 734 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 CTZ013-NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-100800- /O.EXP.KALY.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200510T0000Z/ /O.CON.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ Southern Litchfield-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia- Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, Troy, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, and Hudson 734 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 expected. * WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern Litchfield County. In New York, Western Columbia, Eastern Schenectady, Eastern Greene, Southern Saratoga, Eastern Albany and Western Rensselaer Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above- ground pipes to protect them from freezing. && $$ CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-100045- /O.EXP.KALY.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200510T0000Z/ Northern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire- Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Schoharie- Western Schenectady-Western Albany-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster- Including the cities of Torrington, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, and Sundown 734 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Strong wind gusts will slowly subside through the evening hours. Therefore, the wind advisory will expire at 8 PM this evening. $$ NYZ041-043-064-065-083-084-100800- /O.CON.KALY.FZ.W.0001.200510T0400Z-200510T1200Z/ Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 734 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 29 expected. * WHERE...Western Dutchess, Eastern Ulster, Northern Saratoga, Southern Washington, Southeast Warren and Northern Washington Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above- ground pipes to protect them from freezing. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at May 9, 2:22 AM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 9, 2:22 AM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 222 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .SYNOPSIS... A low pressure system will pass south of the Long Island and move northeast to the Gulf of Maine by tomorrow morning bringing some snow to the region. Light snow accumulations are expected for most areas, especially on the grassy surfaces. Blustery and unseasonably colder weather is expected for Mothers Day weekend, with some additional passing rain and snow showers especially on Saturday. Temperatures will remain below normal heading into next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... As of 153 AM EDT...Surface low is located close to Cape Cod and continues to rapidly move northeast. With colder air working in both aloft and at the surface, precip has changed over to snow across the entire region, although the back edge of precip is also rapidly shifting eastward. Steady snow is now limited to areas east of the Hudson River and will continue to slide eastward over the next few hours. Behind the steady precip, a few lingering snow showers will be possible through the rest of the overnight hours, but most areas will be done seeing the accumulating snowfall. Totals amounts still look to range from just a coating in valley areas up to 3 inches across the highest terrain. Temps will continue to fall into the mid 20s to mid 30s. The winds will increase from the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with some gusts 30 to 35 mph towards daybreak. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Saturday morning, surface low in the Gulf of Maine continues to intensify as upper trough becomes negatively tilted. Wind field and magnitudes are of concern as mixing heights and wind magnitudes within the layer will allow for occasional gusts into the 30-40kt range. High values may result in wind headlines for portions of the region. Furthermore, this too will allow for the vortex, accompanied by around -40C H500 air to slide southward during the daylight hours. Impressive lapse rates, moist cyclonic flow, lake effect-enhancement from Lake Ontario with increasing delta t/s, will result in convective elements of rain/snow showers with perhaps some graupal. In fact, we may see a new record monthly low H500 temperature on Saturday (quick look at climatology shows values at or just below -30C for the month of May). So PoPs will the highest into the terrain. High temperatures, if we want to call it that, will be close to new records for lowest maximum temperatures for the date as H850 temperatures will be near -10C. Loss of daytime heating and passage of the cold pool will result in the diminishing trend in precip coverage and wind magnitudes. A variable sky coverage will be sure to allow for a very chilly night and freeze warnings where the growing season has started will likely be issued. Lows into the 20s and lower 30s (at or below 32F) for valley locations. Another PV anomaly currently in the vicinity of Alberta, is forecast per the NCEP model suite and international guidance to track across the upper Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and into the eastern Great Lakes later Sunday into Sunday. So clouds will be in the increase yet again and increasing probabilities for rain/snow across the region, especially Sunday night. Thermal profiles appear to be milder with areas along and south of I90 expected to be above freezing per H850. So highs Sunday moderate back into the 40s and 50s with overnight lows mainly into the 30s and some lower 40s for the Capital Region and points southward including Litchfield County CT. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... The extended forecast will feature below normal temperatures into the middle of the week with a mean longwave trough in place over the Northeast. However, a trend for moderating temperatures to more seasonal levels is expected late in the week, as a warm front approaches bringing some showers. Monday into Monday Night...A short-wave trough approaches from the lower Great Lakes Region and PA Monday morning. This disturbance is forecast a bit further north compared to yesterday on the latest 12Z GFS/ECMWF and several of the Ensembles. The cyclonic vorticity advection associated with the short-wave and some weak warm advection will produce some showers. The greatest threat will be from the Mohawk Valley, Capital Region, and southern VT southward where we have chance and low likely PoPs. Further north, we have slight chance values. This short-wave will help amplify the H500 long-wave trough with heights to 2 to 3 STDEVs below normal over Midwest into the Northeast. H850 temps will be -2 to -3 STDEVs below normal. The showers with the weak sfc wave lifting northeast towards the Gulf of Maine Mon night should end, and their could briefly be a few snow showers over the high peaks of the eastern Catskills. Max temps on Monday will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s in the valleys with a few upper 50s over mid Hudson valley. Lows will fall back in the mid 20s to around 30F over the mtns, and lower to mid 30s in the valleys and over the hills. Some frost/freeze issues are likely Monday night into Tuesday morning, as the growing season will have begun across most of the region. There should be a decent pressure gradient with west to northwest winds to 10 to 20 mph most of the night in the wake of the system. Tuesday...Low pressure continues to move northeast into the Canadian Maritimes with high pressure building in from the Midwest and TN Valley. H850 temps based on the 12Z GEFS will again run -2 to -3 STDEVs below normal with highs around 15 degrees below normal. It will continue to be brisk with a few lake effect showers maybe impacting locations west of the Hudson River Valley in the afternoon. High temps will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s in the valleys and upper 30s to mid 40s over the mtns with a mixture of clouds and sunshine. Tuesday night into Thursday...Mainly dry weather is expected Tuesday night into most of Thursday, as high pressure builds in from the OH Valley into the Mid Atlantic States. The subsidence from the high should provide increasing sunshine and lighter winds. Lows Tue night will be similar to Monday night, and additional frost/freeze headlines will be possible. Max temps in the 40s and 50s on WED will trend warmer on THU with lower 50s to lower 60s over most of the region, as low to mid level warm advection increases with the sfc high building in from the south. A few showers may creep closer to locations west of the Hudson Valley late THU pm. Thursday Night into Friday...A more unsettled pattern begins as a warm front moves toward the region with periods of showers. The flow becomes more zonal aloft, as a wave of low pressure may pass north of the St. Lawrence Valley on Friday. Temps trend towards seasonal levels, as PoPs were increased to high chance and likely values THU night into FRI. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The low over southeastern MA will continue to deepen as it heads north-northeastward reaching the Canadian Maritimes by Saturday evening. In the meantime, the associated upper level over eastern Canada will move eastward as short waves rotates about it. The precipitation did changeover to all snow across the area Friday evening even at KPOU. The steady snow will taper off overnight with lingering MVFR-IFR conditions with an improvement to VFR expected. Mainly VFR conditions are then expected through the TAF period, however MVFR conditions are expected with any rain and snow showers Saturday afternoon but confidence is not high enough to include in TAFs at this time. West-northwest winds will increase overnight as the pressure gradient tightens. Winds become even stronger Saturday afternoon with good mixing with gusts up to 35 knots expected. Winds will decrease Saturday evening but should remain gusty at KALB and KPSF. Outlook... Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Scattered SHRA...SHSN. Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy Isolated SHRA. Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Scattered SHRA. Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Monday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. && .FIRE WEATHER... Low Relative Humidity Values Between 25 and 35 percent and Wind Gusts 35 to 45 mph Possible Tomorrow.... Rain and snow will overspread the region late this afternoon into this evening resulting in over a quarter inch of precipitation from the Capital Region into the mid-Hudson Valley, NW CT, the Berkshires and eastern Catskills with under a quarter inch for areas north and west of Albany. Chilly air will be in place tomorrow with high temperatures only reaching into the 30s and 40s for all areas. Relative humidity values drop by tomorrow afternoon, ranging 25 to 35 percent. In addition, northwesterly winds strengthen late tonight and stay strong throughout the day tomorrow. Sustained winds strengthen to 15 to 25mph with gusts up to 35 to 45 mph. The strongest winds will likely occur across west to east oriented valley areas including the Mohawk Valley down into the Capital Region and into the Berkshires. Scattered rain and snow shower will also occurr tomorrow during the day. && .HYDROLOGY... Rivers are expected to stay steady this weekend before gradually dropping early next week. Precipitation from a disturbance passing over the mid-Atlantic will spread precipitation over the region from south to north starting late this afternoon and continue into this evening. Areas from the eastern Catskills, mid-Hudson Valley, the Berkshires, NW CT and the Capital Region should receive between 0.25 and 0.50 inch with lower amounts between a 0.10 and 0.25 inch falling over areas north and west of the Capital Region. Initial precipitation should fall as rain or rain/snow mix but should transition to snow this evening. Additional scattered rain and snow showers are expected tomorrow with most areas receiving about a tenth or less of precipitation (highest amounts falling over the western facing slopes of the Berkshires, southern Greens, and Taconics). For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && SYNOPSIS...BGM/Wasula NEAR TERM...Frugis/BGM/Wasula SHORT TERM...BGM LONG TERM...IAA AVIATION...Wasula FIRE WEATHER...Speciale HYDROLOGY...Speciale
Hazardous weather outlook, May 8, 3:56 PM EDT, 11 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albany NY 356 PM EDT Fri May 8 2020 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-091100- Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire- Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene- Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- 356 PM EDT Fri May 8 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut, western Massachusetts, eastern New York and southern Vermont. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Precipitation will transition to mostly snow through the evening hours. Snow accumulations up to an inch for valley areas, with 1 to 4 inches across the hills and mountains, mainly on grassy and non paved surfaces. Locally slick conditions are possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Northwesterly winds will be gusty on Saturday, with some gusts as high as 45 mph. If confidence increases for greater gusts, then a Wind Advisory will be issued. Some additional snow showers are expected on Saturday, mainly for the higher terrain and Mohawk Valley. Gusty winds accompanying the falling snow will result in reduced visibility, causing locally hazardous traveling conditions. Cold temperatures are expected for Saturday night. In areas where the growing season has begun, some spots may lower to close to the freezing mark. A freeze warning may be needed. Another unseasonably cold air mass is forecast for Monday night and again Tuesday night. Frost and Freeze headlines may be needed for locations where the growing season has begun. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report winter precipitation amounts to the National Weather Service in Albany New York, while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 8, 10:48 PM EDT, 5 hours before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albany NY 1048 PM EDT Fri May 8 2020 CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ033-039>043-047>054-058>061-063-066-082>084- VTZ013>015-090600- Northern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire- Hamilton-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga- Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- 1048 PM EDT Fri May 8 2020 ...SNOW TO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS... Snow will continue across portions of the southern Adirondacks, the western and central Mohawk Valley, the Lake George Saratoga Region, southern Vermont, northern and central Taconics, the Helderbergs and eastern Catskills until 2 am. The snow will mix rain and transition to all snow prior to midnight across the Capital Region, Berkshires, southern Taconics, and the Litchfield Hills of Connecticut. Snowfall amounts will range from 1 to 2 inches across the higher terrain above 1500 feet prior to 2 am, with a slushy coating to less than an inch in the lower elevations, especially on the grassy surfaces. Temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s across portions of the Hudson River Valley later in the morning with gusty northwest winds increasing to 25 to 35 mph. Some isolated slick spots may occur on the roadways. TAW
Local storm report, May 8, 11:03 PM EDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1103 PM EDT FRI MAY 08 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1048 PM SNOW LAKE DESOLATION 43.14N 73.98W
05/08/2020 M3.1 INCH SARATOGA NY WEATHERNET6
WEATHERNET6
1057 PM SNOW GALWAY 43.01N 74.08W
05/08/2020 M1.0 INCH SARATOGA NY WEATHERNET6
WEATHERNET6
&&
EVENT NUMBER ALY2002192
EVENT NUMBER ALY2002193
TAWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 3:48 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Rensselaer, Saratoga and 4 more | 27 hr |
| May 9, 4:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 30 min |
| May 9, 5:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ALY | Greene, Schoharie, Ulster | 42 min |
| May 9, 5:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ALY | Saratoga | 28 min |
| May 9, 5:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ALY | 46 min |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in New York, 2020Wind Advisories in Massachusetts, 2020Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2020Every wind advisory in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.