Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Wakefield, VA

243 
WGUS71 KAKQ 010452
FFSAKQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1252 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2020

NCC091-131-010501-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200701T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northampton NC-Hertford NC-
1252 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EASTERN NORTHAMPTON AND NORTHWESTERN
HERTFORD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3643 7714 3645 7718 3645 7719 3646 7719
      3646 7718 3648 7718 3650 7714 3651 7713
      3650 7710 3649 7708 3648 7705 3647 7703
      3647 7702 3642 7702 3642 7703 3642 7704
      3641 7705 3642 7708 3643 7712

$$

ALB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
934 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak high pressure remains northwest of the region into the end
of the week as a trough of low pressure develops over the Mid
Atlantic.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
As of 930 PM EDT Tuesday...

A weak trough is located over the coastal Mid-Atlantic and ern
Carolinas late this evening. This along with remnant outflow
boundaries from earlier convection will continue to spark isold
shwrs/tstms overnight. Will not go any higher than ~20% PoPs in
any one location overnight as again pcpn will be isold. Fair to
partly cloudy with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...

An upper low remains nearly stationary over New England on Wednesday.
However, some shortwave energy is progged to slide across the
region, and this combined with the trough at the surface results
in a higher chc (30-50%) of primarily aftn/early evening
showers/tstms. Overall, the 0-6km shear profile is expected to
be ~20kt, but a few isolated stronger tstms are possible if
taller cores can reach the 50-55kt flow ~200mb. Forecast highs
are in the mid to upper 80s (low 80s immediate coast) given more
cloud cover and coverage of pcpn. Showers perhaps a few tstms
linger over the eastern half of the area into Wednesday evening.
Otherwise, partly cloudy with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

The flow aloft becomes northerly Thursday as the upper low
settles well off the Mid-Atlantic coast. The latest data suggest
less coverage of convection Thursday, so PoPs are generally 20%
or less, with 20-30% for interior NE NC. Forecast highs are
generally in the mid/upper 80s. Dry conditions are expected
Friday as an upper level ridge builds aloft. Mostly sunny, and
likely the hottest day of the week with highs in the low 90s
inland, with upper 80s at the immediate coast. Dewpoints are
expected to drop into the mid/upper 60s for most of the area
during peak heating (still low 70s along the Albemarle Sound),
so resultant peak heat indices are only a few degrees higher
than the ambient temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...

At the start of the holiday weekend the upper level trough will
be east of the area with an upper ridge trying to build in the
west. Meanwhile, an area of low pressure begins to form in the
vicinity of the FL panhandle. Most of Saturday will be dry,
however there will be about a 25% chance of late afternoon and
early evening thunderstorms. The low will remain over northern
FL this weekend and then slowly drift E/NE early next week,
resulting in enough instability over our region for diurnal
convection each day from Sunday through Tuesday. Temperatures
during the period will be near seasonal norms, with high temps
ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s and low temps ranging
from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 715 PM EDT Tuesday...

Fair to partly cloudy overnight with passing mid and high
clouds, and an isold shwr or tstm possible at SBY and ECG.
There is an increased chc of showers/tstms (30-50%) Wednesday
aftn. Overall, VFR conditions are expected to prevail with brief
restrictions in any showers/tstms through Wed evening.

Outlook...
The probability of aftn/early evening showers/tstms diminishes
to 20% or less at the TAF sites Thursday. Primarily dry
conditions are expected Friday. The chc for aftn/early evening
showers/tstms increases to 20-40% Saturday/Sunday. Once again,
VFR conditions are expected to prevail, with only brief
restrictions in showers/tstms.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...

No headlines expected this week and into the weekend. Early
this afternoon there is a stationary front to our south with
weak low pressure along the front. A variable onshore flow 5-10
kts this afternoon. Waves in the bay around a foot, and seas 2-3
ft.

Winds will be southerly or variable/onshore Tuesday and
Wednesday as weak low pressure meanders in the vicinity of the
region, and then will turn northerly on Thursday as a trough
swings through the area. Wind speeds generally 5-10 kts Tuesday
through Thursday. Waves in the bay 1-2 ft, and seas 2-3 ft.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AJZ/JDM
NEAR TERM...AJZ/JDM
SHORT TERM...AJZ
LONG TERM...CMF
AVIATION...AJZ/JDM
MARINE...CMF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
400 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-
093-095>100-509>525-012000-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-
Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-
Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-
Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
Accomack-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
400 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern
Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
556 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

VAZ097-302245-
Chesapeake-
556 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL CITY OF
CHESAPEAKE...

At 555 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Great Bridge.
The storm is nearly stationary.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm. In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are possible
with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Great Bridge, Chesapeake, Fentress, Herberts Corner, Mount Pleasant
and Hickory.

If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

LAT...LON 3667 7611 3664 7630 3676 7631 3678 7621
      3677 7620 3676 7616 3668 7609
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 335DEG 4KT 3674 7624

JM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
726 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

NCZ017-102-VAZ098-010015-
Eastern Currituck-Western Currituck-Virginia Beach-
726 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CURRITUCK
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH...

At 725 PM EDT, a thunderstorm with heavy rain was located near Knotts
Island, or 9 miles north of Currituck, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with
this storm. In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are
possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Virginia Beach, Knotts Island and Munden.

If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

LAT...LON 3643 7582 3656 7609 3672 7597 3669 7587
      3660 7583 3646 7580
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 306DEG 10KT 3657 7597

JM