Alert archive / Virginia / Beach Hazards Statements in 2020

Beach Hazards Statement 4, NWS Wakefield, VA

July 8, 2020City of Virginia Beach, Virginia; Currituck County, North Carolina

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this beach hazards statement at Jul 8, 2020, 4:34 PM EDT for City of Virginia Beach, Virginia; Currituck County, North Carolina. It took effect at Jul 9, 2020, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2020, 4:34 PM EDT (20:34 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 9, 2020, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Jul 9, 2020, 7:59 PM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA

Counties Currituck County, NC, City of Virginia Beach, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2020-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2020-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -37 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1108 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

418 
WHUS41 KAKQ 082034
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
434 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

NCZ102-VAZ098-090445-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.BH.S.0004.200709T1200Z-200710T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
434 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...High risk of rip currents expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Virginia Beach. In North Carolina, 
  Eastern Currituck County.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 3 to 5 ft will result in rough surf
  conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
018 
WHUS41 KAKQ 091101
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
701 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

NCZ102-VAZ098-091915-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0004.200709T1200Z-200710T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
701 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...High risk of rip currents expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Virginia Beach. In North Carolina, 
  Eastern Currituck County.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 3 to 5 ft will result in rough surf
  conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
499 
WHUS41 KAKQ 092003
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

VAZ099-100-100415-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.S.0025.200710T0300Z-200710T0900Z/
Accomack-Northampton-
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...WATER LEVELS CREST AROUND MINOR FLOOD THRESHOLDS DURING HIGH
TIDE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Bay side of the Virginia Eastern Shore.

* WHEN...From 11 PM EDT this evening through 5 AM EDT Friday 
  morning.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

SAXIS VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 09/04 PM     3.3        1.8        1.1        1       NONE    
 10/04 AM     3.2        1.7        0.9        2       NONE    
 10/05 PM     3.1        1.6        0.9        1       NONE    
 11/05 AM     3.2        1.7        1.0        1       NONE    
 11/06 PM     3.1        1.6        0.9        1       NONE    
 12/05 AM     2.9        1.4        0.9        1       NONE

CHINCOTEAGUE INLET VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.2 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/12 AM     3.5        0.7        0.8       1-2      NONE    
 10/01 PM     2.9        0.1        0.7        1       NONE    
 11/01 AM     3.1        0.3        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/01 PM     2.8        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     3.1        0.3        0.8        1       NONE

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 09/03 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9        2       NONE    
 10/02 AM     3.0        1.0        1.3        3      MINOR    
 10/02 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9       2-3      NONE    
 11/03 AM     2.2        0.2        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/04 PM     2.2        0.2        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/03 AM     2.1        0.1        0.6        1       NONE

WACHAPREAGUE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.5 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     5.4        0.9        1.1        1       NONE    
 10/01 PM     4.7        0.2        0.8        1       NONE    
 11/02 AM     4.8        0.3        0.7        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     4.5        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     4.5        0.0        0.6        1       NONE

OYSTER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.0 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     6.7        2.1        1.8        1       NONE    
 10/01 PM     4.9        0.3        0.9        1       NONE    
 11/01 AM     5.6        1.0        1.0        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     4.7        0.1        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     5.0        0.4        0.7        1       NONE

KIPTOPEKE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 5.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     4.0        1.0        1.3       2-3      NONE    
 10/01 PM     3.3        0.3        0.8       1-3      NONE    
 11/01 AM     3.1        0.1        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     3.2        0.2        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     3.0        0.0        0.6        1       NONE

&&

$$

NCZ102-VAZ098-100000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-200710T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...High risk of rip currents expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Virginia Beach. In North Carolina, 
  Eastern Currituck County.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 3 to 5 ft will result in rough surf
  conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
215 
WHUS41 KAKQ 092045
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
445 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

VAZ099-100-100445-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.200710T1200Z-200711T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0025.200710T0300Z-200710T0900Z/
Accomack-Northampton-
445 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, high risk of rip
  currents expected. For the Coastal Flood Statement, up to one 
  foot of inundation above ground level expected in low- lying 
  areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...For the Beach Hazards Statement, the Atlantic coast
  portions of Accomack and Northampton counties. For the Coastal 
  Flood Statement, Bay side of the Virginia Eastern Shore.
  

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, from Friday morning
  through Friday evening. For the Coastal Flood Statement, from 
  11 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline. Breaking waves of 3
  to 5 ft will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk of
  rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

SAXIS VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 09/04 PM     3.3        1.8        1.1        1       NONE    
 10/04 AM     3.2        1.7        0.9        2       NONE    
 10/05 PM     3.1        1.6        0.9        1       NONE    
 11/05 AM     3.2        1.7        1.0        1       NONE    
 11/06 PM     3.1        1.6        0.9        1       NONE    
 12/05 AM     2.9        1.4        0.9        1       NONE

CHINCOTEAGUE INLET VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.2 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/12 AM     3.5        0.7        0.8       1-2      NONE    
 10/01 PM     2.9        0.1        0.7        1       NONE    
 11/01 AM     3.1        0.3        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/01 PM     2.8        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     3.1        0.3        0.8        1       NONE

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 09/03 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9        2       NONE    
 10/02 AM     3.0        1.0        1.3        3      MINOR    
 10/02 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9       2-3      NONE    
 11/03 AM     2.2        0.2        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/04 PM     2.2        0.2        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/03 AM     2.1        0.1        0.6        1       NONE

WACHAPREAGUE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.5 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     5.4        0.9        1.1        1       NONE    
 10/01 PM     4.7        0.2        0.8        1       NONE    
 11/02 AM     4.8        0.3        0.7        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     4.5        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     4.5        0.0        0.6        1       NONE

OYSTER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.0 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     6.7        2.1        1.8        1       NONE    
 10/01 PM     4.9        0.3        0.9        1       NONE    
 11/01 AM     5.6        1.0        1.0        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     4.7        0.1        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     5.0        0.4        0.7        1       NONE

KIPTOPEKE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 5.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     4.0        1.0        1.3       2-3      NONE    
 10/01 PM     3.3        0.3        0.8       1-3      NONE    
 11/01 AM     3.1        0.1        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     3.2        0.2        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     3.0        0.0        0.6        1       NONE

&&

$$

MDZ025-100445-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.200710T1200Z-200711T0000Z/
Maryland Beaches-
445 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...High risk of rip currents expected.

* WHERE...Maryland Beaches.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 4 to 6 ft will result in rough surf
  conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NCZ102-VAZ098-100000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-200710T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
445 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...High risk of rip currents expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Virginia Beach. In North Carolina, 
  Eastern Currituck County.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 3 to 5 ft will result in rough 
  surf conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
540 
WHUS41 KAKQ 092359
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
759 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

NCZ102-VAZ098-100100-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-200710T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
759 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

$$

VAZ099-100-100800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0025.200710T0300Z-200710T0900Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.200710T1200Z-200711T0000Z/
Accomack-Northampton-
759 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, high risk of rip 
  currents expected. For the Coastal Flood Statement, up to one 
  foot of inundation above ground level expected in low- lying 
  areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...For the Beach Hazards Statement, the Atlantic coast 
  portions of Accomack and Northampton counties. For the Coastal 
  Flood Statement, Bay side of the Virginia Eastern Shore.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, from Friday morning 
  through Friday evening. For the Coastal Flood Statement, from 
  11 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline. Breaking waves of 
  3 to 5 ft will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk 
  of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

SAXIS VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/04 AM     3.2        1.7        0.9        2       NONE    
 10/05 PM     3.1        1.6        0.9        1       NONE    
 11/05 AM     3.2        1.7        1.0        1       NONE    
 11/06 PM     3.1        1.6        0.9        1       NONE    
 12/05 AM     2.9        1.4        0.9        1       NONE

CHINCOTEAGUE INLET VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.2 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/12 AM     3.5        0.7        0.8       1-2      NONE    
 10/01 PM     2.9        0.1        0.7        1       NONE    
 11/01 AM     3.1        0.3        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/01 PM     2.8        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     3.1        0.3        0.8        1       NONE    
 12/02 PM     3.0        0.2        0.8        1       NONE

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/02 AM     3.0        1.0        1.3        3      MINOR    
 10/02 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9       2-3      NONE    
 11/03 AM     2.2        0.2        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/04 PM     2.2        0.2        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/03 AM     2.1        0.1        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/04 PM     2.4        0.4        0.8        1       NONE

WACHAPREAGUE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.5 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     5.4        0.9        1.1        1       NONE    
 10/01 PM     4.7        0.2        0.8        1       NONE    
 11/02 AM     4.8        0.3        0.7        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     4.5        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     4.5        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/03 PM     4.5        0.0        0.5        1       NONE

OYSTER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.0 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     6.7        2.1        1.8        1       NONE    
 10/01 PM     4.9        0.3        0.9        1       NONE    
 11/01 AM     5.6        1.0        1.0        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     4.7        0.1        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     5.0        0.4        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/03 PM     5.0        0.4        0.9        1       NONE

KIPTOPEKE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 5.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 10/01 AM     4.0        1.0        1.3       2-3      NONE    
 10/01 PM     3.3        0.3        0.8       1-3      NONE    
 11/01 AM     3.1        0.1        0.6        1       NONE    
 11/02 PM     3.2        0.2        0.7        1       NONE    
 12/02 AM     3.0        0.0        0.6        1       NONE    
 12/03 PM     3.3        0.3        0.8        1       NONE

&&

$$

MDZ025-100800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.200710T1200Z-200711T0000Z/
Maryland Beaches-
759 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...High risk of rip currents expected.

* WHERE...Maryland Beaches.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 4 to 6 ft will result in rough 
  surf conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

Butner

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jul 8, 4:03 PM EDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 4:03 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
403 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure slowly drifts northeast along the Carolina
overnight through Thursday before lifting northeast along the
Mid Atlantic coast Friday and Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 340 PM EDT Wednesday...

Latest analysis indicates ~1010mb sfc low pressure just off the
southeast coast of NC near Wilmington. The system remains
fairly disorganized but NHC is monitoring for potential tropical
development through the next 24 hrs+. Aloft, the flow is very
light as a minimal upper low (H5 heights ~586dm) is centered
from southwest VA to the NC coast.

Locally, a very warm/humid airmass is in place, but the deeper
moisture is confined to southern VA and NE NC. The 12Z morning
sounding from MHX had an observed Precipitable Water value of
2.35" while to the N, WAL was only 1.23". SPC mesoanalysis
indicates that the current PWAT are 2.00" or greater over far SE
VA/NE NC and are about 1.40" over NE portions of the CWA where
a weak upper ridge is still in place. Scattered to numerous
showers with isolated tstms continue in the south, while there
is little to no precipitation from about FVX to RIC to the
eastern shore. Locally heavy rain can be expected into the
early evening over the south, but with weak shear, the
showers/storms have been short-lived in any one location so only
minor flooding has been observed thus far. Likely to high chance
PoPs (highest from south central VA to interior NE NC) are
tapered to just 20% (or less) across central/eastern Va and the
eastern shore. After sunset, as the sfc low will be very slow
to move NNE along the coast of southeast NC expect instability
to diminish shortly after sunset so PoPs will tend to drop off
during the evening with mainly just 20-40% PoPs remaining in NE
NC and far southern VA. Overnight, as the low gradually moves
farther NE to near Cape Hatteras, expect to see increasing PoPs
(to likely) moving back into NE NC and possibly far SE VA
between 06-12Z. Locally heavy rain threat will be increasing
closer to 12Z as well but the bulk of the heavy rain will
probably stay confined to NE NC until later Thu morning. Will
have some low chance PoPs reaching as far N as the VA eastern
shore and metro RIC (with minimal QPF) prior to 12Z. Warm/humid
with lows mainly 70-75F.

WPC Day 2 excessive rain outlook highlights the eastern 1/2 of
the CWA in a Marginal Risk for Thu (though 12Z/Fri). Some of the
high res model data shows extreme rainfall amts reaching the
eastern shore and even into eastern VA W of the Bay later
thu/thu night. The GFS/ECMWF have trended a little heavier in
their QPF output as well so have trended the forecast upward to
show heavy rain later Thu AM into Thu aftn across NE NC/SE VA,
and eventually the eastern shore as a consensus foreacst of the
sfc low is near or just off the coast or ern NC/SE VA by
00z/Fri. Likely PoPs SE with chance Pops N and W. Highs upper
80s/near 90F NW to the lower-mid 80s SE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Wednesday...

PoPs Thurs and Fri remain high chance to likely through the
period (highest near the coast). Overall the most widespread
coverage at this time looks to be Thu/Thurs nite, shifting to
the ne by Fri. A marginal ERO risk conts for the local area
Thursday mainly for localized flash flooding east of I95. Highs
Thurs/Fri in the mid-upr 80s. Lows Thurs nite 70-75. Kept high
chance to likely PoPs Fri (highest E). PoPs diminish Fri nite as
the systm pulls to the ne. Lows 70-75.

QPF wise, will carry a general 1-2 inch event (with lcl heavier amts)
east of I95, less than an inch to the west.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...

Overall the operational models are in decent agreement with a
Eastern US Trough being the dominant weather feature in the
extended period, but the strength of the trough differs. The GFS
is sharpest and deepest during the period while the ECMWF is
quicker to begin lifting the trough out toward the end of the
period. For now have blended between the two with having more
convective activity early in the period on Sunday and Monday
with a stronger trough and an associated sfc cold front moving
into the area. Then begin to lessen the chances for convection
by mid week as the surface front dissipates and the Bermuda High
starts to rebuild into the SE US. The pops are mainly diurnal
with the best chances for pcpn late in the afternoon into the
early evening. For temperatures have kept readings in the low
90s through the period, but should the trough deepen a little
more on Sunday into Monday, would not be surprised to see
temperatures held down just a touch into the upper 80s for early
in the week. But overall should not be far from normal with
highs in the lower 90s and lows in the low to mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday...

Scattered/numerous showers (and isolated embedded tstms) will
continue across southern VA and NE NC through 00Z. Flight
restrictions will mostly be from MVFR CIGs and VSBYs in these
showers but brief IFR VSBYs will occur in the heaviest rain.
Partly sunny/mainly dry at RIC/SBY. Winds are from the E/SE at
around 10kt, but from the E at 10-15kt at the coast.

Mainly VFR conditions this evening as showers diminish (a low
chance will persist across NE NC). Patchy fog will be possible
overnight across the Piedmont and on the eastern shore and have
included this in the TAf at SBY from 06-12Z. Low pressure off
the southern NC coast will bring a steady increase in low level
moisture Thu AM. While most of the rain will stay confined to
far SE VA/NE NC until late Thu morning, there is a good chance
for flight restrictions in low clouds to develop at all sites
prior to 12Z and for now have mainly MVFR CIGs early Thu AM.
Rain becomes fairly widespread with MVFR CIGs/VSBYs during the
day Thu (may not be until the aftn for RIC/SBY).

OUTLOOK...
Shower chances remain high (especially along the coast) Thu
night through Fri as low pressure moves NNE from NE NC to the
Delmarva coast. Breezy E/NE winds become NE to N Fri. Scattered
tstms possible Sat, generally less coverage Sun.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 430 AM EDT Wednesday...

Weak area of high pressure remain offshore in the western
Atlantic Ocean. As a results, winds are SE 5-10 kt and are
expected to persist into tonight. Waves in the bay will be
around 1 ft today, and seas across the ocean coastal waters will
be 2-3 ft.

A sfc low pressure system has developed across South Carolina
and is expected to deepen as it track north along the Carolina
coast. Easterly winds will begin to increase late Wednesday
night and into Thursday morning as the center of low pressure moves
closer to the area. At this time, winds are expected to be
E-ENE around 20 kt with a few gusts up to 30 kt Thursday into
Thursday night as the low tracks north across the Outer Banks
and VA coast. Winds will begin to decrease as the center of low
pressure moves north of the MD/DE border.

Thursday and Thursday night, waves in the Chesapeake Bay and
lower James River will be 2-3 ft (4-5 ft near the mouth of the
bay), and seas along the Atlantic coastal waters will be 4-6 ft.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LKB
NEAR TERM...LKB
SHORT TERM...LKB/MPR
LONG TERM...ESS
AVIATION...LKB/MPR
MARINE...CP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 8, 3:25 AM EDT, 13 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
325 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-
093-095>100-509>525-090730-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-
Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-
Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-
Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
Accomack-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
325 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern
Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall could produce some
localized flooding across the area Thursday. The heaviest rain
is expected to fall east of Interstate 95.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 8, 2:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
228 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

VAZ092-093-096-081900-
Isle of Wight-Southampton-Suffolk-
228 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ISLE OF
WIGHT...AND EAST CENTRAL SOUTHAMPTON COUNTIES...THE CITY OF FRANKLIN
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CITY OF SUFFOLK...

At 227 PM EDT, a thunderstorm with heavy rain was located over
Carrsville, or near Franklin, moving west at 20 mph.

Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Courtland, Holland, Suffolk, Hunterdale, Sedley,
Carrsville, Lummis, Collosse, Lees Mill, Walters, Burdette, Elwood
and Story.

Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of this storm. Be
prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy rain
could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor flooding of
ditches and poor drainage areas.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3671 7668 3659 7679 3669 7710 3682 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 110DEG 19KT 3669 7687

05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:15 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQIsle of Wight3 hr
Jul 8, 2:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Franklin32 min
Jul 8, 4:24 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAKQ63 hr

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in Virginia, 2020Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2020Every beach hazards statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.