Gale Warning 3, NWS Juneau, AK

204 
FZAK67 PAJK 161259
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
359 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-170700-
359 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
Strong high pressure persists over NW Canada producing strong
outflow winds through Friday. 

$$

PKZ310-170700-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
359 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. NE swell. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

694 
FZAK67 PAJK 162347
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
247 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-171800-
247 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
Weak low pressure in the SE Gulf will persist through Friday
morning. A gale force front will then approach the southern
Panhandle from the south Friday night into Saturday. High
pressure persists across NW Canada.  

$$

PKZ310-171800-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
247 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. NE swell. 
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain in the evening.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

094 
FZAK67 PAJK 171215
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
315 AM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-180615-
315 AM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force front will then approach the eastern gulf from the 
south Friday night into Saturday. High pressure persists across NW
Canada. 

$$

PKZ310-180615-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
315 AM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to
13 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain in the evening. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

016 
FZAK67 PAJK 180030
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
330 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-181830-
330 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force front approaches the eastern gulf from the south 
Friday night into Saturday and swings NW through Sunday morning. 
High pressure persists across NW Canada. 

$$

PKZ310-181830-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
330 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain early in the evening. 
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow in the evening.
Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

765 
FZAK67 PAJK 181242
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
342 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-190645-
342 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force front across the SE Gulf and Dixon Entrance swings
NW through Sunday morning. High pressure persists across NW
Canada.  

$$

PKZ310-190645-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
342 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft subsiding in the afternoon. Rain in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

330 
FZAK67 PAJK 190004
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
304 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-191815-
304 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force front across the SE Gulf and Dixon Entrance swings
NW through Sunday morning. High pressure will persist across NW
Canada.  

$$

PKZ310-191815-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
304 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain in the evening. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

536 
FZAK67 PAJK 191225
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
325 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-200630-
325 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force front hugging the northeastern gulf will move to
the NW Sunday morning, while the associated low in the  central
gulf heads towards Kodiak Island. High pressure continue  to sit
across NW Canada.  

$$

PKZ310-200630-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
325 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
246 PM AKST Wed Jan 15 2020

.SHORT TERM...While the cold continues across Southeast Alaska
today, actual temperatures have warmed slightly across many parts
of the area, mainly due to greater mixing of the lower boundary
layer. Estimated from MDCRS soundings, some parts of the region
had a very low inversion of 300 feet, which mixed out around
midday leading to some sharper temperature rises. However, with
wind comes wind chills; thus it was still unpleasant for many
Southeast Alaskans to be outdoors for long. The wind chill warning
for White Pass still runs into tomorrow morning. If one calls 50
below wind chill a break, anyone venturing outside on the high
point of the Klondike Highway today experienced one. Despite the
respite, we leave the warning in place as we expect both winds to
rise and temperatures to fall overnight. In fact, the warning may
need to be extended into early afternoon Thursday, but we will
take a second look Thursday morning before being absolutely
certain.

Gusty high winds in Juneau continue as weak cold air advection
from Canada continues through our mountain passes. Cross barrier
flow, while not extraordinary as estimated by the models should
strengthen tonight. All high res models are supporting a sharp
rise in wind gusts late tonight into Thursday morning. Therefore,
the gusts to 85 mph for Downtown Juneau and Douglas still seem
reasonable. In fact, as the gradient responds to a low pressing up
the BC Coast from the south, we should see the tightening gradient
even further. Now heading into the weekend, a new front looks to
form out in the North Pacific. We have gale force easterlies
building over the gulf. This should support another period of
potentially high winds for Downtown Juneau late Friday into at
least Saturday night. To prepare for this, we have dried out
conditions by reducing pop markedly for the northern Panhandle
during this time, in line with temperatures still well below
normal. But we have also begun warming temperatures a bit earlier
on Sunday as we allow the precipitation bands to climb north.
Thus, late Saturday night into Sunday, we are looking for possibly
significant snow potential for the southern Panhandle but much
lighter snow for the north.

Lastly, we did nudge upward temperatures for the next 30 hours over
the Inner Channels using the HRRR which seems to be performing
far better than the NBM's disappointing cold bias. We still left
the heavy freezing spray for Sumner Strait late tonight into
tomorrow morning, as Stikine River outflow may be pretty
impressive overnight, and temperatures in Wrangell are indeed
quite cold in the middle teens.

.LONG TERM...Change is still in the works for the next week as
the cold dry weather starts gives in to warming temperatures and
rain creeping into the forecast, perhaps even for some locations
in the northern Panhandle. Forecast confidence past the weekend
is still suffering from what the upstream upper level features
will do, but the overall message is a gradual warm up with
southerly onshore flow. Forecast confidence is moderate favoring
the WPC and NBM for updates.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning until 9 PM AKST Thursday for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind from late tonight through Thursday morning for
     AKZ022.
     Strong Wind through Thursday morning for AKZ021.
     Strong Wind through Thursday afternoon for AKZ019.
     Wind Chill Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon AKST Thursday
     for AKZ019.
     Wind Chill Warning until 10 AM AKST Thursday for AKZ018.
     Strong Wind through late tonight for AKZ018.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011-031.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ013.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ031.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ035.
     Storm Warning for PKZ012.
     Gale Warning for PKZ013-021-022-031-043-051.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-032>036-041-042-052-053.

&&

JWA/EAL

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1134 AM AKST WED JAN 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0129 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 N DOUGLAS             58.29N 134.39W
01/14/2020                                      AK   C-MAN STATION

            OBSERVED WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AT 1PM. NO DAMAGE REPORTED

0129 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ENE DOUGLAS             58.28N 134.39W
01/14/2020                                      AK   C-MAN STATION

            OBSERVED WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AT 946AM. NO DAMAGE
            REPORTED

0129 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW DOUGLAS           58.30N 134.43W
01/14/2020                                      AK   C-MAN STATION

            OBSERVED WIND GUST OF 63 MPH AT 1PM. NO DAMAGE REPORTED

0202 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW DOUGLAS            58.30N 134.43W
01/14/2020  M64.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

            PEAK WIND REPORTED AT THE MARINE EXCHANGE OFFICE.

0503 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW DOUGLAS           58.29N 134.40W
01/14/2020  M76.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

            PEAK WIND REPORTED AT JUNEAU AJ DOCK.

0522 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N DOUGLAS             58.29N 134.39W
01/14/2020  M90.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

            PEAK WIND REPORTED AT JUNEAU AML DOCK.

0603 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ENE DOUGLAS             58.28N 134.39W
01/14/2020  M61.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

            PEAK WIND REPORTED AT SOUTH DOUGLAS ISLAND.

0422 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE DOUGLAS           58.29N 134.39W
01/15/2020  M75.00 MPH                          AK   C-MAN STATION

0808 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ENE DOUGLAS             58.28N 134.39W
01/15/2020  M60.00 MPH                          AK   C-MAN STATION

0812 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW DOUGLAS           58.30N 134.43W
01/15/2020  M67.00 MPH                          AK   C-MAN STATION

0812 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N DOUGLAS             58.29N 134.40W
01/15/2020  M81.00 MPH                          AK   C-MAN STATION

&&

JRUCKMAN