Wind Advisory 5, NWS Fairbanks, AK

272 
WWAK73 PAFG 190710
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1110 PM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

AKZ226-200000-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0005.200319T2100Z-200320T0800Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including the cities of Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, 
Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
1110 PM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
AKDT THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Alaska Range.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Thursday to midnight AKDT Thursday night.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

049 
WWAK73 PAFG 192321
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
321 PM AKDT Thu Mar 19 2020

AKZ226-200730-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-200320T0800Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including the cities of Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, 
Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
321 PM AKDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Alaska Range.

* WHEN...Until midnight AKDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

681 
WWAK73 PAFG 200536
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
936 PM AKDT Thu Mar 19 2020

AKZ226-200645-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-200320T0800Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including the cities of Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, 
Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
936 PM AKDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have diminished.

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
254 PM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
The active weather pattern continues as the parade of coastal
storms move inland, bringing a menagerie of winter weather to the
Northland. One low is currently exiting into the Yukon Territory,
and this will bring an end to snow and blowing snow to the North
Slope and Eastern Interior by late this afternoon. The next
coastal storm is quickly moving from the Bering Sea up to the West
Coast, and that will bring rapidly deteriorating conditions to the
West Coast and Western Interior tonight. This front will move
inland and bring widespread light snow and some areas of blowing
snow to the Interior Thursday through Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Analysis and Upper Levels...
The upper level height field consists of an elongated upper level
trough moving east across the Eastern Interior and Eastern North
Slope. Sharp shortwave ridging is moving into the Central Interior
out ahead of a vigorous warm front moving east toward the West
Coast. This front is associated with an occluded 967 hpa surface
low over the Bering Sea just east of the Kamchatka Peninsula. The
tightest pressure gradient exists over the North Slope where winds
are gusting from the Southwest into the 35-50 MPH range. Southeast
winds are already beginning to pick up across the Saint Lawrence
Island and along the exposed Capes across the West Coast ahead of
the next vigorous warm front.

Model Discussion...
The numerical weather models are in excellent agreement with the
storm track and timing of the next two systems expected to move
across the Northland. There has been little changes and forecast
confidence is rather high for the next three days in the pattern
and expected impacts.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
The main story across the region will be continued windy and well
above average weather conditions for the area as a series of
storms track into the Arctic. The general pattern will favor heavy
snow along the Southern Brooks Range, although areas north of the
Brooks Range will only see sporadic snow showers through Friday.
The strongest front will move across the North Slope on Friday and
Friday evening which will be accompanied by snow and blowing snow,
once again. Temperatures will fall back closer to normal, but
still above average, heading into the weekend.

West Coast and Western Interior...
A powerful warm front is churning eastward across the Bering Sea
and will begin to impact the coastline early this evening,
spreading inland by tonight. A rather substantial moisture plume
can be seen on satellite, and in conjunction with warm air which
will exceed 0C aloft (around 4000-6000 feet), some mixed freezing
rain will be possible along the southwest Coast and across parts
of the southwest Interior. However, most of the precipitation
will fall in the form of heavy snow with upslope favored locations
across the mountains of the Seward Peninsula and Baird Mountains
seeing in excess of a foot of snow. Interior locations will see a
widespread 3-5" with some localized 4-7". Expect strong southerly
gales along the coast in conjunction with snow, so areas of
widespread areas of blowing snow are likely with some localized
blizzard conditions along the coastline.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Snow will come to an end (along with any highway summit blowing
snow) by this evening as the upper trough responsible moves east
into the Yukon and ridging aloft builds in. The next major system
to impact the region will move in Thursday afternoon and will
quickly move east Thursday night. This will bring more widespread
snow along with much stronger southwest winds as cold air
advection moves across the Northland. What this means is snow
accumulations will be accompanied by gusty winds from the
southwest Thursday night and Friday which should favor regions of
blowing and drifting snow. Vertical mixing and a tight gradient
should also help mix winds down into valleys, including the
Fairbanks region and other normally sheltered valleys. Gusty winds
and snow showers will persist through Friday night before yet
another low with accumulating snow moves in Saturday.

Extended Forecast Days 3-7...
Beginning the extended period forecast on Saturday evening, there
will be yet another low tracking across the Northland with snow
across most of the interior. This low will exit on Saturday night
with a series of low pressure systems tracking across the region
well into next week. This means the very active pattern will
continue with multiple shots of accumulating snow for almost all
of the Northland. Stay tuned...

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...There is no major storm
expected for this period, although elevated water/ice levels are
possible behind a strong low moving inland Thursday night and
Friday.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Wind Advisory for AKZ226.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ211-AKZ213-
AKZ217.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ204-AKZ212-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-
AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

AHSENMACHER MAR 20

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1019 AM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

AKZ207-209>214-182100-
Chukchi Sea Coast-Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley-
Northern and Interior Seward Peninsula-
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-Yukon Delta-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, Espenberg, Kotzebue,
Selawik, Noorvik, Buckland, Deering, Candle, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, Serpentine Hot Springs, Taylor, Nome,
White Mountain, Golovin, Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim,
Koyuk, Shaktoolik, Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller,
Wales, Diomede, Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Pilot Station, St Marys, Scammon Bay, Marshall, Nunam Iqua,
and Pitkas Point
1019 AM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

Strong southwest winds from ongoing storms along the West Coast will
cause sea levels to rise 3-4 ft above normal Thursday and
Thursday night. This may cause water to seep up between cracks in
ice along the coast. Residents are encouraged to take precautions
to protect property on the ice.

After this storm, the parade of storms looks to continue.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1134 AM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

AKZ207-209>214-202000-
Chukchi Sea Coast-Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley-
Northern and Interior Seward Peninsula-
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-Yukon Delta-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, Espenberg, Kotzebue,
Selawik, Noorvik, Buckland, Deering, Candle, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, Serpentine Hot Springs, Taylor, Nome,
White Mountain, Golovin, Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim,
Koyuk, Shaktoolik, Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller,
Wales, Diomede, Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Pilot Station, St Marys, Scammon Bay, Marshall, Nunam Iqua,
and Pitkas Point
1134 AM AKDT Wed Mar 18 2020

Strong southwest winds from ongoing storms along the West Coast will
cause sea levels to rise 3-4 ft above normal Thursday and
Thursday night. This may cause water to seep up between cracks in
ice along the coast. Residents are encouraged to take precautions
to protect property on the ice.

After this storm, the parade of storms looks to continue.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1143 AM AKDT WED MAR 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 AM     SNOW             HORSESHOE MANOR         64.77N 147.35W
03/18/2020  M1.2 INCH        FAIRBANKS NORTH STAAK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            MEASURED 1.2 INCHES NEW SNOW, WE 0.07, SNOW
            AND VERY SMALL ICE PELLETS.

&&

JAC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1147 AM AKDT WED MAR 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     SNOW             2 W TWO RIVERS          64.87N 147.17W
03/18/2020  M1.3 INCH        FAIRBANKS NORTH STAAK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TEMP 28.

&&

JAC