Storm Warning 231, NWS Anchorage, AK

647 
FZAK52 PAFC 251255
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-260200-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Friday morning there is a 982 mb low at 56N 156W. This low will 
move north to 58N 159W Friday afternoon and weaken to 986 mb. 
Additionally, there is a 985 mb low 200 nm northwest of Saint Paul
on Fri at 992 mb and then weakens by Sat morning over the Central
Bering. Friday evening there is a 968 mb low 455 nm southwest of 
Attu and it will move 200 nm south of Shemya at 942 mb on Sat 
morning.

$$

PKZ150-260200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 45 kt. Seas 
18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ155-260200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-260200-
Bristol Bay-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 45 kt. Seas 
11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-260200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. From Port
Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-260200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
Rain with snow.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-260200-
Unalaska Bay-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-260200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE 40 wind kt in the morning increasing to 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ173-260200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-260200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 37 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 40 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ175-260200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-260200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft 
subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft after 
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 47 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 45 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ177-260200-
Adak to Kiska-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Bering side, seas 18 ft. Pacific side, seas 24
ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 55 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 43 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ178-260200-
Kiska to Attu-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 25 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. From
Shemya W, N wind 55 kt. Seas 27 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ179-260200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 15 ft 
subsiding to 10 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 45 kt. Seas 11 ft 
building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-260200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming variable up to 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray
in the evening.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-260200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray in the evening.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-260200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
355 AM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 30 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 40 kt. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

707 
FZAK52 PAFC 260042
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-261400-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 90 nm west of King Salmon will move 30 nm north of 
Dillingham at 995 mb on Sat morning and then weakens as it moves 
over Bristol Bay through Sat. A 992 mb low 150 nm northwest of 
Saint Paul on Fri afternoon will weaken by Sat morning over the 
Central Bering. A 966 mb low 515 nm northeast of Shemya on Fri 
afternoon will move 224 nm north of Adak on Sun afternoon at 941 
mb.

$$

PKZ150-261400-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261400-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. 
From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261400-
Bristol Bay-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray. 
Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261400-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. From Port
Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. 
From Port Moller E, SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261400-
Unalaska Bay-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 
2 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft building to 35 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 41 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261400-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261400-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 55 kt. Seas 46 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 45 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 43 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261400-
Adak to Kiska-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Bering side, seas 18 ft. Pacific side, seas 24
ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Bering side, E wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after
midnight. Pacific side, W wind 55 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...41 ft
Pacific side. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261400-
Kiska to Attu-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 25 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 55 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. From
Shemya W, NE wind 60 kt becoming N 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 27 
ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Bering side, NE wind 45 kt becoming N 30 kt after
midnight. Pacific side, NW wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Snow and 
widespread rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261400-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 10 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261400-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261400-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
Freezing spray.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261400-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
342 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 30 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 40 kt. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

299 
FZAK52 PAFC 260614 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

Updated zone 178

PKZ199-261930-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 90 nm west of King Salmon will move 30 nm north of 
Dillingham at 995 mb on Sat morning and then weakens as it moves 
over Bristol Bay through Sat. A 992 mb low 150 nm northwest of 
Saint Paul on Fri afternoon will weaken by Sat morning over the 
Central Bering. A 966 mb low 515 nm northeast of Shemya on Fri 
afternoon will move 224 nm north of Adak on Sun afternoon at 941 
mb.

$$

PKZ150-261930-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261930-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. 
From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261930-
Bristol Bay-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray. 
Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261930-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. From Port
Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. 
From Port Moller E, SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261930-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261930-
Unalaska Bay-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 
2 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261930-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261930-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261930-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft building to 35 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 41 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261930-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261930-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 55 kt. Seas 46 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 45 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 43 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261930-
Adak to Kiska-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Bering side, seas 18 ft. Pacific side, seas 24
ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Bering side, E wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after
midnight. Pacific side, W wind 55 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...41 ft
Pacific side. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261930-
Kiska to Attu-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 65 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 25 ft after 
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 55 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. From
Shemya W, NE wind 65 kt becoming N 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
27 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Bering side, NE wind 45 kt becoming N 30 kt after
midnight. Pacific side, NW wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Snow and 
widespread rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261930-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 10 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261930-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261930-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
Freezing spray.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261930-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
914 PM AKST Fri Dec 25 2020

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 30 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 40 kt. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
439 AM AKST Thu Dec 24 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The longwave trough extends from mainland Alaska to the western
Bering. There is a surface low north of Bethel, another surface
low south of Sand Point and a cluster of lows in the Western
Bering with the front east of Adak. The radars at Bethel, King
Salmon, Kenai and Middleton Island all have showers on them early
this morning. Lightning was detected northeast of Adak overnight.
On ASCAT (Advanced Scatterometer) imagery gale and storm force
winds were detected near Shemya and there is a second area of
gales and storm force winds south of the AKPEN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are struggling in the first 48 hr forecast period. The
discrepancies are apparent at the surface and at 500 mb (the
middle atmosphere). This is impacting the placement and the
intensity of the surface lows as well as the p-type (rain vs.
snow). Overall, the North Pacific and the Bering continue to be
active with multiple lows the next 96 hrs. Updates to the forecast
will be made as needed.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The Kenai radar has pinged into showers over portions of
Cook Inlet. The models show some of this moisture moving up Cook
Inlet and near the aerodrome. The models also show a finger of the
jet moving directly over PANC by 18z today. And by 3z Friday this
jet sliver will be over Denali and Fairbanks. Generally expecting
VFR conditions this TAF package. However, based on the
observations at PAEN overnight, if moves across PANC the category
could briefly drop below VFR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Thursday through Saturday)...

A quiet weather pattern is expected for Southcentral AK,
especially for inland areas. The exception will be Kodiak and the
Southern Kenai Peninsula, as a low pressure currently moving into
the Western Gulf will provide precipitation and windy conditions.
Gale force winds can be expected from this system, with highest
winds in gaps and passes. Another low is anticipated to move into
the Northeastern Gulf on Saturday, following the coastline up from
the panhandle. This low still has a lot of uncertainty associated
with it, so more to come on this low as the weekend approaches.
Right now it looks gale force at most and is confined to the coast.

The only significant weather for the rest of mainland AK is that a
high presure setup over Interior Southcentral and low pressure in
the Gulf will cause off-shore winds to blow down the Cook Inlet
and through other gaps around Valdez and the Copper River Delta.
The Mat Valley wind is also expected to pick up. These winds will
be aided by cooler temperatures in the Copper River Basin.
Otherwise, expect quiet weather and pleasant temperatures the next
few days for your holiday festivities.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Bands of snow showers along with gusty northwesterly winds will
persist from Hooper Bay south to Kuskokwim Bay this morning in
the wake of a compact are of low pressure lifting toward Norton
Sound. As it departs the YK-Delta today, cloud cover and winds
will be on a downward trend from the Kuskokwim Delta coast to the
Kuskokwim Valley as a ridge extends over the region tonight. This
ridge will be quickly pushed to the north for Friday as an area of
low pressure south of Kodiak Island this morning tracks to
Bristol Bay.

As the low tracks north, clouds will quickly increase with snow
developing over the AKPEN later today. Snow will then spread over
Bristol Bay and the Middle Kuskokwim Valley by early Friday
morning. Gusty northeasterly winds will also develop in
association with the low, allowing for period of drifting and
blowing snow, especially from Dillingham to Koliganek where the
highest snowfall totals are expected. Snow and gusty winds will
then increase over the Kuskokwim Delta early Friday morning, with
areas of blowing snow also possible. Snow totals are not expected
to be as high, maybe an inch or two, but the colder air in place
will make for a drier snow, thus allowing for better transport.

The low will stall over Bristol Bay through Friday with light snow
continuing across the Southwest coast. Bands of snow showers will
also be likely from Port Heiden to Cold Bay, with reduced
visibilities at times in heavy snow bands, as colder air and
moistures wraps around the back side of the low. The low finally
weakens and moves onshore near Dillingham on Saturday with
scattered snow showers lingering over the higher terrain. The next
weather front will move toward the AKPEN and Southwest coast for
Sunday with gusty southeasterly winds and mixed precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A ridge over the eastern Bering today will be replaced by an area
of low pressure moving over Bristol Bay from south of Kodiak
Island. Colder air wrapping around the low will usher colder air
south across the eastern half of the Bering through late
Saturday, enhancing show shower activity from Nunivak Island south
to the AKPEN.

Farther west, a complex low with multiple centers of circulation
continues to move southeast from the western Bering to the central
and eastern Aleutians through late Friday. Areas of gales and
storm-force winds will wrap around the western periphery of these
lows as they pull colder air over the Bering from Siberia. The
first of these lows will slide a front across the Chain today,
with gusty northwesterly winds and bands of heavy snow showers
developing behind the front closer to the low. These snow showers
could reduce visibility at times to near one half mile for places
like Adak and Atka through early Friday morning.

A rapidly deepening North Pacific low will then push a front to
the western Aleutians by late Friday. The low itself will deepen
to around 940 mb as it crosses the Rat Islands by Saturday morning
with a wide area of storm force winds, and perhaps smaller areas
of hurricane-force winds, developing both along the front over the
Bering and wrapping underneath the low. This low will then slow
and become nearly stationary somewhere near Shemya as it deepens
to a near 930 mb low with storm force-winds covering a wide area
of the western Bering and Aleutians. This system will push a front
across the central and eastern Bering late Saturday into Sunday
with widespread rain and snow along with gales from Saint Paul to
Dutch Harbor and Cold Bay.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Saturday through Monday)...

Gulf of Alaska:  No significant winds/seas are expected on Saturday.
On Sunday some small craft southerlies work into the western Gulf
as a weakening front moves in from the west. There is some upside
risk to lower end Gales around the Barren Islands. On Monday
generally small craft easterlies are expected across the Gulf, but
there will continue to be a risk for Gales for southern portions
of the Cook Inlet.

Bering Sea: On Saturday a powerful area of low pressure sets up
across the western Bering with a gale force front extending
through the central Bering into the eastern Aleutians. Models
continue to struggle with the exact placement of this front and
the overall intensification rate of this low, but future forecasts
may need the introduction of storm force winds along a good
portion of this front (up from the current widespread Gales). On
Sunday and Monday this low remains mostly stationary across the
western Bering, but models indicate that a few smaller areas of
low pressure may rotate around this larger low, which could result
in some compact areas of Gales or even storm force winds across
portions of the Bering/Aleutians, but pinning down the
location/timing of these lows remains difficult at this range.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

The biggest feature in the long term will be the broad and persistent
low across the western Bering. This low will have a broad occluded
front extending through Southwest Alaska and the AKPen on Sunday,
with this front lifting towards the Northern Gulf Coast Sunday
night into Monday. This front will bring a wintry mix to southwest
AK, and another round of higher elevation snows to the Eastern
Kenai and Prince William Sound, but with minimal impacts for areas
further interior. For Tuesday and Wednesday a few compact lows
look to continue to pivot around a broader low across the Bering
continuing the unsettled pattern there. Relatively quiet conditions
will be found across the Gulf of Alaska and Southcentral. A welcome
break from the extremely active pattern we have been in as of
late.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm 413173 175. Gale 130 131 132 136 352 411 412 150
155 172 174 176 177 178. Heavy Freezing Spray 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PJS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BJB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
MARINE/LONG TERM...BG