Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2020
Gale Warning 75, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 18, 2020, 3:30 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 18, 2020, 3:30 PM AKST (00:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2020, 3:26 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
755 FZAK51 PAFC 190030 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-191300- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues across the Gulf through Mon afternoon due to a series of North Pacific lows. A 981 mb low 335 nm Southwest of Port Alexander moves to 35 nm South of Seward at 994 mb by Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ119-191300- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta this evening. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray near the coast. Snow. .SUN...E wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Freezing spray along the coast in the morning. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-191300- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-191300- Resurrection Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow. .MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-191300- Prince William Sound- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of Valdez Arm. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-191300- Port Valdez- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-191300- Valdez Narrows- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-191300- Valdez Arm- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-191300- Passage Canal- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray in the evening. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-191300- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-191300- Barren Islands East- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ132-191300- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-191300- Chiniak Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-191300- Marmot Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-191300- Shelikof Strait- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-191300- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-191300- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-191300- Kachemak Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
103 FZAK51 PAFC 190518 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 Updated zones 119 and 125 Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-191830- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues across the Gulf through Mon afternoon due to a series of North Pacific lows. A 981 mb low 335 nm Southwest of Port Alexander moves to 35 nm South of Seward at 994 mb by Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ119-191830- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow. .SUN...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-191830- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-191830- Resurrection Bay- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow. .MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-191830- Prince William Sound- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of Valdez Arm. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-191830- Port Valdez- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-191830- Valdez Narrows- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-191830- Valdez Arm- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-191830- Passage Canal- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray in the evening. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-191830- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-191830- Barren Islands East- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ132-191830- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-191830- Chiniak Bay- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-191830- Marmot Bay- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-191830- Shelikof Strait- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-191830- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-191830- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-191830- Kachemak Bay- 818 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
499 FZAK51 PAFC 191206 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-200045- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues across the Gulf through Mon afternoon due to a series of North Pacific lows. A trough moves over the Alaska Peninsula into Bristol Bay this afternoon. A 981 mb low 335 nm Southwest of Port Alexander moves to 35 nm South of Seward at 994 mb by Mon afternoon. Its front tracks through the Eastern Gulf through Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ119-200045- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON...Variable wind 10 kt except E 25 kt near the coast. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-200045- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-200045- Resurrection Bay- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-200045- Prince William Sound- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-200045- Port Valdez- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ127-200045- Valdez Narrows- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-200045- Valdez Arm- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ129-200045- Passage Canal- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ130-200045- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-200045- Barren Islands East- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ132-200045- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt except N 20 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-200045- Chiniak Bay- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-200045- Marmot Bay- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-200045- Shelikof Strait- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-200045- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-200045- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. .MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-200045- Kachemak Bay- 306 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
794 FZAK51 PAFC 200026 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-201300- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 987 mb low 115 nm southeast of Middleton Island moves to 120 nm south of Seward at 1000 mb and dissipates Tue afternoon. A 987 mb low moves moves to 50 nm south of Seward before becoming a trough along the north Gulf Tue morning. $$ PKZ119-201300- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Along the coast, E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-201300- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-201300- Resurrection Bay- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-201300- Prince William Sound- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ126-201300- Port Valdez- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ127-201300- Valdez Narrows- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-201300- Valdez Arm- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ129-201300- Passage Canal- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...Variable wind up to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-201300- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ131-201300- Barren Islands East- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ132-201300- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ136-201300- Chiniak Bay- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-201300- Marmot Bay- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-201300- Shelikof Strait- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 4 ft. .MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-201300- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-201300- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Snow. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. .WED...N wind 10 kt. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-201300- Kachemak Bay- 326 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 18, 4:11 AM AKST, 11 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 4:11 AM AKST, 11 hours 19 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
411 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A large upper level high centered over the Canadian Arctic is
being displaced eastward by an equally large low tracking
near Sand Point. This is leading to scattered rain and/or snow
showers across much of the Bering/Aleutians. Winds aloft are
advecting an area of moisture associated with a ~980 mb surface
low in the Gulf northward towards Kodiak Island. Easterly winds at
the surface are subsequently causing snow squalls to develop
there, which will generally continue through the day. The most
intense bands are expected to occur this morning. As such, a
Winter Storm Warning is currently in effect. Mostly clear skies
and calm winds encompass much of Southcentral Alaska with the
exception of the usual gusty northeasterly outflow winds in the
Chugach terrain gaps.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good agreement for the short term. Agreement
begins to deteriorate on Sunday, particularly with the position
of a low tracking into the Gulf and thus confidence is low after
around 24 hours. That said, snow does appear likely along Prince
William Sound Sunday and Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level flow will become more southerly through Sunday
night as the upper high over northern Alaska retreats eastward.
This will bring increasing clouds to the southern mainland
beginning Sunday, with precipitation reaching the Gulf coast. Some
snow is possible over the western Kenai and over the eastern
Copper River basin Sunday night.
For Kodiak Island today, expect considerable precipitation as a
strong inverted trough moves across the area from the Gulf. This
precipitation will fall mainly as snow, though some rain could be
mixed in at times with temperatures in the lower to mid 30s. Up
to a foot of snow is possible over the northern portion of the
Island, and considerable winds will create reduced visibilities
in blowing snow as well.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The potential for snow showers will increase this morning as
easterly upper level waves push into Southwest Alaska over
Shelikof Strait towards the Alaska Range and Alaska Peninsula.
Through the afternoon, these waves will likely bring snow showers
west of King Salmon to coastal sites, including Dillingham and
Pilot Point as a deformation band sets up through the overnight
hours. There is still some uncertainty as to where the band of
snow showers will set up, but snow accumualtions should be
minimal through the duration. By Sunday, snow showers will begin
to taper off. Increased cloud cover extending across Southwest
Alaska should help to keep temperatures moderate over the next few
days.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A front over the central Bering will continue to weaken through
Sunday, which will keep scattered snow showers in the forecast for
much of the Bering, Aleutians and the Pribilofs throughout the
weekend. By Sunday morning, a weak low will enter the northern
Bering, but there is still model uncertainty in where this low
will track and how strong it will be. In any case, expect small
craft advisory winds to be associated with this system, which will
continue to be monitored for future forecast packages.
&&
.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)...
The Gulf of Alaska continues to look fairly quiet into next week.
Sunday into Monday a weak low pressure will create small craft
advisory winds along the north Gulf Coast with a barrier jet
there. Beyond that, weather calms. We are confident in this
forecast for the Gulf.
For the Bering Sea, guidance now indicates a compact low now
traversing the Central Bering northwest to southeast. This low is
reflected in the forecast. Gale force winds are forecast on the
backside of this low. High pressure and quieting weather are
expected to move in behind it. There is moderate confidence in
this forecast as the low was not previously depicted by model
guidance. This means it will likely need to be adjusted in coming
days as model guidance gets a better handle on it.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...
The long term forecast starts with weak low pressure in the Gulf
of Alaska, which will likely be producing snow in the Chugach.
Snowfall amounts and specific locations will be honed in the next
couple of days. This system decays Tuesday and becomes a nominal
factor in the weather. Out in the Bering, a compact low has been
identified by model guidance. This low will cross the Bering Sea
quickly and dissipate as it reaches the Southwest Coast on
Wednesday.
High pressure then builds in behind general low pressure for our
forecast area. A prominent upper level ridge looks to be oriented
southeast to northwest across the Alaska Peninsula into the
Bering. It will reflect as a surface high in the Bering Sea and
likely usher in more cold air for Southcentral AK. Right now the
Mat-Su is on the eastern (downstream and cold side) of the ridge,
so more cold air can be expected, but it will really depend on
where that border sets up and how much cloud cover we get. The
Copper River Basin has a shot to get some really cold air again,
as they will be on the eastern side of the ridge where cold air
will be pulled south from the Arctic. Models are in agreement of
the ridge setting up, but differ on placement slightly. So cold
temperatures will depend on what resolves over the next several
days. With this not occurring until late next week, there is time
to get this figured out.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Warning: 171.
MARINE...Storm Warning: 130.
Gale Warning: 120 127 131 132 136-139.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning: 127 139 160 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AH
MARINE/LONG TERM...BBIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 18, 1:06 PM AKST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
106 PM AKST SAT JAN 18 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S KODIAK 57.79N 152.40W
01/18/2020 E50 MPH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
NO SNOW - SHIELDED LOCATION. THUNDER AND LIGHTNING FRI
MORNING. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 50+ MPH.
1220 PM SNOW 2 ENE KODIAK 57.81N 152.34W
01/18/2020 M5.5 INCH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
MELTING CURRENTLY
1225 PM SNOW 5 SW KODIAK 57.75N 152.51W
01/18/2020 E5.0 INCH AK OTHER FEDERAL
MELTING RAPIDLY
&&
KUTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 3:30 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 18, 3:49 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Jan 18, 3:55 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 19, 3:06 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 19, 12:02 PM AKST | Wind Chill Advisory | AFC | 4 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.