Gale Warning 407, NWS Anchorage, AK

998 
FZAK51 PAFC 131151
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-140100-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 mb low 220 nm south of Middleton Island moves to 140 nm
southeast of Middleton Island at 1000 mb Mon night. The low then 
weakens and moves into the eastern Gulf Tue night.

$$

PKZ119-140100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-140100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-140100-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-140100-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-140100-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-140100-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-140100-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-140100-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-140100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-140100-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-140100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt except N 25 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-140100-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-140100-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-140100-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-140100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-140100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-140100-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

334 
FZAK51 PAFC 132356
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-141300-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 mb low 145 nm southeast of Kodiak moves into the eastern 
Gulf by Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-141300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt...except NE 20 kt along the coast. Seas 13 
ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-141300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt...except NE 20 kt along the coast. Seas 12 
ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-141300-
Resurrection Bay-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind to 10 kt becoming N wind 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-141300-
Prince William Sound-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-141300-
Port Valdez-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-141300-
Valdez Narrows-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming N wind 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-141300-
Valdez Arm-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-141300-
Passage Canal-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming Variable wind
10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-141300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-141300-
Barren Islands East-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Slight Chance of Thunderstorms. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-141300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-141300-
Chiniak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-141300-
Marmot Bay-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-141300-
Shelikof Strait-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-141300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-141300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-141300-
Kachemak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.TONIGHT...SW wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

012 
FZAK51 PAFC 141148
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150045-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1002 mb low 140 nm southeast of Middleton Island moves 200 nm
southeast of Middleton Island at 1008 mb Tue night and then 
weakens and exits the Gulf Wed night. 

$$

PKZ119-150045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150045-
Resurrection Bay-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150045-
Prince William Sound-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150045-
Port Valdez-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150045-
Valdez Narrows-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW wind 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150045-
Valdez Arm-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150045-
Passage Canal-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150045-
Barren Islands East-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150045-
Chiniak Bay-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150045-
Marmot Bay-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150045-
Shelikof Strait-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150045-
Kachemak Bay-
348 AM AKDT Tue Jul 14 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
521 AM AKDT Sun Jul 12 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An upper level low over Southwest Alaska continues to generate
showers over the greater Bristol Bay area this morning. Another
swath of showers over southern Cook Inlet and Prince William Sound is
moving to the northeast. Farther west, a pair of surface lows are
slowly tracking eastward south of the Aleutian Chain. A layer of
marine stratus remains in place across much of the Bering as well
as the Gulf of Alaska this morning.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Model solutions remain in fairly good agreement. There is good
consensus that the upper level low currently over Southwest
Alaska deepens and moves over the Gulf of Alaska. At the surface,
there is less consistency regarding where this low tracks beyond
Tuesday. The NAM was the preferred model for the placement of this
low in the Gulf. Farther west, model solutions agree on an
inbound low over the western Aleutians midweek, though there is
less consistency with the track and strength of this low as it
progresses eastward. In the meantime, higher resolution models
were preferred, particularly given the convective environment.

&&

.AVIATION...PANC...Gusty southeasterly winds may lull early this
morning before ramping back up by late morning. Low level wind
shear will be the main concern during the day Sunday before winds
diminish by Sunday evening. Ceilings should remain above VFR but
may drop to MVFR with passing showers.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today and
Monday)...

The upper level low over Southwest Alaska will move southward
through the day today. This will cause the broad flow over
Southcentral to turn southwesterly. The southwest onshore flow is
beginning to transport a much more stable marine air mass into
Southcentral, along with additional Pacific moisture. Thus, the
weather pattern today will feature scattered shower activity for
much of Southcentral from the southern Susitna Valley south and
east. North of there, the unstable air mass along with an airflow
that turns more out of the east later in the day will support a
chance of isolated thunderstorms along the Alaska Range and
Talkeetna Mountains. The overall coverage of thunderstorms will
be much less today than previous days.

Another changing aspect to the forecast will be the gusty gap
winds through Turnagain Arm, Knik River Valley, and the Copper
River Basin. As the low level flow turns southeasterly today, the
winds will be forced through those gaps. Meanwhile the low over
Southwest Alaska will help to further pull those winds westward.
Today should be a bit cooler than yesterday for most of
Southcentral, primarily due to significant cloud cover and
scattered rain shower activity.

Then on Monday, the upper low driving the weather across
Southcentral will shift eastward near Kodiak Island in the
morning. This will aid in the development of a North Pacific low
over the Gulf through the day. Strengthening easterly windflow
ahead of the low will get up to gale force across the offshore
waters south of Middleton Island. Meanwhile, the lift to the east
of the upper low which has been over Southcentral the past several
days will shift with the low over the Gulf. Thus, most inland
areas will finally get a break from all precipitation on Monday as
ridging and sunshine return, along with somewhat warmer
temperatures. Cloud cover and rain will persist along the coast
due to the Gulf low, but since the low is expected to track
eastward, the strongest winds will remain well offshore of the
coast. Even some coastal locations may see some sunshine at the
end of the day. The low will also begin turning the winds to the
offshore northerly direction on Monday, which in addition to
beginning a drier weather pattern, will end the gap winds as well.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

The upper level low that tracked south into the region yesterday
can be observed spinning in place over Southwest AK. This is as
expected. This means more thunderstorm activity today, though not
quite as intense as yesterday. Widely scattered thunderstorms are
in the forecast. This will be the last day of widespread
convection. Weather begins to clear out tomorrow with quiet
weather for the first part of this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Little change to the weather again today. High pressure continues
to dominate much of the Bering with stratus and fog trapped
beneath it. Low pressure continues to march slowly east just south
of the Aleutians, with its stretched out front riding right over
the islands themselves. This will continue cloud cover and rain
showers for them. More of the same for the next few days with high
confidence in the forecast.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Tuesday through Thursday)...

High pressure lingers across the Bering with easterly winds and
waves across the lower half and southerly winds and waves over the
upper half through Thu. High uncertainty comes with the initial
position and track of a North Pacific low, bringing problems with
movements and wind directions with the low through Thu. Confidence
is good for less than small craft winds and waves south of the
Aleutians through Thu.

Over the Gulf, a low center will track across the Gulf, however
certainty is low for frontal positions through Thu. East to
southeast winds and waves expected across the northern Gulf less
than small craft speeds, shifting to northerly winds and waves
around Kodiak Island and the western Gulf by Thu.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...

By Tuesday, the upper level low that is near Southwest Alaska
today will have moved over Kodiak Island and be in the central
Gulf of Alaska. This will start the period with high pressure over
Southwest Alaska and a front along the north Gulf coast. The high
pressure is not terribly strong but should spread over
Southcentral Alaska for the middle of next week. Southwest Alaska
will be susceptible for low stratus to advect into the region off
the Bering Sea, though rainfall should mainly be afternoon and evening
showers over higher terrain.

Afternoon and evening showers are also likely over interior parts
of Southcentral Alaska throughout the period.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales...351.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BJB
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/EZ