Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Aberdeen, SD

014 
WWUS83 KABR 201546 AAA
RFWABR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1046 AM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

MNZ039-046-202300-
/O.CON.KABR.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200420T2300Z/
Traverse-Big Stone-
1046 AM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 039 AND
046...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 039 Traverse and Fire 
  Weather Zone 046 Big Stone.

* WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 34 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Mohr

202 
WWUS83 KABR 202252
RFWABR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
552 PM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

MNZ039-046-210000-
/O.EXP.KABR.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200420T2300Z/
Traverse-Big Stone-
552 PM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 039 AND 046...

Fire danger will decrease this evening as temperatures decrease 
and relative humidity increases. Gusty winds will decrease over
the next few hours as well. 

$$

LUECK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1223 AM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

No major changes anticipated for the overnight period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

A weak upper level short wave tracking across southwestern SD will
bring light showers to the southwestern CWA through this evening.
Dry conditions are expected elsewhere thanks to a surface high
pressure. As the surface high drifts southeast, southwest to
westerly winds will develop, keeping lows in the 30s. A weak frontal
boundary sliding southward tonight will bring partly to mostly
cloudy skies. With a dry airmass in place tonight, will not mention
light showers as the NAM suggests.

An area of low pressure will slide southeastward across the region
on Monday. Strong northwesterly to northerly winds will develop
behind the surface low with gusts around 45 mph possible. Boundary
layer dew points off the RAP drop into the teens during the
afternoon hours which would produce min RH values below 30 percent.
The combination of strong winds and low dew points will create very
high fire danger on Monday. Will issue a fire weather watch for
eastern South Dakota and western MN. An additional fire weather
headline could be needed further west. A wind advisory will probably
be need as well Monday afternoon into Monday evening. Decreasing
winds Monday night, along with low dew points and mostly clear skies
should allow temperatures to drop into the 20s by Tuesday morning.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

A relatively quiet weather pattern will kick off the extended
portion of the forecast through midweek before it becomes a bit more
unsettled toward the end of the week into the weekend. High pressure
will slide south and east out of the eastern Dakotas and western
Minnesota on Tuesday as low pressure and associated frontal
boundaries approach the region from southern Canada. This system
will then push through the region on Wednesday. Dry conditions are
expected through midweek. A more active pattern then will set up
Thursday through the end of the period as successive waves move
through the region. We'll see increasing chances of rain along with
a few thunderstorms at times. At this point, these systems look to
move through fairly progressively so chances will be more on and
off. Temperatures are expected to remain at or above normal with the
warmest days of the period likely to be Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Apr 20 2020

VFR skies/vsbys are expected through Monday region wide. The wind
will also become gusty, especially for Monday afternoon/evening.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Fire Weather Watch from 8 AM CDT this morning through this
     afternoon for SDZ271>273.

MN...Fire Weather Watch from 8 AM CDT this morning through this
     afternoon for MNZ039-046.

&&

UPDATE...TDK
SHORT TERM...SD
LONG TERM...Vipond
AVIATION...Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
350 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-202100-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-
Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-
Hamlin-Deuel-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
350 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020 /250 PM MDT Sun Apr 19 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota,
central South Dakota, north central South Dakota and northeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Northwesterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 mph will be
possible on Monday. The winds, along with low afternoon relative
humidity values will promote very high fire danger.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SD