Wind Advisory 40, NWS Albuquerque, NM

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WWUS75 KABQ 240056
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
556 PM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

NMZ227-230-240200-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-201124T0100Z/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Union County-
556 PM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING...

Southwest winds will continue to decrease through the evening
hours across northeast New Mexico. Therefore, the wind advisory
will be allowed to expire. 

$$

NMZ223-224-226-239-240-241200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.201124T1600Z-201125T0000Z/
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
556 PM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM MST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southwest Chaves County, Eastern Lincoln County, 
  Central Highlands, South Central Mountains and South Central 
  Highlands.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
  Strong crosswinds will impact north to south oriented roadways. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ233-235>238-241200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.201124T1900Z-201125T0000Z/
Guadalupe County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-
556 PM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM MST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe County, Chaves County Plains, Curry County, 
  Roosevelt County and De Baca County.

* WHEN...From noon to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
  Strong crosswinds are expected on north to south oriented
  roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

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067 
WWUS75 KABQ 241047
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
347 AM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

NMZ234-241900-
/O.EXA.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.201124T1900Z-201125T0000Z/
Quay County-
347 AM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Quay County.

* WHEN...From noon to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Strong crosswinds are expected on north to south oriented 
  roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ223-224-226-239-240-241900-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.201124T1600Z-201125T0000Z/
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
347 AM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southwest Chaves County, Central Highlands, Eastern 
  Lincoln County, South Central Mountains and South Central 
  Highlands.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Strong crosswinds will impact north to south oriented roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ233-235>238-241900-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.201124T1900Z-201125T0000Z/
Guadalupe County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-
347 AM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM MST
THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe County, Chaves County Plains, Curry County, 
  Roosevelt County and De Baca County.

* WHEN...From noon to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Strong crosswinds are expected on north to south oriented 
  roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

512 
WWUS75 KABQ 241904
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1204 PM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

NMZ223-224-226-233>240-250000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-201125T0000Z/
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Guadalupe County-Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-
1204 PM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe County, Chaves County Plains, Curry County, 
  Roosevelt County and De Baca County.

* WHEN...From noon to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Strong crosswinds are expected on north to south oriented 
  roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

437 
WWUS75 KABQ 242345
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
445 PM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

NMZ223-224-226-233>240-250045-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-201125T0000Z/
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Guadalupe County-Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-
445 PM MST Tue Nov 24 2020

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

West to northwest winds have subsided across east central and
southeast New Mexico early this evening. Winds will continue to
shift around to the north and northeast as a cold front moves
through, but wind speeds will remain well below advisory criteria.
Therefore, the Wind Advisory will expire at 5 pm.

$$

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Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1048 AM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
LIFR conditions across eastern NM will be slow to improve today and
may remain IFR or lower through the period. Widespread mountain
obscurations will improve some this afternoon, but will deteriorate
overnight. Conditions will deteriorate overnight at KFMN and KGUP
with the onset of rain/snow ahead of an approaching trough and
associated cold front. Showers may move in the vicinity of KSAF, KABQ
and KAEG toward the end of the TAf period, with brief MVFR
conditions possible. Winds will crank-up Tuesday after the passage
of the cold front, with the strongest winds forecast after the end of
the TAF period.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...850 AM MST Mon Nov 23 2020...
.UPDATE...
Currently extending the Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM MST for all
but the Far/NE Highlands and Quay County based on latest obs/trends.
Otherwise, forecast on track.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...307 AM MST Mon Nov 23 2020...
.SYNOPSIS...
The eastern plains will remain entrenched with low clouds, fog, and
light rain and drizzle today and tonight. Valley rain and mountain
snow also continues through the northwestern high terrain near Chama
to Farmington, spreading over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains later
today. Tuesday will see snow levels fall as precipitation tapers off.
Strong winds will also impact much of the eastern plains, with peak
gusts of 50 to 55mph focusing through Clines Corners and potentially
lee of the Sacramento Mountains. Conditions clear out Wednesday and
Thanksgiving with moderating temperatures. The next winter weather
system still looks to arrive Friday, lasting through Saturday. This
system has greater potential for lower snow levels, but with a
relative lack of moisture.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
Southwesterlies aloft are beginning to increase as a longwave trough
moves farther inland over the intermountain west. Winds at the
surface have started to turn more southerly in much of the forecast
area, a trend that will continue through the day. Surface dewpoints
may lower a few degrees in far western zones, but most other areas
will retain readings in the 30’s and low 40’s. This will make it
difficult to erode away low clouds and fog in the eastern half of
the state. The dense fog advisory will be extended to 9am, but a few
zones may need to be extended even more by the next shift.
Precipitation will remain stratiform and light or even drizzle
through much of the early afternoon in these eastern zones. Showers
will also attempt to expand northwestward and into the northern
mountains today with high snow levels and a slim chance for some
thunder. Windy conditions in the far northeastern zones have also
warranted a wind advisory for today.

Precipitation amounts will generally be light with an expected
upward trend in precipitation rates tonight as better dynamics aloft
arrive with the encroaching trough aloft. Snow levels will also
lower tonight into Tuesday with increasing snow-liquid ratios as the
best forcing overtakes the northern mountains. A Winter Weather
Advisory will cover tonight and Tuesday’s modest accumulations for
the northern mountains. The other concern for Tuesday will be strong
winds as a stout mid level jet rounds the base of the upper trough,
putting areas along and south of I-40 under a threat for gusts of 40
to 50 mph.

LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
Conditions clear out by Wednesday with much of the western half of
the state seeing moderating temperatures. A lee-side surface trough
setting up through northeastern NM will bring breezy westerlies
through east-central NM in the afternoon. Overall calm weather
continues Thanksgiving, with the potential for the leading edge of a
backdoor front to bring cooler conditions to far northeastern NM,
including Clayton.

This backdoor front makes it through the rest of the eastern plains
Thursday night through Friday morning, dropping highs back below
normal. Meanwhile, the next winter system will be digging southward
through the inter-mountain west entering over western NM Friday.
While there still exists model differences regarding strength and
translation speed over NM, there is model agreement with this system
being relatively moisture starved. Both the ECMWF and GFS show PWATs
only increasing to ~0.30” at ABQ. While 700mb temperatures will be
-6C to -8C and the aforementioned backdoor front likely having
progressed westward through the central mountain chain as the core of
the low moves overhead, this relative lack moisture should limit
snowfall and overall precipitation potential with this system. WPC
QPF seems to agree only showing up to 0.25” - 0.50” over the
mountainous terrain Friday. The general cooling trend this week
continues after this system exits with northerly flow setting up
heading by Sunday.

52/24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Cloudy and showery conditions will gradually spread into north
central and northwestern NM today with light rain/drizzle and fog
being stubborn over eastern zones. Much of the precipitation amounts
will be far too light to provide much relief to cured fuels today,
but tonight a couple to a few inches of snow accumulation are
expected over the high elevation's of the northern mountains
through early Tuesday as the trough crosses. Strong and gusty winds
will develop Tuesday, especially along and south of I-40 and
dewpoints will begin declining in these areas into the afternoon. RH
will remain slightly above critical thresholds Tuesday afternoon,
but an elevated threat for critical conditions should be expected,
especially given the dry fine fuel status. Warmer and more
widespread drier conditions with breezy to locally windy conditions
are expected Wednesday and Thursday when humidity values drop back
to the 15 to 25 percent range across much of the forecast area.
Friday’s much cooler temperatures will then boost humidity values
considerably.

52

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM MST this evening for the following zones...
 NMZ227-230.

Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM MST this morning for the following
zones... NMZ223-226-233-235>240.

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 5 PM MST Tuesday
for the following zones... NMZ210-213.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
254 AM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

NMZ201>241-241000-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
254 AM MST Mon Nov 23 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of fog, locally dense with visibilities of one half mile or
less, will be found from the east slopes of the central mountain
chain over the eastern plains this morning.

Mountain snow over the Tusas Mountains reaches a peak late today
through Tuesday morning, with notable accumulations limited to above
9,500'. Travel disruptions will be possible for high mountain passes.

Windy weather with peak gusts of 45 to 50 mph will reach parts of the
far northeastern plains in Union and Colfax Counties this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Snow tapers off over the northern mountains Tuesday morning. Strong
winds with peak gusts upwards of 50+ mph will reach parts of the
eastern plains focusing through the Central Highlands at Clines
Corners and along and east of the Sacramento Mountains Tuesday.

Another likely winter weather event arrives Friday through Saturday,
producing potential post-Thanksgiving travel disruptions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snow totals and windy weather
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit
storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using
the hashtag nmwx.

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