Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 2, 2019Madison County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jun 2, 2019, 6:13 PM CDT for Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2019, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2019, 6:45 PM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK

County Madison County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 2, 3:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 3:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
340 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Weak sfc boundary currently just north of Interstate 40 corridor
through E OK w/ agitated Cu field over north central OK and also
NW AR. Expected at least isolated storms from late afternoon
through early evening generally in this corridor w/ decreasing
coverage after sunset. Isolated svr potential does exist with any
stronger updrafts.

Generally consensus on an uptick in convective coverage tomorrow
compared to previous days as convection developing over the high
plains is maintained with its eastward progression. Confidence is
not overly high in this scenario thus a continued broad chance of
precip tomorrow. Tuesday continues to appear as a lesser precip
chance day. Upper low begins to influence the region by Wednesday
as deep tropical moisture is drawn northward in its advance.
Higher precip chances continue to appear for the Wed-Thurs
timeframe and locally heavy rainfall is possible. Upper low slowly
moves eastward by late week with drier weather returning. Temps
through early week are likely to continue above normal with
slightly cooler high temps by mid week with increasing cloud cover
and precip.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   68  85  69  88 /  20  40  30  20
FSM   68  86  69  89 /  20  50  20  20
MLC   67  85  70  90 /  10  50  10  20
BVO   65  83  68  88 /  20  40  30  20
FYV   65  82  67  85 /  30  30  30  30
BYV   63  81  66  85 /  30  30  30  30
MKO   67  84  69  87 /  20  40  20  20
MIO   64  83  67  87 /  20  30  30  30
F10   67  83  69  88 /  20  50  20  20
HHW   69  87  72  91 /  10  50  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

LONG TERM....07
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 4:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
429 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
429 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop
late this afternoon and into this evening in the vicinity of
a weak frontal boundary that is located near Highway 412. A
few of these storms could become marginally severe with large
hail and damaging winds the concern. Locally heavy rainfall is
also possible. This activity is expected to diminish after
sunset.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will continue for much of the week as a series
of upper level disturbances traverse the region in southwest flow
aloft. A stronger upper wave will begin to move out of the desert
southwest and into the southern plains Wednesday into Thursday.
The threat for heavy rainfall will increase substantially toward
the middle to latter part of next week, leading to a more elevated
threat of flash flooding as well as severe weather.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts, especially in areas that
are still dealing with overland flooding. Lake levels remain well
above normal and any additional heavy rain may lead to increased
river levels.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:44 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
544 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

ARZ001-022315-
Benton AR-
544 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTY UNTIL
615 PM CDT...

At 544 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 4 miles west of
Decatur, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Siloam Springs...                 Gentry...
Gravette...                       Decatur...
West Siloam Springs...            Highfill...
Springtown...                     Gallitin...
Fairmount...                      Rocky Comfort...
Cherokee City...

LAT...LON 3623 9430 3614 9456 3637 9460 3642 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 336DEG 7KT 3633 9453

Lacy
Local storm report, Jun 2, 5:46 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
546 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     HAIL             2 ESE SHADY GROVE       36.13N 94.11W
06/02/2019  E0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         AR   PUBLIC

&&

LACY
Local storm report, Jun 2, 5:58 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
558 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             5 ESE JOHNSON           36.11N 94.08W
06/02/2019  E1.50 INCH       WASHINGTON         AR   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO PING PONG BALL SIZE

&&

LACY
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 6:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
613 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

ARZ010-011-022345-
Madison AR-Washington AR-
613 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL MADISON AND EAST
CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

At 612 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 3 miles north of
Elkins, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fayetteville...                   Elkins...
Wesley...                         Goshen...
Georgetown...                     Tuttle...
Sulphur City...                   Durham...
Arnett...                         Hicks...

LAT...LON 3607 9409 3612 9395 3599 9380 3589 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 333DEG 8KT 3605 9400

Lacy

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 9:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOttawa46 min
Jun 1, 9:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOttawa23 min
Jun 1, 9:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACarroll50 min
Jun 2, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Washington43 min
Jun 2, 5:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSABenton31 min
Jun 2, 5:51 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSABenton, Washington3 hr
Jun 2, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington32 min
Jun 2, 6:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMadison26 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.