Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
332 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm complex which has persisted through western and
central OK today continues to spread toward SE OK w/ additional
convection developing on the northern flank across NE OK.
Additional isolated storms are likely along the synoptic frontal
zone across southern KS into western MO later this afternoon.
Strong instability is in place across NE OK however winds aloft
remain rather weak. This should favor multicell storms with
isolated svr potential mainly in the form of locally damaging
winds. Coverage of storms will diminish this evening with
attention then being on the progression of storms moving eastward
from the High Plains.

Storms may be ongoing early Sunday with further development during
the day as the weak cold front sags further southward into the
forecast area. Plentiful moisture and a prevailing sfc boundary
will suffice to maintain widespread and prolonged chances of
storms through early next week. The upper low currently off the
California coast will slowly progress eastward and begin to
influence the region by mid week. This will coincide with an
influx of tropical moisture and further increase convective
coverage. By late next week the upper low could move east of the
region and offer the potential for a drier period. Throughout the
week there remains the potential for locally heavy rainfall
amounts. Given the antecedent conditions this could result in
rapid onset flooding.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  82  66  80 /  40  50  50  60
FSM   68  86  68  80 /  10  40  50  50
MLC   67  83  68  82 /  30  40  50  60
BVO   64  80  65  79 /  30  50  40  50
FYV   64  81  64  76 /  20  40  50  40
BYV   65  81  62  75 /  20  40  40  40
MKO   67  82  67  80 /  20  50  50  60
MIO   64  81  63  77 /  30  50  40  50
F10   66  82  67  81 /  30  50  50  60
HHW   69  85  70  85 /  30  40  40  60

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

LONG TERM....07

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
409 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2019

OKZ065-066-071-012145-
Okmulgee OK-Okfuskee OK-McIntosh OK-
409 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL MCINTOSH...SOUTH
CENTRAL OKMULGEE AND SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM
CDT...

At 408 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Clearview,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Henryetta...                      Weleetka...
Clearview...                      Pharoah...
Bryant...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 223 and
238.

LAT...LON 3551 9620 3538 9582 3516 9598 3529 9598
      3529 9621 3535 9631
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 300DEG 19KT 3540 9619

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
418 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2019

OKZ056-057-012145-
Craig OK-Nowata OK-
418 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN CRAIG AND NORTHEASTERN
NOWATA COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

At 418 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles east of
Lenapah, moving east at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Hollow...                         Pyramid Corners...
Centralia...                      Centrailia...

LAT...LON 3677 9509 3676 9561 3694 9564 3700 9532
      3700 9512
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 262DEG 30KT 3686 9554

Lacy

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