Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Tulsa, OK

217 
WWUS54 KTSA 060414
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1114 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

OKC113-060500-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-190506T0500Z/
Osage OK-
1114 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY...

At 1114 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles southeast
of Hardy, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations in or near the path include...
Grainola...                       Foraker...

LAT...LON 3700 9655 3685 9654 3681 9666 3684 9675
      3700 9675
TIME...MOT...LOC 0414Z 300DEG 12KT 3692 9675 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

715 
WWUS54 KTSA 060430
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1130 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

OKC113-060440-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-190506T0500Z/
Osage OK-
1130 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail is
still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3700 9655 3685 9654 3681 9666 3684 9675
      3700 9675
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 294DEG 14KT 3689 9668 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
951 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Band of severe storms ongoing across north central OK continues to
gradually expand eastward, while two intense supercells across
southern KS have also maintained a southward component.
Extrapolation of radar trends along with short term progs warrants
increasing precip chances across all of NE OK and into far NW
through the overnight hours. Large hail is likely to be the
primary severe weather concern, with an additional potential of
localized flooding potential should the veered low level jet
allowed sustained generation on the western flank of the
convective progression.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   62  82  63  80 /  70  30  40  30
FSM   62  84  62  82 /  30  20  10  20
MLC   64  83  63  79 /  30  10  20  20
BVO   61  80  62  79 /  70  40  50  40
FYV   60  79  62  78 /  60  30  20  20
BYV   59  80  61  80 /  60  40  10  20
MKO   62  82  62  79 /  40  20  30  20
MIO   60  79  62  79 /  70  40  40  30
F10   63  82  62  79 /  40  20  30  30
HHW   63  84  63  79 /  20  10  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After 11 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Overnight.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will spread eastward overnight
and move into eastern Oklahoma toward midnight.  The storms are
expected to be in a weakening trend, however a limited severe
weather potential will remain into the early morning hours on
Monday. Additionally, brief heavy rainfall amounts are possible
and soils remain saturated which could allow for rapid onset
of flooding with any localized heavy rain amounts.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms may be ongoing early Monday, with the
focus for additional storms Monday afternoon and evening focusing
more across northeast Oklahoma and points further north.  Storms
that develop north of the region Monday afternoon may spread into
the area Monday night.  The unsettled pattern continues with
widespread storms developing west of the region on Tuesday, and spreading
eastward Tuesday night into Wednesday.  These storms would pose a risk
of severe weather.  A stronger storm system passes on Wednesday.  Much
will depend on previous days thunderstorm coverage, however the potential
will exist for a more widespread severe weather threat on Wednesday
and Wednesday evening.  A brief dry period is likely late Thursday into
Friday before thunderstorm chances return for late week into next
weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.