River Flood Warning 91, NWS Tulsa, OK

192 
WGUS84 KTSA 141327
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
827 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019


...The Flood Warning is cancelled and a Flood Advisory is now in effect
   for the following rivers in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-141357-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-190714T1327Z/
/OZGA4.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
827 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled and has been replaced by a Flood Advisory
  for The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* At  7:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 356.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fluctuate between 355.5 and 357.0 feet 
  until further notice.
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
* Impact...At 355.5 feet, the river remains in its banks, but access 
  to Okane Island may be cut off. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1140 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR to MVFR conditions are expected to prevail through the
valid period at all area TAF sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 935 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Forecast is largely on track this evening. Update will extend low
chance of precip through the overnight hours given deep moisture
environment and persistence of evening convection. Otherwise,
remaining elements are adjusted for observed trends.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....10

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
455 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing...ending by sunset.

DISCUSSION...
Afternoon heat index values near 100 degrees will continue through
the late afternoon hours across portions of eastern Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas.  Additionally, scattered showers and
possibly an isolated thunderstorm will continue across southeastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas through the early evening hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Tropical system Barry is forecast to lift north across Arkansas
Sunday night into Tuesday. At this time,
it appears the heavier rainfall will remain well east of the area,
however the the system will likely pass close enough to result in at
least scattered thunderstorms Sunday through Tuesday across western
Arkansas and far eastern Oklahoma. The severe weather threat will be
low, but locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

Once the tropical system passes, high pressure aloft will
strengthen with above normal temperatures expected to return for
the latter part of next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.