River Flood Warning 69, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
608 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

.DISCUSSION...

The discussion regarding the 12Z TAF forecast can be found below.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Fog/low stratus will yield IFR or blo conditions at several
sites. This should burn off fairly quickly after sunrise with VFR
conditions prevailing afterward.

Lacy

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 329 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019/

DISCUSSION...
A warm weekend is in store for the forecast area as short
wave ridging sets up across the region. An upper trough axis
moving across the central plains will aid in pushing a relatively
strong cold front into the area late Sunday. Models have been
consistent of keeping most precip to the west, so will opt for now
to keep all but the far western reaches of the forecast area dry
late Sunday into Monday. Much cooler air will settle in behind
the boundary, with another reinforcing shot of cooler air due by
mid week. Temperatures for most of the upcoming week will be well
below seasonal averages. Low pops will be maintained with this
feature mainly across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
late Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures will begin to warm up
late in the week and into the next weekend as southerly winds
return.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  66  87  63 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   87  65  90  67 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   87  65  88  65 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   88  64  86  61 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   84  62  84  63 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   84  61  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   87  64  86  64 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   87  62  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
F10   86  65  87  63 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   87  67  89  68 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....30

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
517 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
517 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

VISIBILITY.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...

Patchy fog will reduce visibilities to a mile or less early this
morning. The fog should quickly lift after sunrise later this
morning.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter
Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. MONDAY...No Hazards. TUESDAY thru
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

There is a low chance of storms with a cold front Sunday, mainly to
the west of highway 75. Severe weather is not expected.

There is a chance of storms with a cold front Tuesday night into
Wednesday. After a break Thursday, storm chances will return again
Thursday night into Friday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Lacy