Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 1, 2019Adair County, Cherokee County, Delaware County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 1, 2019, 8:50 AM CDT for Adair County, Cherokee County, Delaware County, Oklahoma. It took effect at May 1, 2019, 11:01 PM CDT. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2019, 8:50 AM CDT (13:50 UTC)
In effect from
May 1, 2019, 11:01 PM CDT
Expired
May 2, 2019, 2:52 PM CDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Illinois River (AR OK) at Chewey (CWYO2).

Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07196090, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

930 
WGUS44 KTSA 011350
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
850 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
OKC001-021-041-012148-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0022.190502T1200Z-190502T1800Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.190502T1200Z.190502T1200Z.190502T1200Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Illinois River at Chewey
* from Thursday morning to Thursday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Wednesday, the stage was  7.45 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise to near
  flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend
  to near Hanging Rock. Road access near the river to residential 
  homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water begins 
  to impact 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County line. Floating
  the river is too hazardous due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$
5 follow-up statements
233 
WGUS84 KTSA 011936
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
236 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. 
  
  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
OKC001-041-020335-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0014.190501T1948Z-190502T1625Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.190501T1948Z.190502T0000Z.190502T1025Z.NO/
236 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 12.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet 
  by this evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to near Fidler's Bend. Permanent campgrounds are affected. 
  Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472

$$

OKC001-021-041-020335-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0022.190502T0322Z-190503T0142Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.190502T0322Z.190502T1200Z.190502T1942Z.NO/
236 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* from this evening to Thursday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Wednesday, the stage was  9.76 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise above 
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend
  to near Hanging Rock. Water begins to affect access to Winset 
  Hollow. Road access near the river to residential homes southeast 
  of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water impacts 630 Road east of
  the Cherokee/Adair County line. Extreme turbulence makes the river 
  unsafe for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-020335-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0015.190502T0524Z-190503T1920Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.190502T0524Z.190502T1800Z.190503T1320Z.NO/
236 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* from late tonight to Friday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was  7.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise 
  above flood stage late tonight and continue to rise to near
  13.5 feet by early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$
302 
WGUS84 KTSA 020101
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
801 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. 
  
  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
OKC131-143-020902-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190502T2236Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.190501T1319Z.190502T1200Z.190502T1636Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 26.45 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville will continue rising 
  to near 27.0 feet Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. County 
  roads north of Collinsville may be covered with water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588

$$

OKC001-041-020902-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190502T1907Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.190501T1946Z.190502T0600Z.190502T1307Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 16.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue rising to 
  near 16.9 feet Thursday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are 
  affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor 
  flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for 
  floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472

$$

OKC001-021-041-020902-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0022.190502T0401Z-190503T0142Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.190502T0401Z.190502T1200Z.190502T1942Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* from this evening to Thursday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Wednesday, the stage was 10.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise above 
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend
  to near Hanging Rock. Water begins to affect access to Winset 
  Hollow. Road access near the river to residential homes southeast 
  of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water impacts 630 Road east of
  the Cherokee/Adair County line. Extreme turbulence makes the river 
  unsafe for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-020902-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0015.190502T0257Z-190503T1840Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.190502T0257Z.190502T1800Z.190503T1240Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 10.19 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise 
  above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by
  early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood
  stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$
062 
WGUS84 KTSA 020751
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
251 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. 
  
  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
OKC131-143-021551-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190502T1836Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.190501T1319Z.190501T1915Z.190502T1236Z.NO/
251 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 26.24 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville will continue falling 
  to below flood stage by this morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. County 
  roads north of Collinsville may be covered with water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588

$$

OKC001-041-021358-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190502T1358Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.190501T1946Z.190502T0130Z.190502T0758Z.NO/
251 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* until this morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 13.21 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by before dawn .
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to near Fidler's Bend. Permanent campgrounds are affected. 
  Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472

$$

OKC001-021-041-021551-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190502T2244Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.190502T0430Z.190502T1200Z.190502T1644Z.NO/
251 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 AM Thursday, the stage was 12.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey will continue rising to 
  near 13.5 feet this morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late this morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend
  to near Hanging Rock. Water begins to affect access to Winset 
  Hollow. Road access near the river to residential homes southeast 
  of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water impacts 630 Road east of
  the Cherokee/Adair County line. Extreme turbulence makes the river 
  unsafe for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-021551-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190503T1832Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.190502T0321Z.190502T1800Z.190503T1232Z.NO/
251 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 11.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 13.5 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$
794 
WGUS84 KTSA 021352
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
852 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
OKC001-041-021422-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190502T1358Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.190501T1946Z.190502T0130Z.190502T0742Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* At 7:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage before dawn .
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472

$$

OKC001-021-041-022150-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190502T2150Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.190502T0430Z.190502T0945Z.190502T1550Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:15 AM Thursday, the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend
  to near Hanging Rock. Road access near the river to residential 
  homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water begins 
  to impact 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County line. Floating
  the river is too hazardous due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-022151-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190503T1832Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.190502T0321Z.190502T1800Z.190503T1232Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 13.5 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$
416 
WGUS84 KTSA 021952
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
252 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
OKC115-030352-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-190506T0422Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.190501T0625Z.190502T0845Z.190505T2222Z.NO/
252 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 19.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 20.0 feet late tonight and remain near 20 feet through early
  Friday morning. The river is then forecast to fall slightly and 
  remain between 19.5 and 19.7 feet through Saturday evening. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC001-021-041-022022-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190502T2150Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.190502T0430Z.190502T0945Z.190502T1404Z.NO/
252 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday, the stage was  8.91 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage late this morning.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-030352-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190503T1832Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.190502T0321Z.190503T0000Z.190503T1232Z.NO/
252 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 13.88 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 13.9 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 1, 6:41 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 1, 6:41 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
641 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Main convective line over far SE OK starting to shift southeast
with only light rain expected across NW AR TAF sites in the short
term. Additional scattered thunderstorms should develop across
eastern Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas this afternoon/evening.
Otherwise, ceiling heights should begin to slowly increase through
the day.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 441 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Focus for ongoing convection today will be across southeast
Oklahoma and west central Arkansas in the vicinity of an elevated
boundary. Have extended the flash flood watch for locations
primarily south of Interstate 40 through 00z, though most CAM
solutions depict diminishing activity during the late afternoon.
Further north, the flash flood watch will either be allowed to
expire at 12z or has already been cancelled with this forecast
issuance. Pattern to remain unsettled through Friday as moist
southwesterly mid level flow remains in place along with the
presence of residual boundaries. That said, additional watches
may be required after 00z Thursday but will defer to later
shifts. After another upper wave passes Friday, the upper flow
becomes increasingly zonal over the weekend while surface high
pressure builds in. Dry weather looks to continue into the early
part of next week.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for OKZ066>071.

     Flash Flood Watch through this evening for OKZ049-053-072>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for ARZ010-011.

     Flash Flood Watch through this evening for ARZ019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION.....12
Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 4:29 AM CDT, 4 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
429 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-020930-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
429 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...This morning.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
	ONSET...This morning.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Strong thunderstorms will move through southeast Oklahoma into
west-central Arkansas early this morning. These storms could
produce marginally severe hail and wind, including a limited
tornado threat across far southeast Oklahoma. In addition to the
severe threat, very heavy rain will continue to create flash
flooding concerns. Additional thunderstorms will likely develop
across eastern Oklahoma this afternoon with a continued threat for
severe weather and flash flooding.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will persist Thursday and Friday as a moist
and unstable air-mass remains over the area. A few severe
thunderstorms will again be possible on Thursday, primarily
across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Emergency management officials should be prepared for the
potential of severe weather and flooding today and Thursday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 1, 3:17 AM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
317 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

OKZ065-066-070-071-073-010900-
Pittsburg OK-Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-Okfuskee OK-McIntosh OK-
317 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MCINTOSH...NORTHWESTERN
PITTSBURG...WESTERN MUSKOGEE...OKMULGEE AND OKFUSKEE COUNTIES UNTIL
400 AM CDT...

At 316 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles south of Welty to 3 miles east of Bearden to 5
miles south of Wewoka. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Okmulgee...
Okemah...                         Eufaula...
Okfuskee...                       Henryetta...
Checotah...                       Warner...
Morris...                         Weleetka...
Dewar...                          Schulter...
Crowder...                        Oktaha...
Taft...                           Boynton...
Canadian...                       Indianola...
Grayson...                        Council Hill...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 214 and
278.

LAT...LON 3562 9649 3564 9619 3568 9619 3580 9564
      3579 9564 3576 9559 3580 9548 3581 9539
      3549 9526 3533 9539 3529 9545 3526 9545
      3511 9557 3506 9607 3512 9601 3515 9601
      3515 9598 3529 9598 3529 9640 3533 9637
TIME...MOT...LOC 0816Z 259DEG 58KT 3557 9641 3534 9632 3508 9653

Lacy
Special weather statement, May 1, 4:04 AM CDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
404 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

OKZ073>075-010930-
Haskell OK-Pittsburg OK-Latimer OK-
404 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HASKELL...
NORTHWESTERN LATIMER AND PITTSBURG COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CDT...

At 404 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Indianola to 5 miles northeast of Centrahoma. Movement
was southeast at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Hartshorne...
Krebs...                          Quinton...
Kiowa...                          Savanna...
Crowder...                        Alderson...
Kinta...                          Indianola...
Ashland...                        Haywood...
Blocker...                        Robbers Cave State Park...
Arrowhead State Park...           Mcalester Regional Airport...
Scipio...                         Blanco...
Haileyville...                    Pittsburg...

LAT...LON 3468 9589 3468 9609 3499 9609 3515 9596
      3514 9591 3516 9588 3518 9588 3513 9521
      3459 9566 3459 9588
TIME...MOT...LOC 0904Z 304DEG 29KT 3517 9578 3465 9625

Lacy
Special weather statement, May 1, 4:20 AM CDT, 4 hours 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
420 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

OKZ070>076-010945-
Haskell OK-Pittsburg OK-Muskogee OK-Latimer OK-Sequoyah OK-
Le Flore OK-McIntosh OK-
420 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HASKELL...EAST CENTRAL
MCINTOSH...SOUTHWESTERN SEQUOYAH...NORTHERN LATIMER...NORTHWESTERN LE
FLORE...EAST CENTRAL PITTSBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES
UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

At 419 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 5 miles southwest of Warner to 4 miles southwest of
Whitefield to 5 miles northwest of Robbers Cave State Park. Movement
was east at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Sallisaw...                       Stigler...
Quinton...                        Porum...
Keota...                          Red Oak...
Mccurtain...                      Bokoshe...
Fanshawe...                       Whitefield...
Kinta...                          Tamaha...
Briartown...                      Robbers Cave State Park...
Mc Curtain...                     Enterprise...
Lequire...                        Kanima...
Panola...                         Summerfield...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 268 and
272, and between mile markers 305 and 306.

LAT...LON 3499 9551 3520 9541 3546 9546 3545 9480
      3511 9469 3485 9486
TIME...MOT...LOC 0919Z 276DEG 49KT 3542 9536 3519 9528 3505 9540

Lacy
Special weather statement, May 1, 4:33 AM CDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
433 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

OKZ049-073-075-076-011015-
Pittsburg OK-Latimer OK-Pushmataha OK-Le Flore OK-
433 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PUSHMATAHA...LATIMER...
SOUTHWESTERN LE FLORE AND SOUTHERN PITTSBURG COUNTIES UNTIL 515 AM
CDT...

At 433 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles west of Robbers Cave State Park to 8 miles
northwest of Daisy. Movement was southeast at 55 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Wilburton...
Clayton...                        Hartshorne...
Krebs...                          Talihina...
Kiowa...                          Alderson...
Albion...                         Talimena State Park...
Snow...                           Higgins...
Tuskahoma...                      Stanley...
Kiamichi...                       Whitesboro...
Clayton Lake State Park...        Damon...
Bengal...                         Yanush...

LAT...LON 3448 9578 3451 9577 3451 9567 3459 9567
      3459 9588 3468 9589 3468 9602 3506 9553
      3479 9470 3450 9500 3450 9505 3446 9505
      3417 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0933Z 314DEG 48KT 3495 9547 3460 9587

Lacy
Special weather statement, May 1, 4:38 AM CDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
438 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

ARZ019-029-OKZ072-074>076-011030-
Sebastian AR-Crawford AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-Sequoyah OK-
Le Flore OK-
438 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...
SEBASTIAN...EASTERN HASKELL...SOUTHERN SEQUOYAH...NORTHEASTERN
LATIMER AND CENTRAL LE FLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

At 438 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles west of Tamaha to near Mc Curtain to 5 miles
northwest of Red Oak. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fort Smith...                     Van Buren...
Sallisaw...                       Poteau...
Greenwood...                      Barling...
Pocola...                         Muldrow...
Heavener...                       Roland...
Lavaca...                         Spiro...
Arkoma...                         Panama...
Mansfield...                      Wister...
Hackett...                        Howe...
Hartford...                       Huntington...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Arkansas between mile markers 0 and 1, and between
mile markers 5 and 8.
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 298 and 328.
 Interstate 540 between mile markers 1 and 14.

LAT...LON 3514 9407 3514 9414 3510 9414 3506 9425
      3506 9423 3499 9423 3496 9426 3496 9437
      3493 9445 3475 9447 3493 9525 3517 9501
      3540 9510 3546 9505 3547 9509 3546 9408
      3522 9408 3520 9405 3516 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 267DEG 59KT 3541 9507 3517 9497 3499 9516

Lacy

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 7:07 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Tulsa3 hr
Apr 30, 7:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACraig, Creek, Mayes, Okmulgee, Osage, Rogers and 3 more6 hr
Apr 30, 8:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa6 hr
Apr 30, 8:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee48 min
Apr 30, 9:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACherokee29 min
Apr 30, 9:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSADelaware31 min
Apr 30, 9:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair, Cherokee, Muskogee28 min
Apr 30, 9:43 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Washington21 hr
Apr 30, 9:49 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg41 min
Apr 30, 9:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair51 min
Apr 30, 10:22 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg23 min
Apr 30, 10:36 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg24 min
Apr 30, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha48 min
Apr 30, 10:47 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTSAHaskell, Latimer, Pittsburg43 min
Apr 30, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah42 min
Apr 30, 11:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha39 min
Apr 30, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore46 min
Apr 30, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah43 min
Apr 30, 11:53 PM CDTTornado WarningTSALeFlore24 min
May 1, 12:14 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa18 hr
May 1, 12:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa61 hr
May 1, 1:15 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAPittsburg3 hr
May 1, 1:16 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSADelaware, Mayes, Ottawa18 hr
May 1, 1:33 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHughes42 min
May 1, 1:37 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAChoctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha3 hr
May 1, 2:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee, Okmulgee24 min
May 1, 2:49 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee41 min
May 1, 2:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACreek17 hr
May 1, 3:05 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAHaskell, McIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Pittsburg3 hr
May 1, 3:17 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee43 min
May 1, 3:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAMcIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee6 hr
May 1, 3:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg6 hr
May 1, 4:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPittsburg26 min
May 1, 4:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHaskell25 min
May 1, 4:33 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALatimer, Pushmataha42 min
May 1, 4:38 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore52 min
May 1, 5:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha3 hr
May 1, 7:35 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee and 3 more9 hr
May 1, 2:51 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSALeFlore11 hr
May 1, 3:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchTSAAdair, Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee and 1 more13 hr
May 1, 6:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPittsburg38 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.