Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Topeka, KS

910 
WWUS43 KTOP 182121
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Topeka KS
321 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...A winter storm warning remains in effect for Brown, Jackson and
Jefferson Counties. A winter weather advisory remains in effect 
for the remainder of the area...

KSZ036-037-190530-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WW.Y.0004.190119T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Geary-Morris-
Including the cities of Junction City and Council Grove
321 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Light rain mixed with snow will change to snow late this
  afternoon and continue through the evening hours. Total snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will cause considerable blowing and drifting of 
  the snow.

* WHERE...Geary and Morris Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ012-024-026-190530-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Brown-Jackson-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Hiawatha, Horton, Holton, Valley Falls, 
Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville
321 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing drizzle and rain mixed with snow will change
  over to heavy snow late this afternoon and continue through the
  evening hours. Snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches are expected.
  North wind gusts up to 35 MPH will cause considerable blowing 
  and drifting of the snow.

* WHERE...Brown and Jackson Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. Blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ008-009-020-021-034-035-190530-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Republic-Washington-Cloud-Clay-Ottawa-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Belleville, Washington, Hanover, Clifton,
Linn, Greenleaf, Concordia, Clay Center, Minneapolis, Bennington,
Abilene, and Herington
321 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing drizzle or drizzle will change to snow later
  this afternoon. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are
  expected. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will cause blowing 
  and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas.

* WHEN...Through 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ010-011-022-023-190530-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Marshall-Nemaha-Riley-Pottawatomie-
Including the cities of Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, 
Sabetha, Seneca, Manhattan, Wamego, and St. Marys
321 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...A rain snow mix will change to snow late this afternoon
  and continue through Tonight. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 
  inches are expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will cause 
  blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas.

* WHEN...Through 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ038>040-054>056-058-059-190530-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.190119T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
Including the cities of Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, 
McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, 
Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, 
Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett
321 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Rain will change to snow during the early evening hours
  and will continue into the early morning hours of Saturday.
  Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are expected. Winds
  gusting as high as 40 mph will cause blowing and drifting of 
  snow.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

724 
WWUS43 KTOP 190256
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Topeka KS
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

KSZ026-191200-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KTOP.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, 
Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for Snow and Blowing Snow, which is in effect 
until 6 AM CST Saturday. The Winter Storm Warning has been 
cancelled. 

* WHAT...Snow will continue through the evening before starting to
  taper off after midnight. Total snow amounts are forecast to
  range from 3 and 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will
  cause blowing and drifting of the snow.
 
* WHERE...Jefferson County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Roads will be slick and the blowing snow
  could reduce visibility making travel difficult. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is necessary, drive with caution. Reduce driving 
speeds, leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of
you, and allow for extra time to reach your destination. Avoid 
sudden braking or acceleration.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ008-009-020-021-034-190400-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Republic-Washington-Cloud-Clay-Ottawa-
Including the cities of Belleville, Washington, Hanover, Clifton,
Linn, Greenleaf, Concordia, Clay Center, Minneapolis, 
and Bennington
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Topeka has cancelled the Winter
Weather Advisory. 

Accumulating wintry precipitation has come to an end. There may be
some flurries through the evening but no additional accumulations
of snow is expected. Therefore the advisory has been cancelled.

$$

KSZ012-024-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Brown-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hiawatha, Horton, and Holton
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow through the evening will begin to taper off after
  midnight. Total snow accumulations up to 6 inches is possible.  
  North wind gusts up to 35 MPH will cause considerable blowing 
  and drifting of the snow.
 
* WHERE...Brown and Jackson Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult due to snow
  covered roads. Blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel will be hazardous. If you must travel, keep an extra 
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an 
emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ035-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Dickinson-
Including the cities of Abilene and Herington
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Light snow is expected to continue through the evening.
  Light accumulations of snow remain possible.
 
* WHERE...Dickinson County.

* WHEN...Through 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Roads could be slippery due to the
  snowfall. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause travel difficulties. Use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ010-011-022-023-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Marshall-Nemaha-Riley-Pottawatomie-
Including the cities of Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, 
Sabetha, Seneca, Manhattan, Wamego, and St. Marys
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow will begin tapering by midnight. Totals snow 
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches is expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will cause blowing and drifting snow.
 
* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...Through 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow packed roads will be slippery. 
  Blowing snow could also limit visibilities creating difficult 
  travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ038>040-054>056-058-059-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
Including the cities of Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, 
McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, 
Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, 
Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow will continue through the evening before tapering
  off after midnight. Total snow amounts are expected to be
  between 1 and 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will 
  cause blowing and drifting of snow. 

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Roads could become snow packed quickly.
  Blowing snow will also limit visibilities creating difficult
  travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ036-037-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Geary-Morris-
Including the cities of Junction City and Council Grove
856 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow will begin tapering by midnight. Totals snow 
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches is expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will cause blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Geary and Morris Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow packed roads will be slippery and
  blowing snow will cause reduced visibilities. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Wolters

899 
WWUS43 KTOP 190430
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

KSZ012-024-191200-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Brown-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hiawatha, Horton, and Holton
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for blowing snow, which is in effect until 6 AM 
CST Saturday. The Winter Storm Warning has been cancelled. 

* WHAT...Light snow is forecast to continue into the early morning
  hours. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will still cause blowing
  and drifting snow with little or no additional accumulations.
 
* WHERE...Portions of northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...Through 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow packed roads will be slippery. 
  Blowing snow could also limit visibilities creating difficult 
  travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ036-190530-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Geary-
Including the city of Junction City
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Topeka has cancelled the Winter
Weather Advisory. 

Snow has all but come to an end with only some flurries possible
overnight. With no additional snow accumulations expected, the
advisory has been cancelled. 

$$

KSZ010-022-035-190530-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Marshall-Riley-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, 
Manhattan, Abilene, and Herington
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Topeka has cancelled the Winter
Weather Advisory. 

Snow has all but come to an end with only some flurries possible 
overnight. With no additional snow accumulations expected, the 
advisory has been cancelled. 

$$

KSZ011-023-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Nemaha-Pottawatomie-
Including the cities of Sabetha, Seneca, Wamego, and St. Marys
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow will begin tapering off by midnight. Totals snow 
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches is expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will cause blowing and drifting snow. 

* WHERE...Portions northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...Through 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow packed roads will be slippery. 
  Blowing snow could also limit visibilities creating difficult 
  travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ038>040-054>056-058-059-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
Including the cities of Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, 
McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, 
Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, 
Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow will continue tapering off through midnight. Total
  snow amounts are expected to be between 1 and 3 inches. Winds
  gusting as high as 35 mph will still cause blowing and drifting
  of snow. 

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow packed roads will be slippery. 
  Blowing snow will also limit visibilities creating difficult 
  travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

KSZ026-037-191200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Jefferson-Morris-
Including the cities of Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, 
Grantville, Meriden, Nortonville, and Council Grove
1030 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow will begin tapering by midnight. Totals snow 
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches is expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will still cause blowing and drifting snow. 

* WHERE...Parts of east central and northeast Kansas. 

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow packed roads will be slippery and 
  blowing snow will cause reduced visibilities. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Wolters

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
537 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 355 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

For the near-term forecast, a winter storm system is on track to
impact the area starting today and lasting into the early portions
of Saturday morning.

Currently, GOES-16/17 satellite loops feature and eastern trough
along the East Coast region with a broad low amplitude dirty ridge
with a strong low level inversion in place keeping stratus
entrenched over the forecast area and much of the center portions of
the CONUS.  Meanwhile, split flow pattern is in place with a
southern stream broad shortwave working over the Intermountain West.
 As this feature continues to advance east, lee surface troughing
will continue to deepen and lee side cyclogenesis will continue to
evolve into the morning hours and strengthen into the this
afternoon.

As upper level dynamics interact with the developing surface low
over southeastern Colorado, isentropic ascent on the 295-300K
surface will be encouraged over the central Plains region through
the forecast area.  Southeastern low level flow as been increasing
over the past several hours with moisture advection and higher
theta-e air on the rise into the area. Some areas of light mist
are being reported. As northern stream energy and associated
shortwave dig into the northern plains, some phasing will take
place with the southern storm system developing over the area. PVA
will increase through the day and into the overnight period.
Ultimately, the progression of p-types today will be from mist to
drizzle to then rain and eventually snow across the entire area. A
warm nose extending up into the northern counties along the KS/NE
border gives some concern for freezing drizzle through about the
noon time frame with low level cold air in place and temperatures
below freezing with the northern extent of the warmer temperatures
along and south of I-70 generally. There is still a spread in
guidance about how far north warmer low level temperatures push
into the area, which mean the difference between freezing precip
or not. But, concern is still high enough to warrant mention of
the period of possible freezing precip.

Into the afternoon and evening, low to mid level frontogenesis and
CAA increase.  Divergence aloft increases and encourages further
baroclinicity to develop at the surface.  This dynamic cooling and
wet-bulb effect in the mid levels should help to erode the warm nose
over the area quickly into the afternoon and allow for a brief
period of mixed rain/snow before changing to all snow across the
area from north to south.  Right now, a light glaze of ice remains
to impact areas along the Hwy 36 corridor, due to possible freezing
precip previously discussed.  A consistent trend in recent model
runs has been to speed the system up overall once the midlevel
trough advances east of the Rockies.  The result of this has been
temper overall snow totals and the main focus for highest amounts is
still over far northeast KS into portions of east central KS.  Could
still see around 4 inches over far northeastern zones -- some
locally higher amounts -- and a healthy 1 to 3 inches elsewhere. The
system should move east of the area by 12Z Saturday with snow having
come to an end over the area.  Have decided to end the winter
weather advisory by the 12Z time due to the impacts being low with
winds calming down.  This should allow for blowing snow to become
less common across the area.

Although not as cold as originally forecast, the cold push from a
modified arctic high pressure system will still be felt after the
system exits the area.  Thus, high temps on Saturday struggle to
reach 20.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 355 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

Saturday night a 1032 mb surface high is forecast to be over eastern
Kansas departing to the east into Missouri by 12Z Sunday. Winds will
shift around to the southwest and south on Sunday as warm air
advection kicks in through the day. Morning lows Sunday morning are
forecast to range from the single digits to the teens with the
colder readings over the northeast. Morning wind chills are expected
to range from zero to 8 below. Highs on Sunday are forecast to warm
into the upper 20s northeast to the upper 30s toward central Kansas.

Northwesterly flow aloft will shift to the east as a mid and upper
level ridge build across the southern and Central Plains. This
occurs in response to an upstream trough moving across the western
states. Moderate warm advection is expected across the central
Plains on Monday where some of the warmest temperatures in a couple
of weeks will be possible as highs warm into the 40s most areas.

A positive tilt upper trough is then forecast to progress
eastward across the Plains Monday night and Tuesday bringing the
next chance of winter weather to the area. Model thermal fields
would suggest it will be cold enough for snow although some areas in
east central Kansas could see a rain/snow mix Tuesday afternoon.
Depending on the track of the surface and mid level synoptic
features there could be a dusting to as much as a few inches of snow
for parts of north central and northeast Kansas. With a cold front
expected to move through Monday night, high temperatures Tuesday are
forecast to cool back into the 20s and 30s. Lows Wednesday morning
are expected to drop into the teens.

A mid level wave is forecast to move southeast across the Plains on
Thursday bringing another cold front southward through the CWA
during the day. Limited moisture precludes inclusion of
precipitation at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 533 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

TAFs remain fairly consistent with low stratus and low VIS
restrictions common throughout the period. Drizzle will develop
later this morning and transition to light rain with snow by this
evening. Progression of the system is slightly faster, so this
should allow for LIFR/IFR restrictions to improve to MVFR around
the midnight time frame or shortly after.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 AM CST
Saturday for KSZ011-012-023-024.

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
Saturday for KSZ026-038>040-054>056-058-059.

Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for KSZ008>010-
020>022.

Winter Weather Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CST
Saturday for KSZ034>037.

&&

SHORT TERM...Drake
LONG TERM...53
AVIATION...Drake

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
408 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-191015-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
408 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Freezing drizzle will be possible across portions of north
central and northeast Kansas Friday morning primarily along the
highway 36 corridor. The freezing drizzle will change to snow
Friday afternoon across northeast and north central Kansas. The
rain across east central Kansas on Friday will change over to snow
late friday afternoon and evening. The heaviest snowfall is
currently forecast between sunset Friday evening to just after the
midnight time frame. Snow should gradually taper off through the
early morning hours Saturday before sunrise. Total snow
accumulations will be between 1 to 4 inches with locally higher
amounts possible. The highest amounts should be focused over
portions of far northeastern Kansas into portions of east central
Kansas. Gusty north to northwest winds will accompany the snow
and may create blowing and drifting snow. A winter weather
advisory is in effect for the area Friday and Friday night through
Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Some light snow may linger into very early Saturday morning
mainly over far eastern portions of the forecast area.

Otherwise, the probability for widespread hazardous weather is
low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep