River Flood Warning 49, NWS Topeka, KS

548 
WGUS83 KTOP 090211
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Saline River at Tescott affecting Ottawa and Saline Counties
  Salt Creek near Ada affecting Ottawa County
  Smoky Hill River near Abilene Sand Spring affecting Dickinson County
  Smoky Hill River near Enterprise affecting Dickinson County
  Solomon River at Minneapolis affecting Ottawa County
  Solomon River near Niles affecting Dickinson...Ottawa and Saline 
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC143-091010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190512T1800Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.190508T2145Z.190509T0600Z.190512T0600Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Salt Creek near Ada.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet...Deck of 50th Road bridge over the Salt Creek
  floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3916 9793 3915 9778 3908 9768 3906 9769 3914 9793




$$

KSC041-091010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0046.190510T1040Z-190512T0316Z/
/ABIK1.1.ER.190510T1040Z.190511T0000Z.190511T0916Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River near Abilene Sand Spring.
* from late Thursday night to Saturday evening.
* At 6:07 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 27.9 feet by Friday evening.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Minor flooding begins along the Smoky Hill 
  River from Sand Spring to Abilene.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 9736 3891 9720 3887 9720 3888 9736




$$

KSC041-091010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190513T0014Z/
/ENTK1.2.ER.190508T2006Z.190511T1200Z.190512T1214Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River near Enterprise.
* until Sunday evening.
* At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.3 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Kansas Highway 43 just north of the river 
  floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 9720 3895 9708 3898 9701 3894 9701 3887 9720




$$

KSC143-169-091010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0048.190509T0600Z-190510T0243Z/
/TSCK1.1.ER.190509T0600Z.190509T1200Z.190509T1443Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Saline River at Tescott.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 25.5 feet by Thursday morning.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Low lying areas near the river flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3903 9793 3901 9784 3896 9770 3896 9780 3899 9793




$$

KSC143-091010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0049.190509T0517Z-190509T1831Z/
/MPSK1.1.ER.190509T0517Z.190509T0600Z.190509T0631Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River at Minneapolis.
* from late tonight to Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.2 feet by early Thursday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...The river just west of the Highway 106 
  bridge floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3928 9773 3905 9761 3902 9767 3916 9778 3925 9780




$$

KSC041-143-169-091010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190511T1057Z/
/NLSK1.1.ER.190508T1826Z.190509T1800Z.190510T2257Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Niles.
* until late Friday night.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.9 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Arrowhead Road west of Niles floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3902 9767 3905 9761 3899 9747 3893 9736 3888 9736




$$

358 
WGUS83 KTOP 091026
FLSTOP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Topeka KS
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in 
Kansas...

  Solomon River at Minneapolis affecting Ottawa County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Cottonwood River near Emporia affecting Lyon County
  Lyon Creek near Junction City affecting Geary County
  Neosho River near Emporia 3nw affecting Lyon County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Black Vermillion River at Frankfort affecting Marshall County
  Chapman Creek near Chapman affecting Dickinson County
  Fancy Creek near Randolph affecting Riley County
  Kansas River at Lawrence affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties
  Kansas River at Manhattan affecting Pottawatomie...Riley and 
  Wabaunsee Counties
  Marais Des Cygnes River near Quenemo affecting Franklin and Osage 
  Counties
  Mill Creek Near Paxico affecting Wabaunsee County
  Neosho River near Americus affecting Lyon County
  Neosho River Near Neosho Rapids affecting Lyon County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County
  Saline River at Tescott affecting Ottawa and Saline Counties
  Salt Creek near Ada affecting Ottawa County
  Smoky Hill River near Abilene Sand Spring affecting Dickinson 
  County
  Smoky Hill River near Enterprise affecting Dickinson County
  Solomon River near Niles affecting Dickinson...Ottawa and Saline 
  Counties
  Vermillion Creek near Louisville affecting Pottawatomie County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC111-091826-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-190514T0815Z/
/EMPK1.2.ER.190507T2041Z.190510T1800Z.190513T1415Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cottonwood River near Emporia.
* until late Monday night.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by 
  Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Water reaches low steel of Old K 99 bridge 
  over the Cottonwood River.

&&

LAT...LON 3843 9635 3838 9606 3836 9606 3835 9613 3838 9635




$$

KSC111-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-190510T0600Z/
/AMCK1.2.ER.190508T0457Z.190509T0615Z.190509T1800Z.UU/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Americus.
* until late tonight.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Theater Road, also known as the Americus 
  Road...2 miles south of Americus floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3844 9625 3854 9635 3857 9631 3847 9621




$$

KSC111-091826-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190510T1436Z/
/EPRK1.2.ER.190507T2139Z.190508T1201Z.190510T0236Z.UU/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Emporia 3nw.
* until Friday morning.
* At 5:07 AM Thursday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage late this evening.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Prairie Street, north of the bridge, 
  floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3844 9625 3847 9621 3842 9605 3838 9606




$$

KSC111-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190514T0104Z/
/NEOK1.2.ER.190507T2340Z.190510T1200Z.190513T0704Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Neosho Rapids.
* until Monday evening.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 26.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.3 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Water covers large areas over both banks.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 9606 3842 9605 3830 9586 3826 9588




$$

KSC143-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190512T1800Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.190508T2145Z.190509T0946Z.190512T0600Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Salt Creek near Ada.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  4:46 AM Thursday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by this
  morning. The creek will fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet...Deck of 50th Road bridge over the Salt 
  Creek floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3916 9793 3915 9778 3908 9768 3906 9769 3914 9793




$$

KSC041-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0046.190510T1040Z-190512T0316Z/
/ABIK1.1.ER.190510T1040Z.190511T0000Z.190511T0916Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River near Abilene Sand Spring.
* from late tonight to Saturday evening.
* At  6:07 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 27.9 feet by Friday evening.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Minor flooding begins along the Smoky Hill 
  River from Sand Spring to Abilene.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 9736 3891 9720 3887 9720 3888 9736




$$

KSC041-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190513T0014Z/
/ENTK1.2.ER.190508T2006Z.190511T1200Z.190512T1214Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River near Enterprise.
* until Sunday evening.
* At  4:45 AM Thursday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.2 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Kansas Highway 43 just north of the river 
  floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 9720 3895 9708 3898 9701 3894 9701 3887 9720




$$

KSC143-091056-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-190509T1831Z/
/MPSK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Solomon River at Minneapolis.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 25.5 feet. The 
  river will fall to 13.8 feet by early Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3928 9773 3905 9761 3902 9767 3916 9778 3925 9780




$$

KSC041-143-169-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190511T1006Z/
/NLSK1.2.ER.190508T1826Z.190509T1800Z.190510T2206Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Niles.
* until late Friday night.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Arrowhead Road west of Niles floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3902 9767 3905 9761 3899 9747 3893 9736 3888 9736




$$

KSC117-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.190312T0755Z.190512T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until further notice.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 46.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.0 feet by 
  Sunday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC117-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190511T0200Z/
/FKFK1.2.ER.190507T1715Z.190509T0115Z.190510T1400Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Vermillion River at Frankfort.
* until Friday evening.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...The west bank of the river floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 9643 3967 9639 3957 9656 3963 9657




$$

KSC041-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-190510T1500Z/
/CHPK1.1.ER.190508T1014Z.190509T1200Z.190510T0300Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chapman Creek near Chapman.
* until Friday morning.
* At  4:45 AM Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek will gradually fall to below flood stage late 
  this evening. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs from near the town 
  of Industry upstream from Chapman to the Smoky Hill River 
  downstream from Chapman.

&&

LAT...LON 3906 9711 3908 9707 3905 9702 3897 9698 3896 9703




$$

KSC161-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190511T1200Z/
/RDPK1.1.ER.190507T0923Z.190509T0915Z.190510T1800Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fancy Creek near Randolph.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas along the creek flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3950 9687 3947 9671 3945 9675 3947 9689




$$

KSC045-087-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0043.190509T2100Z-190511T0000Z/
/LWRK1.1.ER.190509T2100Z.190510T0600Z.190510T1200Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kansas River at Lawrence.
* from this afternoon to Friday evening.
* At  4:50 AM Thursday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 18.2 feet by early Friday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday late morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Lowlands outside of the levee on the north 
  side of the river begin to flood. Burcham Park is closed due to 
  flooding on the south side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3907 9534 3900 9506 3894 9506 3897 9527 3902 9534




$$

KSC149-161-197-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190510T2000Z/
/MHKK1.1.ER.190508T1912Z.190508T2300Z.190510T0800Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kansas River at Manhattan.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  4:00 AM Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this 
  afternoon. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low lands along the river flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3917 9661 3920 9654 3919 9649 3915 9654




$$

KSC061-091826-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190510T0352Z/
/JNCK1.1.ER.190508T1122Z.190509T0915Z.190509T2152Z.UU/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lyon Creek near Junction City.
* until this evening.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek will continue to rise to around 28.0 feet 
  this morning. The river is forecast to fall to below flood stage 
  by late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.3 feet...Farm field north of the creek and west of 
  Highway 77 floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3897 9686 3897 9682 3887 9690 3887 9693 3892 9692




$$

KSC059-139-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190510T0851Z/
/QNMK1.1.ER.190507T1604Z.190507T2155Z.190509T1451Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Marais Des Cygnes River near Quenemo.
* until late tonight.
* At  4:56 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Northbank of the river just east of South 
  Stubbs Road floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3855 9556 3860 9553 3859 9548 3853 9552




$$

KSC197-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-190510T0109Z/
/PXCK1.1.ER.190509T0357Z.190509T0915Z.190509T1309Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mill Creek Near Paxico.
* until this evening.
* At  5:01 AM Thursday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Low lying farm fields and campsites along 
  the creek begin to flood.

&&



LAT...LON 3911 9600 3908 9595 3906 9601 3901 9627 3906 9628


$$

KSC027-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-190511T0712Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.190507T2128Z.190509T0445Z.190510T1912Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until late Friday night.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th, 17th, and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC143-169-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-190510T0243Z/
/TSCK1.1.ER.190509T0430Z.190509T0930Z.190509T1443Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Saline River at Tescott.
* until this evening.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.6 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this morning.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Low lying areas near the river flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3903 9793 3901 9784 3896 9770 3896 9780 3899 9793




$$

KSC149-091826-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-190510T0626Z/
/LOUK1.1.ER.190509T1039Z.190509T1200Z.190509T1226Z.NO/
526 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Vermillion Creek near Louisville.
* until late tonight.
* At  9:05 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek is forecast to fall below flood stage this 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Low land flooding occurs near the creek.

&&

LAT...LON 3933 9622 3933 9619 3929 9621 3926 9625 3927 9626




$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
627 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

As of 20Z Wednesday afternoon a deep midlevel trough was positioned
across the central and southern Rockies with two shortwave troughs
embedded with the cyclonic flow. The first of which is currently
across west-central KS. At the surface, the stubborn front remains
across the forecast area and at this hour stretches from the TX
Panhandle -- to near Salina -- to near Fall City, NE. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms have been ongoing for much of the day
across western and southern KS. Lightning has been increasing over
the past hour along the surface, which is indicative of surface-
based convection developing. Short term solution suggest this trend
should continue along the front into portions of central KS
throughout the afternoon and evening hours. Latest SPC mesoanalysis
depicts upwards of 500 J/kg of MLCAPE along the front. Lapse rates
will continue to steepen with the advancing shortwave trough, which
may yield upwards of 1000 MLCAPE across east-central KS by early
evening. Sufficient deep-shear, on the order of 35-40 kts, resides
across the forecast area which should yield organized updrafts
capable of large hail and damaging winds. As the shortwave trough
ejects to the northeast through the evening/overnight, the
aforementioned surface front will progress southeast of the area,
ending precipition from northwest to southeast early tonight.

Numerous creeks and rivers across the forecast area remain in either
minor to moderate flood stage, which has resulted in road closures,
etc. Some uncertainty remains with regards to QPF amounts this
afternoon into tonight. Overall instability is lower than previous
nights, in-addition the southeast progression of the surface
front will limit any duration of heavy rain to an hour or less,
with an additional hour or two of light to moderate rain. As a
result, anticipate lower QPF amounts tonight with generally less
than 0.25 to 0.75" across the forecast area. Any prolonged period
of thunderstorm activity could result in locally higher amounts.
but this potential seems low and on a very localized basis. Given
the ongoing flooding and saturated soils, all additional rainfall
will likely be runoff and potentially result in additional flash-
flooding and river rises.

Strong CAA overnight will result in morning low temperatures in the
upper 30s and lower 40s across the forecast area. Northwest winds of
10-15 MPH, gusting up to 25 MPH will contribute to wind chill values
in the low to middle 30s Thursday morning.

Transitioning into Thursday, the second shortwave trough across the
Rockies will eject into the Plains. A few rain showers are possible
with its passage, although any rain amounts will be very light -- on
the order of a few hundredths. Continued CAA behind the cold front
will limit temperatures to the 50s Thursday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

A cold night is anticipated Thursday night/Friday morning as
surface ridging overspreads the area, decreasing cloud cover and
winds. Low temperatures are expected to range from 36 to 41 and
may allow for some patchy frost formation near dawn Friday
morning. The best potential for frost formation looks to be across
north-central KS.

Temperatures will remain below normal for the remainder of the week
into the weekend as the aforementioned surface ridge remains
across the area. The next chance for precipitation looks to arrive
Friday night into Saturday as a northern stream trough ejects
across the northern Plains. A lack of moisture return should
greatly limit rain amounts. The surface ridge is progged to
progress eastward early next week, allowing for WAA to return to
the Plains with highs returning to the 70s and 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

MVFR ceilings spread southeastward this evening and persist
through much of the period, possibly lifting Thursday afternoon.
Showers and thunderstorms currently moving through the area will
quickly push east by 06Z tonight, with drier weather for
Thursday. Winds will switch to the N/NW tonight at 10 to 20 kts
with higher gusts during the day on Thursday.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM CDT Thursday for KSZ008>012-020>024-
026-034>040-054>056-058-059.

&&

SHORT TERM...Baerg
LONG TERM...Baerg
AVIATION...Skow

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
821 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-100130-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
821 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected through the
early overnight across eastern Kansas. Moderate rainfall is
possible which could lead to localized flooding.

Flooding of many rivers and creeks will continue tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

River flooding is expected to continue into the weekend,
otherwise no widespread hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

KDS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
622 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

KSZ035-037-090000-
Dickinson-Morris-
622 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DICKINSON AND
WESTERN MORRIS COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

At 622 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Herington, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Herington, White City, Woodbine, Parkerville, Latimer and Burdick.

LAT...LON 3855 9693 3861 9693 3861 9706 3862 9709
      3887 9690 3876 9659 3852 9687
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 215DEG 18KT 3864 9692

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
640 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

KSZ036>038-054-090030-
Wabaunsee-Geary-Lyon-Morris-
640 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GEARY...CENTRAL
MORRIS...SOUTHWESTERN WABAUNSEE AND NORTHWESTERN LYON COUNTIES UNTIL
730 PM CDT...

At 637 PM CDT, Doppler radar and trained spotters were tracking a
strong thunderstorm near Wilsey, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Several funnel clouds have already been reported with this storm and
conditions remain favorable for additional funnels to form. These
clouds normally lower a few hundred feet downward from the parent
cloud, rotate or spin like a top, and last only a few minutes.
Current conditions make it unlikely these funnel clouds will lower
to the ground or do any damage. Persons should remain alert and move
to a safe place if a funnel cloud approaches.

Locations impacted include...
Council Grove, Alta Vista, Dwight, Wilsey, Parkerville and Council
Grove Lake.

LAT...LON 3854 9661 3869 9682 3897 9652 3874 9618
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 233DEG 23KT 3867 9667

Skow

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
712 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

KSZ038-090045-
Wabaunsee-
712 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTY
UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

At 711 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Alta Vista, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Several funnel clouds have already been reported with this storm and
conditions remain favorable for a brief funnel to form. These clouds
normally lower a few hundred feet downward from the parent cloud,
rotate or spin like a top, and last only a few minutes. Current
conditions make it very unlikely these funnel clouds will lower to
the ground or do any damage.

Locations impacted include...
Eskridge.

LAT...LON 3880 9637 3895 9620 3884 9598 3875 9632
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 233DEG 23KT 3879 9633

Skow