Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
313 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2019

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Scattered convection will continue into the evening hours before
diminishing overnight. With precipitable water values near 2 inches
as observed on the 12z KTAE sounding in addition to weak steering
flow, isolated pockets of heavy rain are possible. Overnight lows
will generally be in the 70s.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday Night]...

An upper level long wave trough is in place aloft of the eastern
CONUS with a ribbon of PV that stretches across the north-central
Gulf waters and into the tri-state area on Sunday. Though the trough
will remain in place, the PV anomaly will lift northeastward Monday.
This upper level feature will continue to enhance seabreeze
convection for the next couple of days. PW values in the 1.5-2" will
be common across the forecast area, with a few spots over 2".
Rainfall totals will generally be around 1 inch, but locally higher
amounts of 2 to 4 inches remain possible. This could lead to
localized flooding during slow moving thunderstorms for the next few
days. Highs will be in the low 90s and lows will be in the low 70s.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

The upper level long wave trough over the eastern CONUS should
finally shift eastward late in the week, with a weak pressure
pattern remaining in place at the low levels. PoPs will generally
hang around the 40-50% range through Thursday, finally lowering to
30-40% for Friday and Saturday. Highs will be in the low-mid 90s and
lows will be in the low-mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Sunday]

Scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area are expected
to continue into this evening and diminish overnight. Mainly VFR
conditions are expected away from convection.

&&

.MARINE...

Light winds from the west will prevail through most of the period
with seas of 1 to 2 feet. The only weather concern for mariners
for the next several days will be daily chances for showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

No critical fire weather conditions are expected over the next
several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Local rivers are below action stage. A wet pattern will be in place
through Monday. Slow moving storms may produce some localized
flooding today. Ponding of water on roadways and flooding of low
lying areas is likely with the stronger storms.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   72  92  72  90  72 /  30  40  20  50  20
Panama City   75  88  76  87  75 /  20  30  30  50  50
Dothan        71  91  71  89  70 /  30  50  30  50  30
Albany        73  91  72  90  71 /  40  50  40  50  40
Valdosta      72  91  71  90  71 /  30  50  30  50  30
Cross City    73  91  74  90  73 /  20  20  10  30  20
Apalachicola  75  88  76  87  75 /  20  20  20  40  30

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...Nguyen
LONG TERM...Nguyen
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Nguyen
FIRE WEATHER...Scholl
HYDROLOGY...McD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
343 PM EDT SAT AUG 3 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0327 PM     HAIL             1 NNE KLONDYKE HILL     31.40N 85.60W
08/03/2019  E0.75 INCH       DALE               AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
353 PM EDT SAT AUG 3 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E OZARK               31.46N 85.62W
08/03/2019                   DALE               AL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN ON VEHICLE REPORTED AT 254 BERMUDA
            AVE, DALE COUNTY ALABAMA.

&&

FD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
314 PM CDT Sat Aug 3 2019

ALZ066-068-069-032045-
Dale AL-Houston AL-Geneva AL-
314 PM CDT Sat Aug 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DALE...NORTHEASTERN
GENEVA AND NORTHWESTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

At 314 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pinckard, or 7 miles northwest of Dothan, moving southeast at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dothan, Hartford, Taylor, Midland City, Slocomb, Cowarts, Pinckard,
Kinsey, Malvern, Rehobeth, Grimes, Avon, Napier Field, Memphis,
Hollis Dairy Road, Wilson Mill, Light, Smyrna, Wicksburg and Sylvan
Grove.

LAT...LON 3128 8567 3137 8542 3132 8542 3131 8537
      3113 8526 3106 8572
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 328DEG 16KT 3127 8554

42-DVD

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