Severe Thunderstorm Warning 201, NWS Tallahassee, FL

372 
WWUS52 KTAE 051926
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
326 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

FLC073-051936-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0201.000000T0000Z-190805T1945Z/
Leon FL-
326 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN LEON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3055 8364 3055 8367 3054 8367 3054 8370
      3052 8373 3043 8372 3038 8376 3039 8379
      3038 8381 3036 8381 3034 8408 3044 8407
      3046 8404 3052 8404 3052 8398 3061 8401
      3067 8401 3065 8362 3064 8360 3058 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 263DEG 22KT 3050 8401 

$$

FLC065-051945-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0201.000000T0000Z-190805T1945Z/
Jefferson FL-
326 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY...

At 326 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of
Monticello, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Monticello, Alma, Fincher, Dills, Cody, Festus, Lamont, Aucilla,
Capps, Lois, Nash, Thomas City, Drifton, Casa Blanco, Jarrott,
Waukeenah, Montivilla, Wacissa, Lloyd and Ashville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3055 8364 3055 8367 3054 8367 3054 8370
      3052 8373 3043 8372 3038 8376 3039 8379
      3038 8381 3036 8381 3034 8408 3044 8407
      3046 8404 3052 8404 3052 8398 3061 8401
      3067 8401 3065 8362 3064 8360 3058 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 263DEG 22KT 3050 8401 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

98-DICATARINA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
253 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Shower and thunderstorm activity will gradually decrease through the
early evening hours with most of the convective activity dissipated
by 0-1Z. Similar to last night, thunderstorms will begin to develop
overnight across western portions of our coastal waters. A few HREF
ensemble members initiate convective activity around 3-4Z while the
majority of the members towards 5-6Z. A few showers and
thunderstorms will move onshore during the early morning hours.
Although severe weather is not expected, stronger storms that could
produce strong gusty winds.

Overnight PoPs will be around 40 to 60% off shore, 30 to 50% for
counties along the coast and around 20% inland. Min temps will be in
the low to mid 70s.

.SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

Weak troughing over the U.S. will lift northeastward Tuesday night
and an upper level ridge will begin to build eastward on Wednesday.
At the lower levels, we'll stay on the western fringe of high
pressure, with light low-level flow generally from the west.
Afternoon seabreeze storms are expected both days, but with slightly
lower coverage Wednesday due to the lack of upper level enhancement.
Heavy rainfall will be possible Tuesday with isolated storms which
could lead to localized flooding. Strong to severe wind gusts can't
be ruled out either day, but conditions are not favorable for
organized severe development.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

Upper level ridging will continue to slowly expand eastward through
the weekend while a weak pressure pattern remains in place at the
surface. Daily chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms with
the sea-breeze are expected. PW values will climb back above 2" on
Friday across the area. This increase in moisture, along with
steadily increasing temperatures and instability, plus northwest
flow aloft could lead to slightly higher chances for stronger storms
Friday and Saturday. Heat indices are also expected to climb through
the week with this increase in moisture and may approach our
advisory criteria (108F) as we head into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Tuesday]

Scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage is expected across most
of the region this afternoon with storms moving east to east-
northeast. Activity will slowly decrease after peak heating hours
and into the early evening hours. Expect MVFR to IFR conditions
during thunderstorm passage with gusty variable winds up to 15-20
knots. LIFR visibility due to heavy downpours from stronger storms
is possible. VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms
with winds from the southwest at around 10 knots. Calm conditions
expected overnight with winds from the southwest around 5 knots.

&&

.MARINE...

Showers and thunderstorms are expected morning for the next several
days. Otherwise, expect relatively tranquil conditions with western
winds of 15 knots or less and seas of 1 to 2 feet.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

No concerns.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected for the
next several days. Rainfall totals from these storms will likely be
in the 1 to 2 inch range, so widespread flooding is not expected.
Slow moving storms will drop locally higher rainfall totals, which
could lead to localized flooding.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   73  91  73  92  73 /  30  50  20  40  10
Panama City   76  88  76  88  77 /  50  50  40  40  20
Dothan        71  91  72  92  73 /  30  50  20  30  10
Albany        72  91  73  92  74 /  40  30  20  30  20
Valdosta      73  90  72  91  72 /  30  50  20  40  20
Cross City    75  88  74  90  74 /  30  50  30  40  20
Apalachicola  76  87  76  88  77 /  50  50  30  40  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...DiCatarina
SHORT TERM...Nguyen
LONG TERM...Nguyen
AVIATION...DiCatarina
MARINE...Nguyen
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Nguyen

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
156 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

FLZ016-017-026-027-051845-
Liberty FL-Gadsden FL-Inland Wakulla FL-Leon FL-
156 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 156 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Greensboro, or 14 miles southwest of Quincy, moving
east at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Quincy, Midway, Havana, Tallahassee, Greensboro, Tallahassee Comm
College, Gretna, Lake Bradford, Freemont, Littman, Brown House, Leon
Sinks, Juniper, Douglas City, Lake Munson, Florence, Hosford,
Scotland, Eight Mile Pond and Clio.

LAT...LON 3029 8488 3061 8485 3064 8457 3066 8435
      3029 8429
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 262DEG 31KT 3044 8477

98-DICATARINA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
241 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

FLZ016>018-028-GAZ158-051930-
Inland Taylor FL-Gadsden FL-Inland Jefferson FL-Leon FL-Thomas GA-
241 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL GADSDEN...
JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR...LEON AND SOUTH CENTRAL THOMAS
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

At 241 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Doak Campbell Stadium, or near Tallahassee, moving east at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Monticello, Tallahassee, Havana, Midway, Woodville, Florida State
University, Florida A And M, Tallahassee Comm College, Doak Campbell
Stadium, Lake Bradford, Alma, Cody, Leon Sinks, Gaither Community
Center, Tallahassee Memorial Hosp, Miccosukee, Eight Mile Pond,
Drifton, Tallahassee Mall and Tallahassee Regional A/P.

LAT...LON 3026 8407 3027 8408 3028 8424 3030 8425
      3031 8444 3062 8446 3071 8382 3038 8378
      3039 8379 3038 8381 3035 8381 3032 8379
      3031 8382 3030 8377 3021 8376
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 262DEG 30KT 3044 8432

98-DICATARINA