Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Tallahassee, FL

266 
WWUS52 KTAE 041045
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
545 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

ALC067-GAC061-041100-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190104T1100Z/
Henry AL-Clay GA-
545 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM
EST/500 AM CST/ FOR NORTHEASTERN HENRY AND NORTHWESTERN CLAY
COUNTIES...

At 545 AM EST/445 AM CST/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from near Richards Crossroads to 7 miles northwest of
Fort Gaines, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Abbeville, Days Crossroads, Walter F George Lake, Standleys Store,
Otho, Watson Crossroads, Scottsboro Crossroads, Double Bridges,
Moores Crossroads, Ricks Place, Garnersville, Screamer, Coates, Bagby
State Park and Thomas Mill Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3178 8508 3177 8507 3177 8503 3178 8502
      3178 8496 3176 8496 3157 8522 3165 8522
      3170 8525 3170 8522 3174 8520 3177 8516
      3176 8513 3177 8513 3178 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 1045Z 222DEG 54KT 3179 8523 3170 8514 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

15-HARRIGAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
234 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

A strong low pressure system will move through the Southeast today,
forcing a cold front through the Tri-State region. Severe weather is
not anticipated, though the strong wind field with this system will
likely result in gusty winds 20-30 mph in and behind the line. Rain
amounts are not forecast to be too impressive due to the progressive
nature of the front. Expect average amounts on the order of 0.5-
1.0". While high clouds won't completely clear out today, the low
overcast will clear with the passage of the cold front.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Sunday]...

In the upper levels a cut-off low centered over Tennessee will move
out of the Southeast by tomorrow afternoon and a ridge will build
into the region. At the surface a low will be near West Virginia
tonight with wrap around moisture extending to North Florida. By
tomorrow afternoon high pressure will move into the region. POPs
will be near zero this weekend. Clouds will be moving out of the
region by tomorrow afternoon. Highs will be in the 60s. Lows will be
in the lower 40s.

.LONG TERM [Sunday Night Through Friday]...

In the upper levels a ridge may be over the Gulf of Mexico. A trough
will move through the Southeast on Monday night, then a longwave
trough will deepen along the Atlantic Coast midweek. At the surface
high pressure will be over the region until a weak cold front
approaches Monday night. High pressure returns by Tuesday night.
POPs will be very low until Friday night when a more substantial
system is possible. Highs will be in the 60s and lower 70s. Lows
will be in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Saturday]

LIFR conditions are forecast to impact TLH, VLD, and possibly ABY
overnight. Further west, an MVFR/IFR mixture exists in and out of
light rain. As the primary line of heavy rain moves through the
region today, expect gusty winds and IFR conditions, with VFR and
breezy conditions under a CI deck to follow.

&&

.MARINE...

Southerly winds will increase this morning becoming more westerly
late this morning. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until
tomorrow morning. Winds will become northwesterly Friday night as a
cold front moves through.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red Flag conditions are not forecast over the next few days. Dispersion
indices are forecast to be marginally high behind a cold front
this afternoon, but should fall back into the acceptable range by
tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

A few local rivers remain in minor flood stage at this time. Some
additional rises are possible today and tonight as more rain moves
in. About one inch of rain is expected today with isolated higher
amounts possible. Drier weather is expected this weekend and next
week.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   69  44  62  42  69 / 100   0   0   0   0
Panama City   66  47  61  47  66 /  80   0   0   0   0
Dothan        66  43  60  42  66 /  70   0   0   0   0
Albany        67  43  61  42  67 / 100   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      69  44  61  43  67 /  90   0   0   0   0
Cross City    70  48  62  43  69 / 100  10   0   0   0
Apalachicola  69  48  61  47  65 / 100  10   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for Coastal Waters
     From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-
     Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton
     County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to
     Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola
     to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico
     Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...Harrigan
SHORT TERM...McD
LONG TERM...McD
AVIATION...Harrigan
MARINE...McD
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...McD