High Surf Warning 1, NWS Tallahassee, FL

535 
WHUS42 KTAE 181520
CFWTAE

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1120 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

FLZ108-112-114-190130-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-191019T1300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
South Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-
1120 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 /1020 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019/

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT /8 AM
CDT/ SATURDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...Inundation of 1 to 3 feet at the time of 
  high tide tonight. 

* WAVES AND SURF...Surf heights of 10 to 13 feet developing late 
  today into early Saturday. 

* Impacts...Minor beach erosion and wave run up to the dune 
  line. Life threatening surf and rip currents will be dangerous 
  to all level swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Warning indicates that dangerous, battering waves
will pound the shoreline. This will result in life-threatening
conditions.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

&&

$$

FLZ115-190130-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
Coastal Franklin-
1120 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...Surf heights of 6 to 8 feet developing late 
  today into Saturday. 

* IMPACTS...Life threatening surf and rip currents will be 
  dangerous to all level swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area, producing localized beach erosion and
dangerous swimming conditions.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

&&

$$

981 
WHUS42 KTAE 190316
CFWTAE

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1116 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019


FLZ108-112-114-192145-
/O.EXT.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-191019T1300Z/
South Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-
1116 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 /1016 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019/

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT /8 AM
CDT/ SATURDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...Inundation of 1 to 3 feet at the time of 
  high tide tonight. 

* WAVES AND SURF...Surf heights of 10 to 13 feet developing late 
  today into early Saturday. 

* Impacts...Minor beach erosion and wave run up to the dune 
  line. Life threatening surf and rip currents will be dangerous 
  to all level swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Warning indicates that dangerous, battering waves
will pound the shoreline. This will result in life-threatening
conditions.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

&&

$$

FLZ115-192145-
/O.EXT.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
Coastal Franklin-
1116 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WAVES AND SURF...Surf heights of 6 to 8 feet developing late 
  today into Saturday. 

* IMPACTS...Life threatening surf and rip currents will be 
  dangerous to all level swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area, producing localized beach erosion and
dangerous swimming conditions.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

&&

$$

571 
WHUS42 KTAE 191811
CFWTAE

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
211 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019



FLZ108-112-114-200215-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
South Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-
211 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 /111 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019/

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...


* WAVES AND SURF...Surf heights of 10 to 13 feet through early
  this evening.

* Impacts...Minor beach erosion and wave run up to the dune 
  line. Life threatening surf and rip currents will be dangerous 
  to all level swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Warning indicates that dangerous, battering waves
will pound the shoreline. This will result in life-threatening
conditions.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

&&

$$

FLZ115-200215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.Y.0007.191019T1811Z-191020T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
Coastal Franklin-
211 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect until 8 AM EDT Sunday. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...1 to 2 feet above MHHW especially around the
  time of high tide

* Waves and Surf...Surf heights of 6 to 8 feet developing late 
  today into Saturday. 

* Impacts...Life threatening surf and rip currents will be
  dangerous to all level swimmers. Minor beach erosion and wave
  run up to the dune line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area, producing localized beach erosion and
dangerous swimming conditions.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

FLZ118-127-128-134-200215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.Y.0007.191019T1811Z-191020T1200Z/
Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Wakulla-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Dixie-
211 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect until 8 AM EDT Sunday. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...1 to 2 feet above MHHW especially around the
  time of high tide.

* IMPACTS...Minor beach erosion and wave run up to the dune 
  line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

282 
WHUS42 KTAE 192114
CFWTAE

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
514 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019


FLZ108-112-114-200515-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KTAE.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
South Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-
514 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 /414 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019/

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH SURF WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a High
Surf Advisory, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this
evening. The High Surf Warning has been cancelled. 

* WAVES AND SURF...Surf heights of 6 to 8 feet through early this
  evening. 

* Impacts...Life threatening surf and rip currents will be 
  dangerous to all level swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area, producing localized beach erosion and
dangerous swimming conditions.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly. 

&&

$$

FLZ115-200515-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0079.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
Coastal Franklin-
514 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...1 to 2 feet above MHHW especially around 
  the time of high tide. 

* Waves and Surf...Surf heights of 6 to 8 feet developing late 
  today into Saturday. 

* Impacts...Life threatening surf and rip currents will be 
  dangerous to all level swimmers. Minor beach erosion and wave 
  run up to the dune line. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Surf Advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area, producing localized beach erosion and
dangerous swimming conditions.

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

FLZ118-127-128-134-200515-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-191020T1200Z/
Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Wakulla-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Dixie-
514 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...1 to 2 feet above MHHW especially around 
  the time of high tide. 

* IMPACTS...Minor beach erosion and wave run up to the dune 
  line. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
132 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Saturday]

A developing system, currently in the SW Gulf of Mexico, will
make its way towards the tri-state region tonight. Wind speeds
will begin to gradually increase starting around 12Z across SE AL
and FL Panhandle counties and then spread eastward to SW GA and
FL Big Bend. Winds will be southeasterly at about 30kts (40kt
gusts) along coastal terminals by 6Z Saturday. Expect IFR to LIFR
ceilings to develop by tomorrow morning along coastal and western
terminals with widespread showers and a few embedded
thunderstorms likely.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [856 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

The near term period will generally be characterized by calm
conditions.  The tropical disturbance currently in the Bay of
Campeche is expected to interact with a midlatitude upper level
disturbance in the northern Gulf of Mexico Overnight tonight and
into Friday. This system is expected to have both tropical and
subtropical characteristics, and strengthen slightly through this
period. Outer showers and thunderstorms associated with this
system will become more numerous across our waters and coastal
regions toward the tail end of this period heading into Friday
morning.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Saturday]...

The impacts from Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 are expected to begin
on Friday and persist through Saturday. It's important to reiterate
that regardless of whether this becomes a tropical or sub-tropical
system, the impacts remain the same. Confidence is increasing in the
following hazards:

The potential for life threatening inundation from storm surge
along the Florida Big Bend coast and minor coastal flooding along
the Panhandle coast.

Tropical storm force winds of 39 mph or greater are likely near the
Florida coast to the west of the Ochlockonee River, and possible for
the remainder of the panhandle.

The tornado threat is elevated across the Big Bend, where isolated
tornadoes are possible.

Given the fast moving nature of the system, the flooding rain threat
is minimal, with only 2 to 4 inches of rain expected with isolated 5
inch amounts. To reiterate, regardless of development, confidence in
the aforementioned impacts is increasing.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Night Through Thursday]...

PTC 16 will keep moving northeast Saturday night away from the
region with light wraparound showers into the evening hours. High
pressure builds in Sunday into the first half of Monday with a
period of dry weather. The next storm system and cold frontal
passage is on tap for Monday night and Tuesday with associated
showers and thunderstorms possible. High pressure and dry air
quickly move in behind the front with dry conditions once again
for Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will experience a slow
warmup Sunday and Monday followed by a cooldown Tuesday and
Wednesday.

.MARINE...

Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 will impact the coastal waters
starting Friday and continuing into Saturday, with tropical storm
force winds and high seas expected. Seas could reach 20 feet over
the offshore waters. Conditions will improve by late Saturday with
light winds and diminishing seas into early next week.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Low dispersion values are expected across the region over the next
two days. RH values will initially be low, but will steadily
increase throughout the day on Friday. PoPs will also be
increasing throughout the day Friday, and into Friday evening
across the region. Red flag criteria will not be met.

.HYDROLOGY...

PTC #16 is expected to approach the region on Friday and move
quickly through the forecast area by Saturday afternoon. Due to the
fast movement on the system, rainfall amounts are not expected to be
especially significant. Most model guidance shows widespread 2 to 4
inches of rain with isolated heavier amounts possible.

Antecedent conditions have flash flood guidance values rather high,
so the amount of rain expected should not produce more than a
localized flood threat in urban areas.

Area rivers are extremely low and though this rain event will cause
some rises on area rivers, none are expected to approach action
stage during this event.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   72  62  79  62  80 /  50 100  90  20  10
Panama City   73  65  78  65  81 /  80  90  70  20  10
Dothan        70  58  70  59  79 /  40  90  80  20   0
Albany        72  61  73  61  77 /  10  90  90  30  10
Valdosta      73  63  78  63  77 /  20  90  90  30  10
Cross City    74  65  82  66  81 /  60  90  90  40  10
Apalachicola  74  68  79  66  79 /  80 100  80  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Tropical Storm Warning for Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal
     Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-
     Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-
     Inland Gulf-South Walton.

     High Rip Current Risk from 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning
     through Saturday evening for Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ Saturday for
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     High Surf Advisory from 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning to 8 PM
     EDT /7 PM CDT/ Saturday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Tropical Storm Watch for Calhoun-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Dixie-
     Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-
     Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton-Washington.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From
     Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20
     Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa
     Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River
     to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters
     from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20
     to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...Bunker
SHORT TERM...LF
LONG TERM...Scholl
AVIATION...DiCatarina
MARINE...LF
FIRE WEATHER...Bunker
HYDROLOGY...Godsey