Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2019
Tornado Watch 7
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 3, 2019, 11:03 AM CST for 31 counties in Alabama; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 19 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 3, 2019, 11:03 AM CST (17:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 3, 2019, 6:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 55 counties
Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Livingston Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 11:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion | 56 min |
| Mar 3, 11:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke | 25 min |
| Mar 3, 11:52 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Washington | 38 min |
| Mar 3, 12:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 28 min |
| Mar 3, 12:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 52 min |
| Mar 3, 12:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Tangipahoa, Washington | 29 min |
| Mar 3, 12:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 35 min |
| Mar 3, 12:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Pearl River | 32 min |
| Mar 3, 12:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lowndes, Montgomery | 39 min |
| Mar 3, 12:51 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 24 min |
| Mar 3, 1:05 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Autauga, Dallas, Lowndes | 36 min |
| Mar 3, 1:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Clarke, Conecuh, Monroe, Wilcox | 51 min |
| Mar 3, 1:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Monroe, Washington | 48 min |
| Mar 3, 1:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Macon | 56 min |
| Mar 3, 1:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Washington | 27 min |
| Mar 3, 1:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Lowndes, Montgomery | 65 min |
| Mar 3, 1:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox | 41 min |
| Mar 3, 1:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Monroe | 23 min |
| Mar 3, 1:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe | 50 min |
| Mar 3, 1:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lee, Russell | 33 min |
| Mar 3, 2:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia | 47 min |
| Mar 3, 2:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw | 67 min |
| Mar 3, 2:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Macon | 24 min |
| Mar 3, 2:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw | 29 min |
| Mar 3, 2:38 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lee, Russell | 36 min |
| Mar 3, 2:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 52 min |
| Mar 3, 2:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Butler, Covington, Crenshaw | 23 min |
| Mar 3, 3:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Barbour, Bullock, Pike | 65 min |
| Mar 3, 3:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Barbour, Bullock, Pike | 60 min |
| Mar 3, 3:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 40 min |
| Mar 3, 3:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 50 min |
| Mar 3, 3:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 46 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 485 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 285 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 413 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
259
WWUS20 KWNS 031700
SEL7
SPC WW 031700
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-040000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 7
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Sun Mar 3 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Alabama
Western Florida Panhandle
Southeast Louisiana
Southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon
ahead of a strong cold front. Supercells will be possible along and
ahead of the front, capable of damaging wind gusts and a few
tornadoes. Strong tornadoes are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles south of Mc Comb MS to 20
miles east southeast of Auburn AL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 9:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Sumter | 62 min |
| Mar 3, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Chilton and 23 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 3, 11:24 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 10 hr |
| Mar 3, 12:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 58 min |
| Mar 3, 12:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lee, Russell | 32 min |
| Mar 3, 1:00 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Macon, Montgomery | 30 min |
| Mar 3, 1:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Bullock, Butler, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh and 13 more | 115 min |
| Mar 3, 2:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lee, Macon, Russell | 54 min |
| Mar 3, 3:22 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 113 min |
| Mar 3, 5:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Houston | 2 hr |
| Mar 3, 2:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Muscogee | 26 min |
| Mar 3, 2:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Berrien and 41 more | 116 min |
| Mar 3, 2:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Bryan, Bulloch, Burke and 18 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 3, 2:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Twiggs, Wilkinson | 24 min |
| Mar 3, 3:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Burke, Crawford, Emanuel and 15 more | 62 min |
| Mar 3, 10:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Orleans and 7 more | 25 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2019Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.