Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 7

March 3, 201931 counties in Alabama; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 19 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 3, 2019, 11:03 AM CST for 31 counties in Alabama; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 19 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 3, 2019, 11:03 AM CST (17:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 3, 2019, 6:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 55 counties

Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Livingston Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 11:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion56 min
Mar 3, 11:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke25 min
Mar 3, 11:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWashington38 min
Mar 3, 12:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa28 min
Mar 3, 12:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington52 min
Mar 3, 12:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXTangipahoa, Washington29 min
Mar 3, 12:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington35 min
Mar 3, 12:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPearl River32 min
Mar 3, 12:49 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery39 min
Mar 3, 12:51 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBClarke, Washington24 min
Mar 3, 1:05 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXAutauga, Dallas, Lowndes36 min
Mar 3, 1:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBClarke, Conecuh, Monroe, Wilcox51 min
Mar 3, 1:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Monroe, Washington48 min
Mar 3, 1:19 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXMacon56 min
Mar 3, 1:33 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBWashington27 min
Mar 3, 1:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery65 min
Mar 3, 1:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Conecuh, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox41 min
Mar 3, 1:52 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBConecuh, Monroe23 min
Mar 3, 1:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe50 min
Mar 3, 1:58 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyBMXLee, Russell33 min
Mar 3, 2:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia47 min
Mar 3, 2:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw67 min
Mar 3, 2:24 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXMacon24 min
Mar 3, 2:31 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBButler, Crenshaw29 min
Mar 3, 2:38 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedBMXLee, Russell36 min
Mar 3, 2:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Escambia52 min
Mar 3, 2:53 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBButler, Covington, Crenshaw23 min
Mar 3, 3:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBarbour, Bullock, Pike65 min
Mar 3, 3:15 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBarbour, Bullock, Pike60 min
Mar 3, 3:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBCovington40 min
Mar 3, 3:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBCovington50 min
Mar 3, 3:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBCovington46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 285 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
285 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
413 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

259 
WWUS20 KWNS 031700
SEL7  
SPC WW 031700
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-040000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 7
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Sun Mar 3 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central and Southern Alabama
  Western Florida Panhandle
  Southeast Louisiana
  Southeast Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon
ahead of a strong cold front.  Supercells will be possible along and
ahead of the front, capable of damaging wind gusts and a few
tornadoes.  Strong tornadoes are possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles south of Mc Comb MS to 20
miles east southeast of Auburn AL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 9:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Sumter62 min
Mar 3, 9:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Chilton and 23 more2 hr
Mar 3, 11:24 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston10 hr
Mar 3, 12:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDale, Geneva, Henry, Houston58 min
Mar 3, 12:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee, Russell32 min
Mar 3, 1:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMacon, Montgomery30 min
Mar 3, 1:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bullock, Butler, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh and 13 more115 min
Mar 3, 2:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee, Macon, Russell54 min
Mar 3, 3:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston113 min
Mar 3, 5:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHouston2 hr
Mar 3, 2:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMuscogee26 min
Mar 3, 2:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Berrien and 41 more116 min
Mar 3, 2:35 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Bryan, Bulloch, Burke and 18 more7 hr
Mar 3, 2:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCTwiggs, Wilkinson24 min
Mar 3, 3:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Burke, Crawford, Emanuel and 15 more62 min
Mar 3, 10:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Orleans and 7 more25 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2019Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.