Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 683

October 25, 20195 counties in Alabama; 13 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 25, 2019, 9:49 AM CDT for 5 counties in Alabama; 13 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 25, 2019, 9:49 AM CDT (14:49 UTC)
Expired
Oct 25, 2019, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt

Counties Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Clarke County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 25, 10:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile33 min
Oct 25, 11:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile29 min
Oct 25, 11:59 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBMobile46 min
Oct 25, 12:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile37 min
Oct 25, 1:12 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBMobile, Washington48 min
Oct 25, 1:57 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBClarke, Washington48 min
Oct 25, 2:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar3 hr
Oct 25, 2:21 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBPerry39 min
Oct 25, 2:40 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington27 min
Oct 25, 2:46 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBGeorge, Greene44 min
Oct 25, 2:55 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne50 min
Oct 25, 3:27 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBGreene48 min
Oct 25, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 376 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 296 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
376 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
528 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 25, 8:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile2 hr
Oct 25, 12:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington114 min
Oct 25, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Marengo, Mobile, Monroe and 1 more57 min
Oct 25, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Washington7 hr
Oct 25, 5:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Washington91 min
Oct 25, 6:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPlaquemines55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.