Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 675

October 19, 201929 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 19, 2019, 1:52 AM EDT for 29 counties in Florida. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 19, 2019, 1:52 AM EDT (05:52 UTC)
Expired
Oct 19, 2019, 1:59 PM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 29 counties

Alachua County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 19, 3:20 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWSarasota40 min
Oct 19, 4:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCharlotte, Sarasota32 min
Oct 19, 4:17 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWCharlotte, Sarasota28 min
Oct 19, 5:59 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWCharlotte, Sarasota31 min
Oct 19, 8:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXSaint Johns36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2019-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 491 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2019-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 310 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
491 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
808 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
432 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
4.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 10:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHillsborough, Orange, Osceola, Pasco, Polk2 hr
Oct 19, 1:26 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Citrus, Hardee, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake and 11 more64 min
Oct 19, 5:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Flagler, Glades and 17 more89 min
Oct 19, 8:49 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay and 25 more86 min
Oct 19, 9:00 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gulf, Taylor, Wakulla90 min
Oct 19, 11:17 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus and 42 more58 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.