Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 524

July 19, 201940 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 19, 2019, 2:41 PM CDT for 40 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2019, 2:41 PM CDT (19:41 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2019, 9:06 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 57 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pine County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Renville County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Iron County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXTodd36 min
Jul 19, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine47 min
Jul 19, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison, Todd55 min
Jul 19, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing38 min
Jul 19, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMille Lacs, Morrison49 min
Jul 19, 3:16 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMorrison, Todd44 min
Jul 19, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs48 min
Jul 19, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison45 min
Jul 19, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBurnett, Douglas, Sawyer, Washburn43 min
Jul 19, 3:54 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXKanabec36 min
Jul 19, 4:02 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMorrison28 min
Jul 19, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine44 min
Jul 19, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHSawyer, Washburn31 min
Jul 19, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago42 min
Jul 19, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago, Isanti27 min
Jul 19, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHSawyer33 min
Jul 19, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine32 min
Jul 19, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti, Mille Lacs, Sherburne30 min
Jul 19, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago54 min
Jul 19, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago, Isanti30 min
Jul 19, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRusk35 min
Jul 19, 5:28 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBarron, Polk47 min
Jul 19, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPrice, Sawyer61 min
Jul 19, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBarron, Chippewa, Dunn, Polk, Rusk, Saint Croix62 min
Jul 19, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago45 min
Jul 19, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Iron, Price, Sawyer57 min
Jul 19, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa56 min
Jul 19, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBarron, Dunn, Polk, Saint Croix47 min
Jul 19, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPrice30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2019-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 848 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2019-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -35 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
848 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-74 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1163 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 7:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOlmsted, Wabasha, Winona84 min
Jul 18, 10:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHouston2 hr
Jul 19, 11:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Meeker, Pope and 3 more114 min
Jul 19, 1:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago, Douglas and 18 more3 hr
Jul 19, 3:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChisago, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison, Pine2 hr
Jul 19, 6:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Goodhue, Hennepin and 8 more97 min
Jul 19, 5:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Chippewa, Clark, Langlade, Lincoln and 17 more90 min
Jul 19, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPCBrown, Calumet, Clark, Door, Florence, Forest and 18 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2019Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.