Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 621

August 25, 201918 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 25, 2019, 9:33 PM MDT for 18 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 25, 2019, 9:33 PM MDT (03:33 UTC)
Expired
Aug 26, 2019, 4:57 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Grant County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 25, 9:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFSheridan57 min
Aug 25, 10:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan66 min
Aug 25, 11:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Grant, Hooker, McPherson, Thomas67 min
Aug 26, 2:11 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Thomas49 min
Aug 26, 2:59 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Loup61 min
Aug 26, 3:36 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Loup6 hr
Aug 26, 3:55 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2019-08-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 992 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2019-08-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
992 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-266 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1024 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

895 
WWUS20 KWNS 260329
SEL1  
SPC WW 260329
NEZ000-261100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 621
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
930 PM MDT Sun Aug 25 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Nebraska

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 930 PM
  until 500 AM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...An isolated intense severe thunderstorm will initially
impact far northwest Nebraska late this evening, with additional
development and a general expansion of storms expected into the
overnight. Large hail will be possible on an isolated basis, and
severe-caliber wind gusts would be an increasing concern as storms
potentially form into a well-organized southeastward-moving line.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of
Alliance NE to 20 miles east southeast of Oneill NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 620...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 25, 8:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Cherry and 15 more116 min
Aug 26, 12:05 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer, Garfield and 9 more55 min
Aug 26, 2:35 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Garfield, Greeley and 7 more85 min
Aug 26, 4:44 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Gage and 15 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2019Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.