Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 486

July 4, 20195 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2019, 4:32 PM CDT for 5 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2019, 4:32 PM CDT (21:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2019, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Blaine County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan60 min
Jul 4, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry62 min
Jul 4, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Hooker54 min
Jul 4, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Thomas62 min
Jul 4, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Cherry, Thomas38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2019-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 111 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2019-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
111 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
760 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Grant, Hooker, Keya Paha and 3 more114 min
Jul 3, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Grant, Hooker, Keya Paha and 3 more3 hr
Jul 3, 10:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Hooker, Keya Paha, Loup, Rock and 1 more92 min
Jul 4, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sioux2 hr
Jul 4, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Dawes, Grant, Hooker and 6 more114 min
Jul 4, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Scotts Bluff, Sioux9 hr
Jul 4, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sioux2 hr
Jul 4, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherry, Hooker2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2019Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.