Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 21

March 13, 201942 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 13, 2019, 1:51 AM CDT for 42 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 13, 2019, 1:51 AM CDT (06:51 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2019, 7:17 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 2:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Palo Pinto, Stephens, Young70 min
Mar 13, 2:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland59 min
Mar 13, 2:39 AM CDTTornado WarningFWDEastland36 min
Mar 13, 3:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDErath, Hood, Palo Pinto, Parker, Somervell78 min
Mar 13, 3:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Montague, Wise61 min
Mar 13, 3:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Comanche, Coryell, Erath, Hamilton, Lampasas and 1 more52 min
Mar 13, 4:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton, Johnson, Tarrant52 min
Mar 13, 4:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill49 min
Mar 13, 4:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDallas, Ellis72 min
Mar 13, 5:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Grayson51 min
Mar 13, 5:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton10 min
Mar 13, 5:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDNavarro69 min
Mar 13, 5:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDKaufman, Rockwall54 min
Mar 13, 5:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFannin, Hunt44 min
Mar 13, 5:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson60 min
Mar 13, 6:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins, Lamar, Rains, Van Zandt51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 26 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 22 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 402 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
22 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
558 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
402 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
368 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

391 
WWUS20 KWNS 130648
SEL1  
SPC WW 130648
TXZ000-131400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 21
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  central and northern Texas

* Effective this Wednesday morning from 150 AM until 900 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will move rapidly through the
watch area this morning with damaging gusts and the potential for a
tornado or two.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Fort
Worth TX to 5 miles southwest of Temple TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 18...WW 19...WW 20...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 7:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress and 29 more2 hr
Mar 12, 8:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Ector, Gaines, Reeves, Terry, Ward and 2 more2 hr
Mar 12, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBriscoe, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd and 10 more5 hr
Mar 12, 10:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBorden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 36 more7 hr
Mar 12, 10:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Glasscock and 12 more116 min
Mar 13, 12:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Childress, Clay, Cottle, Foard and 8 more59 min
Mar 13, 12:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Edwards and 18 more93 min
Mar 13, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more5 hr
Mar 13, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coleman and 22 more83 min
Mar 13, 3:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Erath, Hood, Jack, Palo Pinto, Parker57 min
Mar 13, 4:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Burnet, Collin, Cooke, Coryell and 11 more86 min
Mar 13, 5:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Gregg, Harrison and 10 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.