Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 948

June 2, 2019Eddy County, New Mexico; 11 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 2, 2019, 1:35 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico; 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 2, 2019, 1:35 PM MDT (19:35 UTC)
Expired: Jun 2, 2019, 3:30 PM MDT
In force: 115 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch: 95%

Counties Eddy County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 319Jun 2, 2:00 PM MDT

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 333 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1368 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -90 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1303 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 2, 11:40 AM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Chaves, Colfax, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe, Lea and 7 more	2 hr
Jun 2, 12:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Bernalillo, Chaves, Colfax, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding and 8 more	8 hr
Jun 2, 2:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Eddy, Lea, Otero	7 hr
Jun 2, 2:50 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Chaves, Colfax, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Lincoln and 3 more	115 min
Jun 2, 4:19 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Chaves, Eddy	56 min
Jun 2, 5:55 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Curry, Quay	65 min
Jun 1, 6:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cochran, Cottle and 18 more	7 hr
Jun 2, 12:17 AM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Callahan, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Fisher, Garza and 13 more	118 min
Jun 2, 1:30 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland and 12 more	4 hr
Jun 2, 3:20 AM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland and 10 more	85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2019 Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2019 Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.