Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 852

May 28, 20195 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 28, 2019, 1:02 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2019, 1:02 PM EDT (17:02 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2019, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%
All 95 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA, Berkeley County, WV, Morgan County, WV

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 293 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-149 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
414 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 1:48 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex8 hr
May 28, 5:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex86 min
May 28, 4:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris and 3 more2 hr
May 28, 6:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Passaic, Sussex97 min
May 28, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Erie7 hr
May 28, 3:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Lawrence, Mercer2 hr
May 28, 12:08 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Jackson, Pleasants, Ritchie, Roane, Tyler and 2 more4 hr
May 28, 2:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPleasants, Ritchie, Tyler, Wirt, Wood117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.