Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 76

February 6, 201925 counties in Arkansas; McCurtain County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 6, 2019, 3:41 PM CST for 25 counties in Arkansas; McCurtain County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2019, 3:41 PM CST (21:41 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2019, 5:45 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 26 counties

Conway County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, McCurtain County, OK

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 289 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 77 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 185 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
77 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
615 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
237 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 5, 7:32 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Garvin and 8 more2 hr
Feb 6, 5:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 6 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.