Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 759

May 23, 201911 counties in New York; 33 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 23, 2019, 7:10 PM EDT for 11 counties in New York; 33 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 65 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 23, 2019, 7:10 PM EDT (23:10 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2019, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 44 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 124 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 245 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
245 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 8:53 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming2 hr
May 23, 9:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung, Cortland and 17 more3 hr
May 23, 6:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCayuga, Hamilton, Herkimer, Lewis, Madison, Monroe and 6 more118 min
May 23, 11:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre, Clinton and 18 more83 min
May 23, 1:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin and 6 more5 hr
May 23, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFayette, Greene, Washington5 hr
May 23, 5:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Greene, Washington61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.