Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 690

May 19, 201913 counties in Indiana; 25 counties in Michigan; Williams County, Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 19, 2019, 4:27 PM EDT for 13 counties in Indiana; 25 counties in Michigan; Williams County, Ohio. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2019, 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2019, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%
All 39 counties

DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2019-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 155 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2019-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
155 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-68 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1182 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 3:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, Dubois, Fountain and 18 more114 min
May 19, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 57 more5 hr
May 19, 7:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 45 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.