Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 643

May 16, 201918 counties in Illinois; 23 counties in Iowa; Lafayette County, Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 16, 2019, 7:14 PM CDT for 18 counties in Illinois; 23 counties in Iowa; Lafayette County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2019, 7:14 PM CDT (00:14 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2019, 9:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 42 counties

Benton County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Ford County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kendall County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Lafayette County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 25 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2019-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2335 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2019-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2335 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1972 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford and 18 more6 hr
May 16, 11:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Ford, Grundy, Henry and 14 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.