Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 2245

December 31, 201921 counties in New York; Potter County, Tioga County, Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 31, 2019, 1:47 PM EST for 21 counties in New York; Potter County, Tioga County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2019, 1:47 PM EST (18:47 UTC)
Expired
Dec 31, 2019, 4:45 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Yates County, NY, Potter County, PA, Tioga County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
730 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 4:31 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Fulton, Greene and 9 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.