Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 2000

September 21, 20194 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 21, 2019, 10:32 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 21, 2019, 10:32 PM CDT (03:32 UTC)
Expired
Sep 22, 2019, 12:30 AM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties

Fremont County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Gove County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Trego County, KS, Washington County, KS, Atchison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Cass County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2019-09-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1313 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2019-09-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 231 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
592 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.6
Supercell composite
8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

094 
ACUS11 KWNS 220333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220332 
MOZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-220530-

Mesoscale Discussion 2000
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1032 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

Areas affected...KS...Southwest IA...Northwest MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 657...

Valid 220332Z - 220530Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 657
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat is gradually shifting east and waning. New
WW is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Isolated severe wind gusts have been noted within the
last hour along strongest portion of the squall line near CNK. This
activity is shifting east along the NE/KS border and should progress
east of ww657 in the next 1-2hr as LLJ focuses into this portion of
the eastern Plains. While convection should remain organized,
overall severe threat appears to be decreasing, especially as
thunderstorms shift east of the MO river. A new WW is not
anticipated downstream.

..Darrow.. 09/22/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38920084 39799779 41489533 40269485 38699759 38400062
            38920084

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Cass, Clarke and 19 more2 hr
Sep 21, 7:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Edwards, Ellis and 20 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.