Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Springfield, MO

March 12, 2019Cedar County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 12, 2019, 8:43 PM CDT for Cedar County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 13, 2019, 3:36 AM CDT. It was in force for 46 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2019, 8:43 PM CDT (01:43 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 13, 2019, 3:36 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 15, 2019, 1:48 AM CDT
In force
46 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cedar County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Sac River near Caplinger Mills (CMZM7). The gauge peaked at 20.07 ft at Mar 13, 2019, 12:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10152003/1303/1403/1503/16
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06919900, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

140 
WGUS43 KSGF 130143
FLWSGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
843 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019



...The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County.
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County.


.This warning is based on future forecast precipitation amounts of 
xxx to xxx inches during the next [xx] hours near the river basin(s).
If conditions warrant...additional rises or falls may occur based on 
future precipitation and runoff. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Those with property and livestock along the river should continue to 
monitor river conditions.Additional river information can be found on
our Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service page at 
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-131342-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0008.190313T1348Z-190316T0920Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.190313T1348Z.190314T0600Z.190315T0920Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 13.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and continue to rise to near 23.2 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...The county road west of the gage, Minnie 
  Ball Road, is impassable.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  13.7 Tue 08 PM  22.7  19.6  12.8


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC039-131342-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0009.190313T0934Z-190315T0648Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.190313T0934Z.190313T1800Z.190314T0648Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 10.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 18.8 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Flood waters reach 
  approximately three feet in depth at the Caplinger Mills 
  Campground.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  10.2 Tue 08 PM  14.7  11.4   9.4


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
6 follow-up statements
756 
WGUS83 KSGF 130149
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
849 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019



 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...
 
  Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties 
 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
   
.Heavy rainfall will cause river levels to rise above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for 
updates.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

KSC011-131649-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0005.190313T0912Z-190315T0227Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.190313T0912Z.190313T1800Z.190314T0227Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the Little Osage River at Fulton...
* At  8:31 PM Tuesday The stage was 18.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 23.6 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site.  
  Farmland at the gage site becomes covered by flood waters, and 
  Highway 31, east of town becomes flooded. Highway 31, four miles 
  west of Fulton has flood waters reach four to six feet in depth. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Little Osage River Basin
  Fulton           22  18.1 Tue 09 PM  23.4  15.9   7.2


&&


LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

 

$$

MOC217-131649-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0006.190313T0834Z-190317T0400Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.190313T0834Z.190314T1200Z.190316T0400Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 38.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 44.0 feet by Thursday morning.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site. 
  Low lying areas along Route D near Stotesbury flood.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  38.7 Tue 08 PM  41.8  44.0  42.5


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-131649-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0008.190313T1348Z-190316T0920Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.190313T1348Z.190314T0600Z.190315T0920Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the The Marmaton River near Nevada...
 * At  7:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 13.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 23.2 feet by early Thursday morning.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...The county road west of the gage, Minnie 
  Ball Road, is impassable.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  13.7 Tue 08 PM  19.4  22.7  19.6


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC013-217-131649-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0007.190314T0224Z-190318T0400Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.190314T0224Z.190315T0000Z.190317T0400Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 17.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 31.4 feet by Thursday evening.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* Impact...At 31.5 feet...The main road of the Schell Osage 
  Conservation Area floods west of the conservation office. The north
  campground main road of the Schell Osage Conservation area floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  17.4 Tue 08 PM  23.8  31.1  31.4


&&


LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

 

$$

MOC039-131649-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0009.190313T0934Z-190315T0648Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.190313T0934Z.190313T1800Z.190314T0648Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

...For the The Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
 * At  7:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 10.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 18.8 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will
  fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Flood waters reach 
  approximately three feet in depth at the Caplinger Mills 
  Campground.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  10.2 Tue 08 PM  17.7  14.7  11.4


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
890 
WGUS83 KSGF 130842
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
342 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
   
.Heavy rainfall that feel Tuesday evening has caused river levels to 
rise above flood stage. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for 
updates.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC039-132341-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0009.190313T0836Z-190315T0243Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.190313T0501Z.190313T1200Z.190314T0243Z.NO/
342 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  2:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 17.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.6 feet by this
  morning.  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Flood waters reach 
  approximately three feet in depth at the Caplinger Mills 
  Campground.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  17.9 Wed 03 AM  14.4  11.6   9.6


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
456 
WGUS43 KSGF 131011
FLWSGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
511 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019



...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...
  The Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County

.Heavy rainfall that occurred on Tuesday evening is 
causing river levels to rise. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Those with property and livestock along the river should continue to 
monitor river conditions.Additional river information can be found on
our Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service page at 
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC039-132211-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190315T0448Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.190313T0501Z.190313T1200Z.190314T0448Z.NO/
511 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 18.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate  flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.7 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters affect low lying areas near the
  river including farmland along Highway N and between Highway W and 
  Caplinger Mills. Cedar Creek...a tributary of the Sac River 
  backwaters and floods portions of Highway 39 and south of Cedar 
  Springs.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  18.9 Wed 05 AM  14.3  11.4   9.3


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
643 
WGUS83 KSGF 131720
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1220 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019



 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...
 
  Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
   
.Heavy rainfall will cause river levels to rise above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for 
updates.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC039-140820-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190315T1324Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.190313T0501Z.190313T1800Z.190314T1324Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At 11:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 20.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.2 feet by this
  afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters affect low lying areas near the
  river including farmland along Highway N and between Highway W and 
  Caplinger Mills. Cedar Creek...a tributary of the Sac River 
  backwaters and floods portions of Highway 39 and south of Cedar 
  Springs.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  20.0 Wed 12 PM  16.4  11.6   9.5


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$

KSC011-140820-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0056Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.190313T1033Z.190313T1800Z.190314T0056Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Little Osage River at Fulton...
* At 12:01 PM Wednesday The stage was 22.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.2 feet by this
  afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor flooding begins at the gage site. 
  Flood waters mainly affect farmland along the Little Osage River 
  Basin between the gage site and Highway 31 west of Fulton.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Little Osage River Basin
  Fulton           22  22.7 Wed 12 PM  15.8   7.3   6.1


&&


LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

 

$$

MOC217-140820-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190317T0448Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.190313T0321Z.190314T1200Z.190316T0448Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At 11:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 42.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 43.9 feet by 
  tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site. 
  Low lying areas along Route D near Stotesbury flood.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  42.5 Wed 12 PM  43.9  42.6  40.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-140820-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190316T0712Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.190313T0700Z.190314T0600Z.190315T0712Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At 11:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 21.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.6 feet by 
  around midnight.  The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  21.5 Wed 12 PM  22.0  19.2  12.2


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC013-217-140820-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0007.190313T2342Z-190318T0130Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.190313T2342Z.190315T0000Z.190317T0130Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At 11:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 25.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 31.5 feet by tomorrow evening.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 31.5 feet...The main road of the Schell Osage 
  Conservation Area floods west of the conservation office. The north
  campground main road of the Schell Osage Conservation area floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  25.7 Wed 12 PM  31.2  31.5  31.0


&&


LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

 

$$
362 
WGUS83 KSGF 140132
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019



 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Kansas...
 
  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
   
.Heavy rainfall has resulted in river levels to rise above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for 
updates.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC039-141631-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190315T0851Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.190313T0501Z.190313T1715Z.190314T0851Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 19.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Flood waters reach 
  approximately three feet in depth at the Caplinger Mills 
  Campground.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  19.1 Wed 08 PM  14.9  10.3   8.9


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$

MOC169-140637-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190314T0637Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.190313T1915Z.190313T2215Z.190314T0037Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville...
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday The stage was 7.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Low parts of Spring Road south of Business 66
  in Waynesville flood.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Roubidoux Creek
  Waynesville       7   7.0 Wed 07 PM   5.1   4.0   3.5


&&


LAT...LON 3785 9226 3786 9218 3776 9215 3777 9221

 

$$

MOC169-141631-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0011.190314T0130Z-190315T1720Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.190313T2309Z.190314T1800Z.190315T1120Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday The stage was 8.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The Happy Hollow Picnic Area floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   8.7 Wed 08 PM   9.2   7.9   5.5


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC161-141631-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0012.190314T2300Z-190316T0900Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.190314T2300Z.190315T0600Z.190315T0900Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the The Gasconade River at Jerome...
 * At  7:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 8.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 15.3 feet by early Friday morning.  The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15   8.7 Wed 08 PM  11.7  14.7  11.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

 

$$

KSC011-141631-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0224Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.190313T1033Z.190313T2046Z.190314T0224Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Little Osage River at Fulton...
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday The stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor flooding begins at the gage site. 
  Flood waters mainly affect farmland along the Little Osage River 
  Basin between the gage site and Highway 31 west of Fulton.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Little Osage River Basin
  Fulton           22  22.3 Wed 08 PM  15.8   7.6   6.3


&&


LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

 

$$

MOC217-141631-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190317T0300Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.190313T0321Z.190314T1200Z.190316T0300Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 43.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 43.7 feet by 
  tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site. 
  Low lying areas along Route D near Stotesbury flood.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  43.0 Wed 08 PM  43.7  42.4  40.1


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-141631-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190316T0712Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.190313T0700Z.190314T0600Z.190315T0712Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...For the The Marmaton River near Nevada...
 * At  7:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.6 feet by 
  around midnight.  The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  22.3 Wed 08 PM  22.0  19.2  12.2


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$
556 
WGUS83 KSGF 142111
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
411 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019



 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kansas...Missouri...
 
  Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County
   
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for 
updates.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

KSC011-142141-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0224Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.190313T1033Z.190313T2046Z.190314T0203Z.NO/
411 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for: 
 The Little Osage River at Fulton.
* At  3:15 PM Thursday The stage was 13.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.6 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.


&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Osage River Basin
  Fulton           22  13.5 Thu 03 PM   7.6   6.3   5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

 

$$

MOC039-142141-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190315T0851Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.190313T0501Z.190313T1715Z.190314T0915Z.NO/
411 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for: 
 The Sac River near Caplinger Mills.
* At  3:45 PM Thursday The stage was 12.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.4 feet by tomorrow
  morning.


&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  12.1 Thu 04 PM  11.4   8.9   8.0


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 12, 6:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 6:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
648 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

Main forecast focus in this time frame will be on rain amounts
through the period, along with winds and strong storm potential
Wednesday afternoon.

Broad southwest flow ahead of a rather potent trough now over the
desert southwest has spread moisture into the region, manifesting
into scattered, rain showers over the area this afternoon. HiRes
models shows this activity to continue through the early evening
hours, with a break likely after that for much of the night. The
pressure gradient remains rather tight through tonight, with
breezy and mild conditions expected.

The trough and closed 500mb low will lift into the central Plains
Wednesday and become negatively tilted as the surface low deepens
along the Kansas/Nebraska border. The pressure gradient will tighten
even more, with windy conditions expected, but not a lot of mixing
as clouds and showers/isolated thunderstorms are expected ahead of
the attendant cold front. Even with lack of deep mixing, still feel
will see winds will hit the advisory criteria at times from mid
morning through the afternoon hours. Thus after collaboration
with surrounding office, will go ahead and issue a wind advisory
from 15Z- 00Z Wednesday. A narrow ribbon of 250-500 J/kg of most
unstable cape develops ahead of the system Wednesday afternoon
over the eastern Ozarks, with ample amounts of shear. Will have to
watch for some stronger or even isolated severe. Current SPC day
2 has our far eastern areas in a marginal risk. Confidence not
high on this though as amount of instability looks marginal at
best with the NAM the most bullish, so more of a conditional risk.
This also looks to be the warmest day, as highs are expected to
push well into the 60s.

Overall flood risk looks to be low as rainfall will be spread over a
longer time frame. Certainly cannot rule out some low water
crossings having issues as well as some of the rivers over the
northwest section of the forecast area as they are already running
high.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

Any remaining showers/storms look to push east of the area Wednesday
evening as the system wraps up and lifts from north central Kansas
to along the Iowa/Missouri border by midday Thursday. Pressure
gradient remains very tight and forecast soundings show deep mixing
Thursday afternoon in dry slot. 12Z GFS shows 50 knots at the top of
the mixed layer, with NAM only 40 to 45 knots and not as deep of a
mixing layer. In either case, will likely see widespread wind
advisory criteria being met Thursday with strong southwest winds
gusting to 40 to 45 mph.

This system will finally pull lift into eastern Canada by Friday,
with general upper level troughing over the central conus. A dry
northwest flow then established itself for the weekend, with quiet,
dry and cool conditions Friday and Saturday, and then a gradual warm
up for Sunday and Monday as flow becomes more zonal. However, beyond
Sunday, medium range models do diverge in their solutions.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

MVFR ceilings are expected to persist for most of the night along
with low level wind shear. Some pockets of IFR are expected early
this evening, especially around Branson. A few showers will be
possible throughout the night, however they will be pretty
isolated in nature. Meanwhile, surface winds will increase out of
the south to southeast and will become gusty later tonight.

A band of showers and thunderstorms will then shift east through
the area from later Wednesday morning into early Wednesday
afternoon. MVFR and localized IFR conditions can be expected with
this activity. Low level wind shear conditions will also persist
into Wednesday morning along with strong and gusty southerly
surface winds.

The rain will then end by mid-afternoon with surface winds
remaining strong and gusty out of the south. Gusts over 35 knots
appear likely.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for KSZ073-097-
     101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Schaumann
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 5:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
531 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-132245-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
531 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Isolated thunderstorms are expected tonight. No severe storms
  are expected, however, a few low water crossings could become
  flooded and impassable to motorists, with smaller creeks and
  steams approaching bankfull in a few locations.

  Southeasterly winds will gust to 30 to 35 mph late this
  afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

  Gusty winds of 20 to 35 mph with some gusts to 45 mph will be
  likely from late Wednesday morning into early Wednesday
  evening with eve stronger winds possible on Thursday.

  A few thunderstorms are expected Wednesday, with isolated
  strong to possibly severe possible over the eastern Ozarks.
  However, this is conditional based on how much instability can
  be generated. Additional rainfall amounts could lead to minor
  flooding in regions with already saturated soils.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 12, 7:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
708 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0601 PM     FLOOD            4 NNE PLEASANT HOPE     37.52N 93.25W
03/12/2019                   POLK               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MSHP REPORTS WATER OVER THE BRIDGE IN POLK
            COUNTY AT ROUTE AND ROUTE Z.

&&

KP
Local storm report, Mar 12, 7:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
713 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     FLOOD            4 SSE BOLIVAR           37.55N 93.39W
03/12/2019                   POLK               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            S 132 ROAD IN BOLIVAR HAS WATER OVER THE
            ROADWAY.

&&

KP
Local storm report, Mar 12, 7:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
715 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W FAIR GROVE          37.39N 93.18W
03/12/2019                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CC IS CLOSED BETWEEN FARM ROAD 193 AND FARM
            ROAD 199 DUE TO FLOODING OVER THE ROADWAY.

&&

KP
Local storm report, Mar 12, 7:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
717 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLOOD            4 SSW HALF WAY          37.56N 93.26W
03/12/2019                   POLK               MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE YY IN POLK COUNTY CLOSED DUE TO WATER
            OVER THE ROADWAY.

&&

KP
Local storm report, Mar 12, 8:13 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
813 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE FLEMINGTON        37.80N 93.46W
03/12/2019                   POLK               MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING HAS CLOSED HIGHWAY V AT WEAUBLEAU
            CREEK.

&&

KP
Local storm report, Mar 12, 8:15 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
815 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SE BOLIVAR            37.55N 93.33W
03/12/2019                   POLK               MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE Y CLOSED EAST OF HIGHWAY 13 DUE TO
            FLOODING OVER THE ROADWAY.

&&

KP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 8:43 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFVernon4 days
Mar 12, 9:27 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFDallas, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair6 hr
Mar 13, 2:15 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFCedar, Dallas, Polk, Vernon, Webster, Wright10 hr
Mar 13, 8:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFPulaski12 hr
Mar 13, 8:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFPulaski44 hr
Mar 13, 8:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFPhelps68 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.