Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 103, NWS Springfield, MO

August 29, 2019Bates County, Vernon County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at Aug 29, 2019, 8:59 PM CDT for Bates County, Vernon County, Missouri. It took effect at Aug 30, 2019, 11:51 PM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 29, 2019, 8:59 PM CDT (01:59 UTC)
In effect from: Aug 30, 2019, 11:51 PM CDT
Expired: Sep 5, 2019, 9:33 AM CDT
In force: 5 days
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Bates County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Osage River near Schell City (SCZM7).

Action stage: 28 ft
Minor stage: 30 ft
Moderate stage: 35 ft
Major stage: 45 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06918070, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 29, 6:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 29, 6:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
616 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 231 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

Surface dewpoints have significantly increased today over much of
the CWA, except for the eastern portions of the area. In the west,
the dewpoints have climbed into the mid 70s, while UNO still in
the low 60s. Temperatures have risen into the mid to upper 80s
everywhere so heat index values in the west have risen into the
mid 90s. Cold front was located from far northwest Missouri into
northeast Iowa early this afternoon. Cumulus field has developed
in the area where the dewpoints have increased, but nothing with
any decent vertical extent. ML CAPES were from 2500-3500 j/kg over
the western half of the CWA.

Main forecast focus in the short term will be with thunderstorm
chances tonight into Friday, potential of a few severe storms and
also flooding.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

For the remainder of the afternoon and evening, enough CAPE out
there where I wouldn't be surprised to see a few air mass
showers/storms develop, but the main action will arrive later
tonight. A thunderstorm complex is expected to develop to the
north with the frontal boundary the main forcing mechanism. CAMS
models are fairly similar in bringing the thunderstorms south into
the area, especially over central Missouri and the western CWA
late tonight. A shortwave trough in the plains is expected to
shift southeast into the area late tonight into Friday morning and
add to the forcing with the surface front. Thunderstorm winds
would be the main risk for severe storms late tonight with the
stronger storms capable of 60 mph winds. Heavy rain will also be
possible with fairly high PW values above 1.8 in. and the enhanced
lifting from the upper shortwave. With the recent heavy rain,
streams still running high and the potential for widespread 1-2
inches of rain over the western half of the CWA late tonight into
Friday morning, we will be issuing a flash flood watch for the
western two tiers of counties starting 08z tonight and going
through 18z Friday. Storms should clear out from west to east
during the afternoon hours.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

The front is expected to remain fairly stationary bisecting the
CWA from west to east into Saturday and then begin to push through
the area on Sunday. There will remain thunderstorm chances across
the area until the front can push south through the area.

The main upper level trough will then shift east of the area and
we should start to see rising upper heights as an upper ridge
begins to build back into the area. The remainder of the forecast
through next Thursday looks to be dry. With the ridge moving in,
may see temperatures climb back up into the upper 80s by the
middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 615 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

Thunderstorms are currently developing across northern Missouri
this evening and will move to the south this evening into Friday
morning. Portions of central Missouri will be affected later this
evening, with the TAF sites not expected to be affected until
later tonight into Friday morning. Gusty winds and MVFR to IFR
conditions can be expected with any storm. Rain will linger across
the area Friday morning. Some scattered convection will be
possible Friday afternoon, but coverage will be more limited in
nature.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch from 3 AM CDT Friday through Friday afternoon
     for MOZ066-077-088-093-101.

KS...Flash Flood Watch from 3 AM CDT Friday through Friday afternoon
     for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Wise

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 29, 7:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 29, 7:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
721 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

MOZ056-300100-
Morgan MO-
721 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MORGAN COUNTY UNTIL 800
PM CDT...

At 719 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Houstonia to near
Otterville to near Bunceton to near Jamestown. Movement was south at
30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Versailles...                     Stover...
Syracuse...                       Florence...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3868 9284 3860 9284 3843 9263 3842 9263
      3841 9275 3842 9297 3848 9307 3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 002DEG 28KT 3884 9325 3877 9298 3877 9270 3882
9251

DSA

Special weather statement, Aug 29, 7:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
754 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

MOZ055-056-300145-
Benton MO-Morgan MO-
754 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BENTON AND MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

At 753 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles north of Versailles to Whiteman Air
Force Base. Movement was south at 25 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Truman State Park...              Truman Lake...
Lake of The Ozarks...             Versailles...
Warsaw...                         Lincoln...
Cole Camp...                      Stover...
Laurie...                         Sunrise Beach...
Barnett...                        Syracuse...
Gravois Mills...                  Palo Pinto...
Lakeview Heights...               Florence...
Crockerville...                   Fristoe...
Knobby...                         Racket...

LAT...LON 3868 9284 3860 9284 3843 9263 3835 9263
      3835 9269 3822 9270 3822 9276 3819 9277
      3820 9296 3821 9293 3823 9296 3819 9301
      3822 9299 3827 9307 3806 9307 3807 9350
      3808 9350 3851 9351 3853 9307 3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 014DEG 24KT 3854 9282 3872 9353

DSA

Special weather statement, Aug 29, 8:44 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
844 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

MOZ090-300230-
Greene MO-
844 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY UNTIL
930 PM CDT...

At 843 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fair Grove, or near Strafford. This storm was nearly stationary.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Northeastern Springfield...       Strafford...
Fair Grove...                     Bassville...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 82 and 89.

LAT...LON 3727 9325 3735 9328 3742 9319 3741 9308
      3739 9307 3727 9308 3724 9320
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 243DEG 3KT 3731 9321

Perez

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 29, 7:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Morgan	39 min
Aug 29, 7:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Benton, Morgan	51 min
Aug 29, 8:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Greene	46 min
Aug 29, 11:20 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas	6 hr
Aug 30, 2:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Benton, Cedar, St. Clair, Vernon	6 hr
Aug 30, 3:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Vernon	38 min
Aug 30, 3:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Barton, Jasper, Newton	67 min
Aug 30, 5:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Benton	30 min
Aug 30, 5:38 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Benton	3 hr
Aug 30, 5:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Morgan	48 min
Aug 30, 6:31 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Camden, Miller, Morgan	29 min
Aug 30, 9:02 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Benton	9 hr
Aug 30, 6:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dent	50 min
Aug 30, 2:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford	62 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2019 Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.